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S&P 500 IndexSS

S&P 500 Index

5,623.6USDR
+88.2+1.59%
At close at Mar 14, 20:59 GMT
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SPX500USD trade ideas

$SPX - Trading Levels for March 13 2025 Alright, y’all. We are dangling, unsupported underneath the 200DMA and that Bear Gap. I am trading cautiously today because inflation data days I tend to make a lot of mistakes. 35EMA - this level is a BEAST. We were unable to get above it yesterday. Trace it back 3 weeks and you’ll see it’s been there every time to push us back lower. I will be looking to the outer spreads and even then I might push it out a little. If and when I take a position I will update it here. GL, y’all.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Skeptic | SPX Outlook: Bounce or Breakdown?Welcome back, guys! 👋I’m Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a complete analysis of SPX on the 4-hour time frame. We’ll break down the market structure and identify key long and short triggers for potential entries. Let’s get into it! 🔍 Market Overview Starting with the weekly time frame, it’s clear that the major trend remains uptrend . However, the daily time frame shows that we’ve entered a secondary corrective downtrend . This has been mainly driven by recent trade tariffs between the U.S. and other countries, leading the Federal Reserve to hold off on interest rate cuts, causing a drop in risk assets like stocks and BTC. On the 4-hour time frame , we’re currently in a range box that recently saw a fake breakout to the downside. The price quickly bounced back into the range, signaling buyer strength and seller exhaustion . This adds a slight long bias, as the probability of hitting targets on long trades might be higher. 💡 Long Setup Our first long trigger comes after a break of resistance at 5,564.67 . To increase the probability, we should wait for momentum confirmation, such as 3 SMA crossover or any momentum indicator of your choice. The main long trigger would be after a confirmed breakout of the range box at 5,641.22. Be cautious, as this entry might carry some risk, so confirmation is crucial. 🚩 Short Setup For short positions, I’m looking for a break below support at 5,549.77 , signaling a breakdown of the range box. However, considering the previous fake breakout, I’d prefer to wait for the first down leg to complete, followed by a pullback or indecision candle before entering short. Let me know your thoughts on SPX ! 💬 Drop any questions or ideas in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! ❤
SPREADEX:SPX
by SkepticWise
1
S&P500 Channel Down good until cancelled.S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a 20day Channel Down that spearheaded the technical correction from last month's All Time High. The 1hour RSI is on a bullish divergence and within this pattern this has signalled a temporary rebound near the 1hour MA100 for a Lower High rejection. As long as the pattern holds, a tight SL sell position there is the most optimal trade, aiming at 5450. A crossing over the 1hour MA200, invalidates the bearish sentiment and restores the buying bias. In that case, take the loss on the sell and buy, aiming at 6040 (Fibonacci 2.0 extension). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
C
by TheCryptagon
SPX500 Long Trade Setup Analysis (1D Timeframe - Blackbull)SPX500 is at a crucial inflection point. Will the support hold, or are we breaking down? Previous ideas setup identified on 11th January has now come into fruition: 📈 Current Setup: 📈 The SPX500 is approaching major resistance at 6,663.37 - the 0.618 Fibonacci Extension of the most recent high timeframe move dating back to July 2024 - present. The previous low in July 2024 also happens to be the previous touch of this same ascending channel. previous touch of this ascending channel) Check out our previously published long term outlook on the SPX (view it out at the bottom of this publication). 🔹 Right now, we can see price is testing the channels lower supporting trend line, which lines up nicely with previous structure support, and a 0.38% Fibonacci Retracement of the August 2024-present move. Having multiple confluence of supporting indications, as well as aligning with our longer time perspective on higher timeframe direction, it is likely we will see a bounce up from here. 