SOLANA (#SOLUSD): Bullish Outlook & BreakoutSOLANA formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on both daily/intraday charts.
Following the release of last Friday's fundamentals, the market experienced a significant surge, breaking through its neckline and a strong falling trend line.
This led to a consequent strong bullish movement and change of character CHoCH. These broken structures now form an expanding demand zone.
I will be looking for a buying opportunity in this zone, anticipating a bullish reversal towards the 150 support level.
SOLANA trade ideas
Solana Rises Over 18% In Last 7 Days as ETF Talks Fuel OptimismSolana has gained strong upward momentum, trading around $130 in the last 24 hours. The token reached a new weekly high, outperforming many altcoins during the broader crypto market recovery. Growing speculation around the possible approval of a Solana Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has fueled this bullish movement.
Investor attention turned sharply after Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart clarified that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has until October 10 to issue a final decision on the proposed Solana ETF. However, he also pointed out that early approval is still possible, though unlikely. Under the leadership of Paul Atkins and with input from Hester Peirce's Crypto Task Force, the SEC may fast-track decisions related to digital assets.
A Solana ETF could bring institutional capital into the ecosystem, similar to what happened with Bitcoin and Ethereum after their respective ETFs gained approval. Analysts believe that updated regulations, especially regarding asset custody and digital definitions, will be key in shaping the outcome. If progress continues, early approval remains a possibility, although most market watchers still expect a final decision closer to the October deadline.
Technical Analysis
On the chart, SOL has found support at a major demand zone around the $110–$115 range. The price is now trading above this area after reading below $100 at some point, marking an internal bearish break of structure. If the bullish momentum can sustain to trade and close above the recent lower high at around $147, that move would suggest a shift in trend.
If the price fails to maintain momentum and break above $147, bearish momentum will continue, with a potential retest of the support zone below $100.
SOLUSD Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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SOLUSD Daily Trend Analysis - BullishSOLUSD – Bullish Momentum Alert
Date: April 11, 2025
The Momentum indicator has confirmed a bullish signal for SOLUSD on April 11, 2025.
Entry Price: Opening price on April 12, 2025 — $120.96
Stop Loss: $94.93
Bullish Targets:
Target 1: $139.02
Target 2: $171.00
Target 3: $212.20 (Only if price breaks and closes above $171)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is my personal market analysis and not financial advice. I may not be correct every time.
All traders are strongly advised to conduct their own technical analysis for entries, stop-loss, and exit strategies. Trading involves substantial risk — trade wisely.
Solana/USD at a pivotal pointSolana has been in a downtrend since 1-19-25 creating lower lows and lower highs. Bearish death cross was confirmed in middle of March. Price is retesting major support that was broken around the $125.00 area. Only a reclaim and higher high of this area would give any indications of a possible bottom. $147.60 area would have to be broken for a break of structure to the upside and a confirmed deviation of the consolidation range.
Major resistance levels are marked on the chart and also the anchored vwaps that are anchored to important/specific price areas. These areas are points of interest where candle confirmation can lead to higher probability trades. $90.36 area looks to be wanting to be tested which is the anchor point of the vwap from the low of this entire move from late 2022.
Solana Surges Nearly 8% As Janover Pivots to Solana Treasury The price of Solana ( CRYPTOCAP:SOL ) famously known as the ethereum killer has surged nearly 8% today as Commercial property platform Janover pivots to Solana treasury strategy, stock surges 1,100% as investors rush in prior the news.
Janover has invested over $9.6 million into Solana (83,000+ SOL) as part of a new digital asset treasury strategy, with plans to stake its holdings and run validators to generate onchain revenue.
The move follows a $42 million funding round and has triggered a 1,100% surge in Janover’s stock price as the company positions itself as a transparent, publicly traded vehicle for crypto exposure.
Solana has lost grip of the $120 pivot for the past 2 weeks, but reclaimed the zone today currently trading at $120.54 per $SOL.
The daily price chart shows Solana has been trading within an enclose rectangular zone with the Resistant and support points slightly above each other. For Solana, a break above the $170 zone could pave way for a move to the $200- $270 zone. Similarly, a break below the $100 zone could be catastrophic for Solana.
However, the RSI shades a bit of a light at the end of the tunnel as it stands at 47, which is prime for a reversal.
SOLANA on its huge Bull Cycle Support.Solana / SOLUSD just hit the Rising Support that started back on the December 26th 2022 Bear Cycle Bottom.
Meanwhile, it hit for the first time in its history its 1week MA200. This is a huge Support cluster.
Having declined by -68.21% from its January All Time High, it looks identical to the last correction (also -68.21%) of the last Bull Cycle in May-June 2021.
A +1278% rally followed and it since we now enter the final phase of the Bull Cycle with the most aggressive rallies historically made, a new +1278% increase is technically possible.
Target 1200.
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SOL dead cat bounce?We saw a very successful bounce from the bottom of the golden pocket thanks to the 90-day tariff pause announcement, however we have stayed inside the downtrend pattern which I have highlighted. We could see a slow and steady decline back towards the golden pocket area. The theory here is that if we bounce again, we would be looking at a double bottom which is a bullish signal. Let's see how it goes. Feel free to let me know your thoughts.
Bullish or BearishDollar Weakness: Tariffs could undermine the U.S. dollar’s global dominance as trading partners seek alternatives. Analysts like Zach Pandl from Grayscale argue this creates “space for competitors like Bitcoin,” potentially driving its adoption as a hedge against a weakening dollar. If inflation spikes and the Fed pivots to looser policy (e.g., rate cuts), BTC could rally, as seen in past cycles.
