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US 100 IndexUU

US 100 Index

23,063.58USDR
−116.48−0.50%
At close at Jul 22, 22:22 GMT
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US consumer sentiment improved in Jun could boost US indices The US July Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 61.8 from 60.7, while the 12-month inflation expectation decreased to 3.6% from 4% in the previous month. This suggests an easing of inflation concerns and improved consumption optimism. This data, coupled with recent stronger Retail Sales figures, continues to support expectations for robust US economic growth amidst trade tariff uncertainties. Inflation is anticipated to have a limited short-term impact. Concurrently, the approval for AMD and Nvidia (NVDA) to export AI chips to China further bolsters the US tech sector. The USTEC is currently in an upward trend, having reached a new high before a slight retreat. It is trading above both the EMA21 and EMA78, indicating higher highs and higher lows, suggesting the rally could persist. Should the USTEC continue its surge, the index may test the resistance level at 23,200. Conversely, a failure to maintain above the trendline could trigger a decline towards the next support at 22,600. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist from Exness
ILong
by WiseLeoTrading
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout retest?Donald Trump escalated trade tensions again, threatening a 35% tariff on Canadian goods shortly after reopening trade talks, and floated doubling global tariffs to 20%. This reinforces his aggressive protectionist stance and puts renewed pressure on allies like Canada and Vietnam, the latter blindsided by a 20% levy. Meanwhile, US-China relations may be entering a critical phase, with a possible Trump-Xi summit hinted at by Marco Rubio during talks in Malaysia. On the geopolitical front, Trump is signaling a harder line on Russia, previewing a “major statement” and backing expanded sanctions as the US sends more weapons to Ukraine. This raises global uncertainty, especially for energy and defense sectors. Conclusion for NSDQ100 trading: Rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks may dampen market sentiment and lead to volatility in tech-heavy Nasdaq stocks, particularly those reliant on global supply chains. While traders have grown numb to tariff talk, the cumulative pressure suggests a downside risk is building. In the short term, maintain a cautious stance—watch for potential pullbacks and heightened intraday volatility as policy clarity remains elusive. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 22940 Resistance Level 2: 23060 Resistance Level 3: 23180 Support Level 1: 22410 Support Level 2: 22300 Support Level 3: 22130 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
18
US100 (NASDAQ 100) 24-Hour Technical Analysis ForecastCurrent Price: 23,076.60 (Close: Friday, July 18th, 2025) Analysis Period: Next 24 Hours (July 19-20, 2025) Market Status: Weekend - Preparing for Monday Open --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY - 24H OUTLOOK Primary Bias: Neutral to Bullish (Short-term consolidation expected) Key Resistance: 23,150 - 23,250 Critical Support: 22,850 - 22,950 Expected Range: 22,900 - 23,200 Volatility Level: Moderate (Tech earnings season approach) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. CANDLESTICK PATTERN ANALYSIS Friday's Close Formation --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern: Small-bodied candle with upper shadow at 23,076 Significance: Indecision after testing resistance near 23,150 Volume: Above-average volume suggesting institutional activity Context: Failed to break cleanly above psychological 23,100 level --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Expected 24H Patterns --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Monday Gap: Potential small gap up to 23,100-23,120 area Continuation Pattern: Bullish flag/pennant formation developing Key Reversal: Watch for hammer formation at 22,950 support if decline occurs --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pattern Probability Assessment --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Doji/Spinning Top: 40% probability (continued indecision) Bullish Engulfing: 35% probability (if gap up occurs) Bearish Reversal: 25% probability (if resistance holds) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2. HARMONIC PATTERN ANALYSIS Current Harmonic Setup --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Pattern: Bullish Cypher Pattern in Development --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- X: 22,400 (previous major low) A: 23,250 (recent swing high) B: 22,800 (61.8% retracement) C: 23,150 (127.2% extension - current test area) D (Completion): 22,650-22,750 (78.6% retracement zone) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alternative Pattern: Bull Flag --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Pole: 22,400 → 23,250 (850-point move) Flag: Current consolidation 22,950-23,150 Target: 23,250 + 850 = 24,100 (extended projection) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fibonacci Levels (24H Focus) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Golden Ratio Support: 22,950 (61.8% of recent swing) 38.2% Retracement: 23,025 23.6% Retracement: 23,050 Extension Target: 23,375 (161.8% projection) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. ELLIOTT WAVE