📉 A failure to bounce here however could either be a fake out, or the top of the SPX. We do not believe this is the top, and we will not short should price break down further. We will sit back and monitor looking for a new entry on the lower Fibonacci levels highlighted in our charts, with tight stops to minimise risk. 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Rejection Zones): 🎯 6,663.37 – 0.618 Fib extension + channel resistance + previous higher time frame idea (found at the bottom of this publication) 🎯 6,832.13 – 0.764 Fib extension, final inversion trigger for bears 🎯 7,000 – Psychological round-number top, multi-year equilibrium ceiling 📍 Key Support Levels: ❗ 5,755.70 – 0.382 Fib retracement, 4x-tested structural support 🔻 5,624.61 – Channel midpoint convergence 📉 5,362.03 – 0.764 Fib retracement, final long opportunity supporting the idea of a 6650 All Time High, below this level leads to invalidation and bearish sentiment. 🚀 Bullish Scenario (Anticipated Play Before Long Term Reversal): 🟢 Entry : Touch of channel support, previous structure support, 0.38 Fib 5,755.13 (validated sustained close). 🎯 Take Profit 1 : 6,150 (Previous high). 🎯 Take Profit 2 : 6,429 (-0.272 Fib extension). 🎯 Take Profit 3 : 6,575 (See previous idea at the bottom of this publiation). 🔴 Stop Loss : Below 5,629 (Bull invalidation). ✅ Justification: 🔹The SPX has seen a dip recently, mostly as a result of geopolitical tension (see below), however we believe based on our technical analysis both here, and our long term high time frame analysis that we will see the SPX push up one final time over the coming months before the bears take control. 🔹 Seasonal strength in early March and potential Fed dovishness could fuel momentum. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary expectation once 6650 is reached): ❌ Invalidation Level : Sustained close above 7,000 (Multi-decade equilibrium barrier). 🔻 Downside Short-Term Targets: 5,755.70 – 0.382 Fib + channel support. 5,624.61 – Mid-channel gravity. 5,362.03 – 0.764 Fib extension + recent channel low. 🔻 Downside Long-Term Targets: 5,500 – 0.382 Fib 4,700 – 0.618 Fib Retracement & previous high 4,300 – 0.764 Fib Retracement - Unlikely, but possible. ✅ Justification: ❗ Please read - ❗ Higher Time Frame Long Term Analysis - ❗ Geopolitical/economic risks (see fundamentals below) could accelerate downside. ⚡ Key Takeaways: 🔹 SPX500 is at a crossroads : Bearish reversal likely if rejected at 6,663.37–6,832.13 . 🔹 Breakdown below 5,755.70 confirms channel breakdown, targeting 5,362.03 . 🔹 Bullish bias requires hold above 6,832.13 ; otherwise, bears dominate. 📰 Fundamental Catalysts (March 8–15, 2025): Economic Releases: 📅 Mar 10 : U.S. CPI Inflation (High Impact) – Core CPI at 3.2% y/y could force Fed hawkishness. 📅 Mar 12 : Retail Sales (High Impact) – Expected 0.3% MoM post-holiday slowdown. 📅 Mar 14 : FOMC Meeting & Dot Plot – Fed may hike +50bps ahead of 2025 elections. 🌐 Geopolitical Developments: 📅 Mar 11 : Belgium Elections – Risk of coalition fragmentation delaying EU fiscal unity. 📅 Mar 13 : Middle East Tensions – Reported Iran-Israel escalation impacts energy markets. 📅 Ongoing : Brexit 2.0 Developments – UK-EU trade deal negotiations resume, GBP volatility. 📊 Market Sentiment: 📉 Equity Flows : Hedge funds remain underweight equities (BofA survey), suggesting short-term liquidity-driven rally. 📉 Options Market : SPX500 gamma gap at 6,800 killed by recent churn, hedging flows may cap tops. 🎯 Portfolio Management Strategy: 💰 Buy Entry : At 5,755.70 (0.382 Fib confluence). 🎯 Take Profit : 6,570 (Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:6). ❌ Stop Loss : Below 5,624.61 (50% Fib). As price approaches 6,600, consider allocating capital to long-dated puts on the SPX500 to hedge against volatility spikes. A confirmed break below 5,755.70 would signal a shift toward bearish regimes, aligning with geopolitical tensions and potential Fed tightening.
BLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 reached the designated target of the Outer Index Dip at 5576, showing considerable volatility. On the last day of the trading session, the index experienced a significant rebound, leading to an impressive upward trajectory from that position. As a result, it is now aiming for the Inner Index Rally target set at 5712, with a potential subsequent target identified at the Mean Resistance level of 5840. Therefore, upon reaching the Inner Index Rally target 5712, or if there is a decline from its current price level, the index is expected to retest the completed Outer Index Dip at 5521, potentially reinstating the upward rally.