Digital Gold Narrative: While BTC hasn’t fully proven itself as a safe haven (sliding alongside stocks recently), some, like Columbia’s Omid Malekan, note its “digital gold” appeal could grow if traditional systems falter. Gold has soared amid tariff news, and BTC might follow if investors shift perception.
Crypto-Friendly Policy: Trump’s pro-crypto stance—evidenced by his meme coin and regulatory reform promises—could offset tariff downsides. If his administration pushes a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve or eases regulations, institutional inflows (e.g., via ETFs) might propel BTC past its $109,000 peak from January.
Projections vary wildly. Bitwise’s Jeff Park sees BTC hitting $150,000 if tariffs spark a trade war and inflation surge. Others, like Arthur Hayes, predict $250,000 by year-end if the Fed resorts to quantitative easing. However, a bearish scenario could see BTC crash below $20,000 if tariffs trigger a recession mirroring 2008 or 2020, though this seems less likely given current resilience.
What to Expect in April 2025
For the rest of this month, BTC’s trajectory hinges on how markets digest the latest tariff fallout:
Bearish Case: If global trade fractures deepen (e.g., EU retaliates with $23 billion in tariffs, as reported), BTC could dip toward $74,000-$80,000, reflecting a broader sell-off in risk assets.
Bullish Case: If Trump softens the tariff stance (he’s hinted at pauses, like with Mexico), or if “Liberation Day” fears prove overblown, BTC might rebound to $87,000-$92,000 resistance levels, as suggested by technical analyses on TradingView.
Most Likely: Sideways movement around $80,000-$85,000 as investors recalibrate. The crypto market’s $2.75 trillion valuation suggests stability unless a major catalyst—positive or negative—emerges.
Ultimately, Trump’s tariffs introduce a mixed bag for BTC: short-term pain from volatility and risk aversion, but potential long-term gains if they destabilize traditional finance. Keep an eye on macroeconomic signals (inflation data, Fed moves) and Trump’s next policy steps—they’ll dictate whether BTC pumps or dumps this month. What’s your take—do you see tariffs as a net positive or negative for BTC?
SOL/USDT Price OutlookThe cryptocurrency market continues to navigate a complex macroeconomic landscape marked by trade tensions, inflationary pressures, and shifting monetary policies. Against this backdrop, SOL/USDT is trading at 105.83, posting a modest 0.41% gain in recent sessions. However, the road ahead remains uncertain as external factors—including the U.S. dollar index (DXY) strength, rising unemployment concerns, and escalating tariff wars—could influence market sentiment.
Key Levels for SOL/USDT
- Resistance (Green Line): 122.61 – A decisive break above this level could signal a bullish resurgence.
- Immediate Support: 101.26 – Holding here is crucial to maintain upward momentum.
- Strong Support: 80.00 – A breakdown below 101.26 may trigger a deeper retracement toward this long-term floor.
Macroeconomic Risks & Crypto Impact
1. Trade Wars & Tariffs – Escalating global trade tensions could trigger risk-off sentiment, pushing investors toward stablecoins or traditional safe havens.
2. Inflation & Fed Policy – Persistent inflation may delay rate cuts, strengthening the DXY and pressuring risk assets like SOL.
3. Unemployment Data – Weak labor market reports could fuel recession fears, increasing crypto market volatility.
Next Week’s Scenarios
- Bullish Case: A sustained move above 106.60 opens the door for a rally toward 112, with 122.61 as the next major target.
- Bearish Case: Failure to hold 101.26 may lead to a drop toward 90, with 80 acting as a critical support zone.
Final Thoughts
While SOL shows short-term resilience, traders should monitor broader economic developments—particularly DXY movements, Fed statements, and geopolitical risks—for clues on the next major trend.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research.
Sol Getting Ready For Round 3?Sol has made two massive pushes to the upside this cycle followed by a long distribution / re accumulation range. We have not quite seen a full 1/3 retrace of the cycle low but certainly in range to be watching for a momentum shift signaling seller exaustion and new intrest at the lower prices.
Current Trading Plan: DCA until a clear momentum shift occurs and trading rallies.
Targeting same $1000 area as previous long term sol chart posted early this cycle accurately forcasting the current time and range for a major sell off. Now farther in the cycle we can see a simple doubling of the current range and standard cup and handle target aligning for the potential $1000 cycle target.
Trade Well....
Your Friend,
Degen
Retracting Bullish Comments About EverythingMost things are up from time of bull posts, but I do think I've got this horribly horribly wrong.
If I have - then the worse really is directly ahead.
I said a lot of bullish stuff, just want to be clear that if there's any sign of selling at all I'm out everything by trailing stop. I'll only stay in while there's small chart uptrends.
Pertains to anything bullish I've said.
SOLANAsolana making low valid if liquidity take, and mybe will manipulate till above wick last, and next trending to down.
DISCLAIMER:
what I share here is just personal research, all based on my hobby and love of speculation intelligence.
The data I share does not come from financial advice.
Use controlled risk, not an invitation to buy and sell certain assets, because it all comes back to each individual.
Abundance of Risk for Bears Now: Bull trap likely. SOL recently hit major supports - ones that I've had my alerts sitting at for a while - see previous bear forecast.
Concurrent to this, we have indices hitting major supports. We have possible completion of the wave 5 part of this downtrend and we're inside the area a head and shoulder would generally form.
The odds strongly favour the bulls in alt now - for the first time in a long time.