THEORY - 24H COUNT Primary Wave Count (Bullish Scenario) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Macro Structure: Wave 5 of larger degree impulse in progress Current Position: Wave 4 correction completing Mini-wave Count: Flat correction pattern (A-B-C structure) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24-Hour Wave Projection --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wave A: 23,250 → 22,800 (Completed) Wave B: 22,800 → 23,150 (Completed - 70% retrace) Wave C: 23,150 → 22,950 (In Progress - Equal to A) Wave 5 Target: 24,000-24,200 (1.618 extension) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Alternative Count (Corrective Scenario) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Structure: Double zigzag correction Current Phase: Second zigzag development Target: 22,750-22,850 (Wave Y completion) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Critical Elliott Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wave 4 Low: 22,750 (must hold for bullish count) Invalidation: Below 22,400 (Wave 1 high) Confirmation: Break above 23,250 (Wave 3 high) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4. WYCKOFF THEORY - 24H PHASE Current Market Phase Assessment --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Phase: Reaccumulation (Phase B-C transition) Composite Operator Action: Testing supply at 23,150 area Volume Analysis: Absorption of selling pressure evident Smart Money Activity: Institutional buying on dips below 23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Expected 24H Wyckoff Dynamics --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Phase Progression: Moving toward Phase D (Sign of Strength) Testing Action: Final test of support at 22,950-23,000 Volume Expectation: Declining volume on any weakness Breakout Setup: Spring action possible below 22,950 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Wyckoff Signals (24H Watch List) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sign of Strength (SOS): Break above 23,150 with volume Last Point of Support (LPS): 22,950 area test No Supply: Expected on rallies to 23,100-23,150 Backup to Edge of Creek: Potential dip to 22,850 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5. W.D. GANN THEORY - 24H ANALYSIS Square of Nine Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current Position: 23,076° on Gann wheel Next Cardinal Point: 23,100° (significant psychological resistance) Natural Support: 23,000° (perfect square - strong magnetic level) Critical Angle: 22,900° (45-degree angle support from recent low) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time Theory - 24H Cycle --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Natural Time Cycle: 24-hour cycle from Friday's close Critical Time Windows: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6 hours: 02:00 UTC Monday (potential turn time) 18 hours: 14:00 UTC Monday (major turn potential) 24 hours: 20:00 UTC Monday (cycle completion) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Angle Theory Application --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rising 45° Line: Currently at 22,950 (critical support) Rising 63.75° Line: 23,100 (steep resistance angle) Declining 26.25° Line: 23,150 (gentle resistance) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gann Price Forecasting --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Square Root Method: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current: √23,076 ≈ 151.9 Next resistance: 152² = 23,104 Major resistance: 153² = 23,409 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Target: 23,104 (natural Gann resistance) Extended Target: 23,409 (next perfect square) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Time-Price Harmony --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harmonic Time: 144 hours from last major low Price Harmony: 23,076 in harmony with 22,500 base Next Harmony Level: 23,400 (Fibonacci price relationship) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 6. MULTI-TIMEFRAME INTRADAY ANALYSIS 5-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Micro Trend: Consolidating triangle pattern Support: 23,050-23,060 (recent lows) Resistance: 23,090-23,100 (intraday highs) Volume Profile: Balanced - no clear direction RSI (5M): 48-52 range (neutral) Pattern: Symmetrical triangle (breakout pending) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 15-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Structure: Bull flag formation Flag Boundaries: 23,040-23,120 Breakout Level: Above 23,120 (bullish) Breakdown Level: Below 23,040 (bearish) Moving Averages: EMA20 at 23,065 (support) MACD: Consolidating above zero line --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 30-Minute Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Pattern: Ascending triangle Horizontal Resistance: 23,150 (multiple tests) Rising Support Line: From 22,950 to current levels Breakout Target: 23,350 (triangle height projection) Volume: Decreasing (typical triangle behavior) Bollinger Bands: Contracting (low volatility) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1-Hour Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Major Structure: Bullish continuation pattern Cup and Handle: Handle formation in progress Handle Depth: 7% correction (healthy) Breakout Level: 23,175 (handle resistance) Target: 24,000 (cup depth projection) RSI (1H): 55 (bullish but not