S
by TradeSelecter
SPX500 Long Trade Setup Analysis (1D Timeframe - Blackbull)Previous SPX idea has hit our stop loss. The position was entered on touch of the lower channel trend line, however we have since fell through our tight stop. Our outlook for the SPX remains the same, with a new entry shown above between 5589-5560 and a stop loss placed below higher timeframe (8 day dynamic support) and the 61.8% fib retracement around 5360. Targets remain the same, fundamentals remain the same. Risk to reward is now 1:4. Below is the previous ideas description which is still valid with the new price levels mentioned above: Previous idea (Stop loss hit): SPX500 is at a crucial inflection point. Will the support hold, or are we breaking down? Previous ideas setup identified on 11th January has now come into fruition: 📈 Current Setup: 📈 The SPX500 is approaching major resistance at 6,663.37 - the 0.618 Fibonacci Extension of the most recent high timeframe move dating back to July 2024 - present. The previous low in July 2024 also happens to be the previous touch of this same ascending channel. Check out our previously published long-term outlook on the SPX (view it out at the bottom of this publication). 🛩 Right now, we can see price is testing the channel's lower supporting trend line, which lines up nicely with previous structure support, and a 0.38% Fibonacci Retracement of the August 2024-present move. Having multiple confluences of supporting indications, as well as aligning with our longer time perspective on higher timeframe direction, it is likely we will see a bounce up from here. 📉 A failure to bounce here however could either be a fake-out or the top of the SPX. We do not believe this is the top, and we will not short should price break down further. We will sit back and monitor, looking for a new entry on the lower Fibonacci levels highlighted in our charts, with tight stops to minimize risk. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Rejection Zones): 🎯 6,663.37 – 0.618 Fib extension + channel resistance + previous higher time frame idea (found at the bottom of this publication) 🎯 6,832.13 – 0.764 Fib extension, final inversion trigger for bears 🎯 7,000 – Psychological round-number top, multi-year equilibrium ceiling 🔹 Key Support Levels: ❗ 5,755.70 – 0.382 Fib retracement, 4x-tested structural support 🔹 5,624.61 – Channel midpoint convergence 📉 5,362.03 – 0.764 Fib retracement, final long opportunity supporting the idea of a 6,650 All-Time High, below this level leads to invalidation and bearish sentiment. 🚀 Bullish Scenario (Anticipated Play Before Long-Term Reversal): 🟢 Entry: Touch of channel support, previous structure support, 0.38 Fib 5,755.13 (validated sustained close). 🎯 Take Profit 1: 6,150 (Previous high). 🎯 Take Profit 2: 6,429 (-0.272 Fib extension). 🎯 Take Profit 3: 6,575 (See previous idea at the bottom of this publication). 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 5,629 (Bull invalidation). ✅ Justification: 🛩 The SPX has seen a dip recently, mostly as a result of geopolitical tension (see below), however, we believe based on our technical analysis both here and our long-term high time frame analysis that we will see the SPX push up one final time over the coming months before the bears take control. 🛩 Seasonal strength in early March and potential Fed dovishness could fuel momentum. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Expectation Once 6,650 is Reached): ❌ Invalidation Level: Sustained close above 7,000 (Multi-decade equilibrium barrier). 🔹 Downside Short-Term Targets: 5,755.70 – 0.382 Fib + channel support. 5,624.61 – Mid-channel gravity. 5,362.03 – 0.764 Fib extension + recent channel low. 🔹 Downside Long-Term Targets: 5,500 – 0.382 Fib 4,700 – 0.618 Fib Retracement & previous high 4,300 – 0.764 Fib Retracement - Unlikely, but possible. ✅ Justification: ❗ Please read - ❗ Higher Time Frame Long-Term Analysis - ❗ Geopolitical/economic risks (see fundamentals below) could accelerate downside. ⚡ Key Takeaways: 🛩 SPX500 is at a crossroads: Bearish reversal likely if rejected at 6,663.37–6,832.13. 🛩 Breakdown below 5,755.70 confirms channel breakdown, targeting 5,362.03. 🛩 Bullish bias requires hold above 6,832.13; otherwise, bears dominate. 📰 Fundamental Catalysts (March 8–15, 2025): Economic Releases: 🗓 Mar 10: U.S. CPI Inflation (High Impact) – Core CPI at 3.2% y/y could force Fed hawkishness. 🗓 Mar 12: Retail Sales (High Impact) – Expected 0.3% MoM post-holiday slowdown. 🗓 Mar 14: FOMC Meeting & Dot Plot – Fed may hike +50bps ahead of 2025 elections. 🌐 Geopolitical Developments: 🗓 Mar 11: Belgium Elections – Risk of coalition fragmentation delaying EU fiscal unity. 🗓 Mar 13: Middle East Tensions – Reported Iran-Israel escalation impacts energy markets. 🗓 Ongoing: Brexit 2.0 Developments – UK-EU trade deal negotiations resume, GBP volatility. 📊 Portfolio Management Strategy: 💰 Buy Entry: At 5,755.70 (0.382 Fib confluence). 🎯 Take Profit: 6,570 (Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:6). ❌ Stop Loss: Below 5,624.61 (50% Fib).
BLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
I think a 5650 Bounce is Ideal for a Crash BetSPX continues to trade weak through supports. There are a long list of reasons why it was reasonable to expect a low to be made either today or yesterday and both times we've sold through supports. I think this is a break but I do also think the more prudent positioning would be to look for a rally to 5650. Very cautious now as a bear into this drop. Trailing stops. Considering a low might be made somewhere 5500 - 5450 overshoot at the most. Will pick up some lotto calls for 560.
C
by holeyprofit
SPX Volume profile support and gap through. Must know toolI have taken a volume profile across the rally to project Low value nodes and high value nodes to find support levels during the decline. I simply cannot emphasis enough how valuable this tool is if learn to use correctly. I use this conjunction with geometry (hidden here) Most us know prices will come to fill the price gaps in the future, but LVN and HVN can provide information that price and volume cannot provide on their own. Eg a large bar could have a heavy volume, but you wouldn't know at what price the volume was, whether it was at the opening or closing, unless you look at the VP. Inspite of a huge volume there could be a price gap hidden in the bar
SShort
by krisoz
SPX Will Grow! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for SPX. Time Frame: 45m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 5,770.40. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,863.87 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SLong
by SignalProvider
1
S&P 500 Index, Gold, and BitcoinToday, I’m analyzing the weekly charts of the S&P 500 Index, Gold, and Bitcoin. Notice anything interesting? 🤔 Since late 2022, these assets have been moving in sync, showing an unusually strong correlation. At times, it almost feels like they’re behaving as a single market. But spotting these connections provides valuable insights we can use to our advantage. One chart that stands out is the S&P 500 Index, particularly its rebound from the dual Fibonacci support zone around $5520. This is a critical level, and as long as it holds, both Bitcoin and Gold are likely to maintain their upward momentum. For now, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, and this trend could continue throughout the year. 🚀
SLong
by CryptoPAMM
S&P 500 tests key support on Trump's latest bombshellIn yet another striking move, US President Donald Trump has just announced plans to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, raising them from 25% to a hefty 50%. The new tariffs are slated to come into effect this Wednesday, with Trump citing Canada's intention to impose tariffs on electricity exports to the US as the catalyst for this decision. This latest escalation in trade tensions comes hot on the heels of a tumultuous Monday, which marked the worst day of 2025 for US markets. Investor fears were stoked by President Trump's aggressive tariff policies targeting America's largest trading partners, sending shockwaves through the financial landscape. The situation has left many observers questioning the broader implications of these trade policies on both the US economy and its international relationships. But one thing that has been quite clear all these years in this long-term bull market is that every time we have had a decent sell-off, dip-buyers have invariably stepped in and drove markets to new highs despite any macro concerns. Every single time we have heard cries of “this time it is different,” the bulls have prevailed, and bought the dip. Not even covid could hold the bulls back, let alone the unwinding of yen carry trades in 2024, or China’s sluggish recovery that caused local markets to tank last year, and before that the Russian invasion of Ukraine, or the bear market of 2022 when inflation surged and caused interest rates to shoot higher across the world (excluding Japan). Are we going to see yet another such recovery soon, or does the market want to go a little deeper before dip buyers emerge? That’s the key question, and one way to find clues is by looking at the charts. The S&P 500 here is testing liquidity below yesterday's low of 5567 and key support in the 5550 area. With the daily RSI now well into the oversold territory, can we see a rebound here heading deeper into the US session? By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com
F
by FOREXcom