overbought) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4-Hour Chart Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Macro Trend: Strong uptrend intact Correction Type: Shallow pullback (wave 4 character) Support Cluster: 22,900-23,000 (multiple confluences) Resistance Zone: 23,150-23,250 Ichimoku Cloud: Price above cloud (bullish) Volume Trend: Higher lows pattern (accumulation) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS MATRIX Momentum Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RSI (4H): 58 (Bullish momentum, room for upside) RSI (1H): 55 (Neutral-bullish) Stochastic %K: 62 (Above %D line - bullish) Williams %R: -35 (Not oversold, upside potential) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trend Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MACD (4H): Above signal line, histogram positive ADX: 35 (Strong trend strength) Parabolic SAR: 22,950 (supportive) Supertrend: 22,850 (strong support) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Volume Indicators --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OBV: Rising trend (accumulation pattern) Volume Rate of Change: Positive Chaikin Money Flow: +0.15 (buying pressure) Accumulation/Distribution: Uptrend --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8. KEY SUPPORT & RESISTANCE LEVELS (24H) Critical Resistance Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- R1: 23,100 (Psychological + Gann) R2: 23,150 (Technical resistance + harmonic) R3: 23,200 (Minor resistance) R4: 23,250 (Major swing high) R5: 23,350 (Extended target) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vital Support Levels --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- S1: 23,040 (Immediate support) S2: 23,000 (Psychological + Gann) S3: 22,950 (Critical support cluster) S4: 22,900 (Strong technical support) S5: 22,850 (Major support zone) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9. 24-HOUR TRADING SCENARIOS Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout (50% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trigger: Break above 23,120 with volume expansion Initial Target: 23,180-23,200 Extended Target: 23,300-23,350 Stop Loss (Longs): Below 22,990 Expected Timeline: 12-18 hours from breakout --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario 2: Continued Consolidation (35% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Range: 23,000-23,150 Trading Strategy: Range-bound scalping Buy Zone: 23,020-23,040 Sell Zone: 23,120-23,140 Duration: Full 24-hour period --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown (15% Probability) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trigger: Break below 22,990 on volume Target 1: 22,900-22,950 Target 2: 22,850-22,900 Bounce Level: 22,800-22,850 Recovery Above: 23,050 negates bearish scenario --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10. RISK FACTORS & CATALYSTS (24H) Bullish Catalysts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tech earnings optimism building AI sector momentum continuation Institutional portfolio rebalancing (month-end flows) Strong economic data expectations Risk-on sentiment from Asia markets --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bearish Risk Factors --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Profit-taking ahead of earnings Rising bond yields concern Geopolitical tensions impact Overbought technical condition worries Sector rotation out of tech --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- High-Impact Events (Next 24H) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Asian market opening (risk sentiment gauge) Weekend news flow analysis Pre-earnings positioning Options expiry effects Futures gap analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11. TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS (24H) For Scalpers (5M-15M Timeframes) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Primary Setup: Triangle breakout trade Entry Long: Above 23,120 Target: 23,160-23,180 Stop Loss: 23,080 Risk/Reward: 1:2 ratio --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For Intraday Traders (30M-1H) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Strategy: Bull flag continuation Entry Zone: 23,050-23,070 (on dips) Target 1: 23,150 Target 2: 23,200 Stop Loss: 23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For Swing Setup (4H basis) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Approach: Pullback buying opportunity Optimal Entry: 22,950-23,000 Primary Target: 23,350-23,400 Extended Target: 23,600 Stop Loss: 22,850 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12. CONFLUENCE ANALYSIS Bullish Confluence at 22,950-23,000 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gann Theory: 23,000° perfect square support Elliott Wave: Wave 4 completion zone Wyckoff: Last Point of Support (LPS) Fibonacci: 61.8% retracement level Moving Averages: EMA 50 confluence Volume Profile: High volume node support --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Resistance Confluence at 23,150-23,200 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Harmonic: Cypher pattern C-point resistance Previous Structure: Multiple test area Psychological: Round number resistance Gann Angles: 63.75° resistance line Elliott Wave: Wave B completion area Technical: Flag pattern upper boundary --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FINAL 24H FORECAST SUMMARY Most Likely Scenario: Continued consolidation with upward bias, testing 23,150 resistance with potential breakout to 23,200+ levels. Trading Range Expectation: 22,980 - 23,180 (primary range) Breakout Levels: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bullish: Above 23,120 → targets 23,200-23,350 Bearish: Below 22,980 → targets 22,900-22,950 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Time Windows: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Asian Open: 00:00-02:00 UTC (gap direction) US Pre-market: 08:00-13:30 UTC (institutional flows) US Cash Open: 13:30 UTC (volume confirmation) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Risk Management Notes: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Position sizing should account for tech sector volatility Weekend gap risk considerations Earnings season positioning effects --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Probability Assessment: --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50% - Bullish breakout scenario 35% - Range-bound consolidation 15% - Bearish breakdown --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always use appropriate risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
P
by shoonya0000
"NASDAQ 100 Heist – Scalp, Swing, or Hold? (Full Plan)🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST PLAN – BULLISH LOOT AWAITS! 🔥 🚨 Attention Market Robbers & Money Makers! 🚨 (Swing/Day Trade Strategy – High-Risk, High-Reward Play) 🎯 Mission Objective: Loot the NDX100/US100 (NASDAQ 100) Like a Pro! Based on Thief Trading’s ruthless technical & fundamental analysis, we’re executing a bullish heist—targeting the Red Zone (high-risk, high-reward area). ⚠️ WARNING: Overbought market, consolidation zone, potential bear traps—weak bears may get slaughtered! Strong hands only! 🔐 ENTRY: The Vault is OPEN! "SWIPE THE BULLISH LOOT!" – Any price is a steal, but smart thieves use: Buy Limit Orders (15m-30m TF) near recent swing lows/highs. DCA/Layering Strategy – Multiple limit orders for max loot. Breakout Confirmation – Don’t jump in early; wait for the real move! 🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Stash! Thief’s SL Rule: Nearest 4H swing low (22,600) – WICK LEVEL ONLY! DO NOT place SL before breakout! (Patience = Profit.) Adjust SL based on risk, lot size, and number of orders. 🎯 TARGETS: Escape Before the Cops Arrive! Main Take-Profit: 24,400 (or exit early if momentum fades). Scalpers: Longs ONLY! Use trailing SL to lock in profits. Swing Traders: Ride the wave like a true market pirate! 📰 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP: Why This Heist Will Work Bullish momentum in NDX100 driven by: Macro trends (Fed, inflation, tech earnings). COT Report & Institutional positioning. Geopolitical & Sentiment Shifts. Intermarket correlations (USD, Bonds, Tech Sector). (Stay updated—markets change FAST!) ⚠️ TRADING ALERT: News = Danger Zone! Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Trailing SL = Your best friend. Lock profits early if volatility spikes! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 👉 Hit LIKE & FOLLOW to strengthen our robbery crew! 🚀 More heists coming soon—stay tuned, thieves! 🚀
NLong
by The-Thief
NASDAQ 100: AI Momentum and Resilient Earnings Drive New HighsThe NASDAQ 100 continues its strong uptrend 📈, recently breaking to new highs after a period of consolidation. The rally is broad-based but remains led by heavyweight tech names and AI-related stocks 🤖. Key Fundamental Drivers: AI & Tech Growth 🤖💡: The biggest catalyst is the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Companies in the index, especially the “Magnificent Seven” (like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple), are seeing robust earnings growth and strong investor demand for AI exposure. Global IT spending is projected to grow by over 9% in 2025, with AI spending up nearly 30% year-on-year. Earnings Resilience 💪💰: Despite high interest rates and inflation, tech companies have adapted well, maintaining strong margins and growth. The sector is expected to remain a top performer through 2025. Fed Policy & Rate Expectations 🏦🔮: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pause or even cuts in US interest rates later in 2025, which is bullish for growth stocks and tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100. Geopolitical & Macro Factors: Reduced Uncertainty 🌏🕊️: The market has absorbed major geopolitical shocks (such as the Israel-Iran conflict and US-China trade tensions), and the resolution or de-escalation of these risks has reduced uncertainty, supporting risk assets. US Election & Policy 🇺🇸🗳️: The outcome of the US election and expectations for stable or pro-business policies have also contributed to positive sentiment. Global Supply Chains & Resilience 🌐🔗: While some risks remain (e.g., cyber threats, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions), the tech sector’s global reach and adaptability have helped it weather these challenges. Why is it rallying now? AI optimism and strong tech earnings are the main drivers 🤖💹. Expectations of easier Fed policy and a resilient US economy are fueling risk appetite 🏦📈. Geopolitical risks have eased or are being priced in, allowing investors to focus on growth 🌍🕊️. Summary: The NASDAQ 100’s rally is powered by AI-driven tech growth 🤖, resilient earnings 💪, and easing macro/geopolitical risks 🌏. The index remains a global leader as investors bet on the next wave of technology and digital innovation 🚀.