It doesn't look good.The indexes have shown a lot of wild swings recently, as the markets react to the economic policies from the federal government and the geopolitical outlook. Tariffs are a tax imposed to imported products and passed along to the end consumer, causing higher prices, so higher inflation. As the president said, it's going to cause "a little disturbance". The market is anticipating a longer pause in the reduction of interest rates, since higher inflation is not a good environment to be dovish. Higher inflation, pause on interest rates, unemployment rate at 4.0%, and yet to know how it moved in February after the layoffs, foreign countries retaliating with tariffs on products from USA, an unresolved peace agreement in Ukraine and Palestine are ingredients for a Bear Market. The RSI is already showing a bearish divergence that started in May-July last year. The RSI exited the Overbought area and it's crossing down the midline, which signals a bearish market. The SPX crossed down the 20ma in the Weekly and it made the cross of death (20 ma crossed under 50 ma) in the daily. Yesterday the index settled at 5842, under the 20 weekly ma, and it found support, so we may expect a couple of days with an uptrend rally in what is known as "Back to Normal". The VIX has been stubbornly above the 20 level. Yesterday it closed shy from this level. Unless we see a more relaxed VIX then this level signals we'll have volatility and lower lows in the weeks ahead. The market never moves in a straight line, on the way down previous resistance levels turn into support. If the divergence is confirmed by a lack of new all time highs (most likely), and if the market won't trade in the range, then brace for impact. If the economy enters into recession, which looks like it's being done on purpose, the Fed will be "forced" to reduce the interest rates. We'll see if the policies will be softened, or if the government is going in full force, and in that case, I hope it'll be a "controlled" crash landing.
SShort
by Madrid
3
China Money FlowIn the context of technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement and extension levels serve as pivotal tools for identifying potential support and resistance zones within a given price trajectory. By applying the Fibonacci sequence to key swing highs and lows, traders can derive a series of horizontal levels that may act as psychological barriers or areas of confluence for price action. These levels, often expressed as ratios such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%, are believed to reflect natural harmonic patterns inherent in market behavior. When analyzing a chart, the initial step involves identifying a significant price movement, either upward or downward, which serves as the basis for plotting the Fibonacci grid. The retracement levels are then superimposed onto the chart, providing a framework for assessing potential pullback areas where price may consolidate or reverse. Concurrently, Fibonacci extension levels can be employed to project potential price targets beyond the initial swing, offering insights into where the trend might resume or exhaust. The interplay between Fibonacci levels and other technical indicators, such as moving averages, volume profiles, or oscillators, can further enhance the robustness of the analysis. For instance, a confluence between a Fibonacci retracement level and a key moving average may strengthen the case for a potential reversal or continuation. Similarly, divergence signals from momentum indicators near Fibonacci levels can provide additional confirmation or cautionary signals. It is important to note that Fibonacci levels are not infallible and should be interpreted within the broader context of market conditions, including trend direction, volatility, and macroeconomic factors. Traders often employ a discretionary approach, combining Fibonacci analysis with price action patterns, candlestick formations, and other qualitative factors to refine their decision-making process. Furthermore, the subjective nature of selecting swing points for Fibonacci calculations underscores the need for consistency and adaptability in application. In summary, Fibonacci retracement and extension levels offer a structured yet flexible framework for chart trading, enabling traders to identify potential areas of interest and manage risk-reward dynamics. While their efficacy is contingent upon proper application and contextual interpretation, their widespread adoption across various asset classes and timeframes attests to their enduring relevance in technical analysis. Let's check what happens here
SShort
by bitcoin
SPX - Continuing the downward trendGiven the flow of bearish orders on the daily and lower timeframes, the SPX is still in a bearish trend. Of course, if the weekly candle closes below 5771.3, the structure on this timeframe will also become bearish. So in this situation, opening short positions is better than long positions. Note that any upward movement can only be a small daily correction. We will probably see another BoS on the 15-minute timeframe today and the price could reach another support level. Everything is clear on the chart Watch, enjoy, be profitable
CShort
by alixjey