PLong
by fxtraderanthony
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on Positions1) April Fear & Buy Signals In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market. At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions. 2) Current Market State: No More Fear, but Watching Since then, the market has stabilized. The fear has disappeared, but we are still in a wait-and-see mode as traders assess the next move. Momentum is holding, but participation remains cautious. 3) Stay Heavy on Positions Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100. As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
TLong
by TurbaRex
Trade, Fed, and Policy Developments Impacting NASDAQ 100Tariff Expansion Threat: Donald Trump signaled upcoming tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, two sectors heavily represented in the NASDAQ 100. These measures could: Raise consumer costs. Disrupt tech and healthcare supply chains. Add margin pressure on multinational firms. Corporate Impact: Rio Tinto revealed $300M in losses from US aluminum tariffs on Canadian output. Canada-US trade talks will intensify, but tariffs appear likely to remain, adding to cost overhang for manufacturers and downstream users. Fed Leadership Uncertainty: Kevin Hassett is emerging as the frontrunner to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell in 2026. Trump is critical of Powell, even citing Fed building renovation costs as a potential fireable offense. This adds uncertainty to monetary policy continuity, especially as inflation rises and rate path expectations diverge. 401(k) and Private Equity Access: The administration is finalizing an executive order allowing 401(k) plans to invest in private equity, a move that could: Increase alternative asset exposure. Boost private market valuations. Signal a policy tilt toward financial market liberalization, which may help sustain risk sentiment in the medium term. Conclusion for NASDAQ 100 (NSDQ100) Trading The near-term risk for NASDAQ 100 is tilted negative due to the tariff threats on semiconductors and pharma, both major index components. Fed leadership uncertainty could inject volatility into rate expectations, pressuring tech valuations sensitive to discount rate changes. However, the longer-term policy shift toward broader 401(k) access to private markets could support overall market sentiment and capital flows. Bias: Cautiously Bearish in the short term due to trade and Fed risks; neutral to slightly bullish medium term if private capital access reforms proceed and trade escalation is contained. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23080 Resistance Level 2: 23170 Resistance Level 3: 23250 Support Level 1: 22750 Support Level 2: 22670 Support Level 3: 22590 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
T
by TradeNation
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily • Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill) o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus. o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages). o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns. • Seasonality o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks. • Monthly structure o Strong bullish monthly candles. o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852. • Weekly / Daily structure o HH-HL sequence continues. o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300. o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet. ________________________________________ Key Levels • Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH) • Recent swing high: 22,900 • Daily pivot: 22,470 • Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP) • Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish) ________________________________________ My View – Most Likely Path 1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone. o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs. o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus. 2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300: o Expect strong rejection from that zone. o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs. o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation. 3. Alternate scenario (less likely) o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH. o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend. ________________________________________ Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing Intraday Long (Most Likely) • Bias: Bullish continuation • Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP) • Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up • Stop: Below 22,300. • Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300. ________________________________________ Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal) • Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab • Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300 • Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle • Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation). • Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates. ________________________________________ Swing Long (Continuation) • Bias: Bullish trend intact • Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up. • Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates). • Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above. ________________________________________ Swing Short (Only if structure breaks) • Trigger: Daily close below 22,200 • Bias: Bearish trend shift • Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA. ________________________________________ Summary – My Final Opinion Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
CLong
by In-de-trend
1
Go Long – Bullish Targets for Next Week- Current Price: $23065.47 - Key Insights: NASDAQ has exhibited resilience despite recent sentiment shifts, showing signs of potential upside driven by a solid rebound in major tech stocks. With earnings season approaching, improved performance in underlying components reinforces long-term confidence in the index. - Price Targets: - T1: $23427.43 - T2: $23696.12 - S1: $22834.82 - S2: $22604.17 - Recent Performance: Over the past week, NASDAQ has consolidated near its current levels, with intraday volatility driven by sector rotations and macro concerns. While sentiment has weakened, the index remains supported by key levels near the $23,000 mark. - Expert Analysis: Analysts express optimism around key components such as Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, which have recently seen improved outlooks. Broader tech sector strength may drive NASDAQ higher. Caution is advised given geopolitical uncertainties but upside opportunities dominate momentum. - Sentiment Analysis: - Current sentiment: 0 - Last week: 62.5 - Change: -62.5 - Total mentions: 386 - News Impact: Positive developments in semiconductor growth forecasts and easing fears over rate hikes have supported bullish sentiment. However, last week’s lower-than-expected inflation data and Federal Reserve signals for "higher rates for longer" dampened sentiment overall.
NLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading