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E-mini S&P 500 Futures (CME) (OANDA EU Clients)

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US500.PRO.OTMS trade ideas

Risk-on Risk-off Market Snapshot, 05/11/2024Election Jitters: U.S. Presidential Race Fuels Risk-Off Sentiment Amid Policy Uncertainty and Global Tensions The U.S. presidential election is significantly influencing risk-on and risk-off sentiment as investors brace for potential shifts in policy that could impact economic and market stability. With the election approaching, uncertainty around the potential outcomes and their implications for fiscal, trade, and regulatory policies is driving a more cautious, risk-off sentiment among market participants. In typical election cycles, markets tend to exhibit volatility as investors anticipate changes in the policy environment. For 2024, there is particular focus on key issues such as tax policy, technology regulation, healthcare, and foreign policy—all of which could have far-reaching impacts on sectors like tech, healthcare, energy, and financial services. Market participants are also considering the candidates' approaches to fiscal stimulus, which may affect economic growth projections and thus influence the overall risk environment. Additionally, recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and ongoing conflict in Ukraine are intensifying risk-off behavior. Investors are favoring safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar, gold, and government bonds as they hedge against potential economic disruptions that might follow election results, especially if there are significant shifts in foreign policy. However, specific sectors may also show risk-on tendencies if the anticipated policy shifts favor growth or deregulation in areas like infrastructure, clean energy, or technology. For example, market segments aligned with clean energy could see optimism, while regulatory uncertainties may weigh on tech stocks. Overall, the looming U.S. election is adding a layer of risk-off sentiment as investors weigh the prospects of economic shifts in a complex global landscape. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AfreeBit
MY SPX500USD LONG IDEA 04/11/2024Direction: Long SL: 5,619.1 Checklist: - MA 20 going Upward - Break of Trendline - Fib level - Bounce from a Support/Resistance - Penetrate a Support/Resistance - Edgefinder Score - Correlation Confluence - Trading Central Preference Technical: 1. MA 20 Yellow is above MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red). 2. No strong trendline reading but if it breaks my bullish purple line then price will go up. 3. Price bounced off from a Resistance zone. 4. FIB level 0.38 @ 5701.3 . 5. Tradingcentral tool signaling Rise on Time frames 15m,1h,4h and daily at the moment. 6. Q4 seasonality is bullish. Fundamental and economic: 1. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of 2 "Neutral Bullish". 2. We have US elections coming up and regardless of which president wins it’s going to be bullish for USD and stocks. 3. US NFP came out horrible 12k but market wants a revision and is in a speculative state. 5. USD is on the rise after a recovery. 6. VIX spiked a little and is calming down.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by stingotho
US500 morning analysisTechnical analysis of US500. The key support in this analysis is 5088.9, the 5 August 2024 low. For the median (red) line of the pitchfork to be tagged, wave ((5)) will need to be expanded; therefore, price would now be in wave (2) of ((5)), with fib support, pitchfork support, and potential buying area in the 5300-5500 range. The bearish case would have the top being in, and if this occurs, pitchfork support then price support will fall in an impulsive manner, with bearish targets below October 2022 low.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by discobiscuit
Tech costs hurtingFollowing on from Alphabet’s better-than-expected earnings report on Tuesday evening, Microsoft and Meta Platforms were the next two ‘Magnificent Seven’ constituents to update the market. Both companies reported after last night’s close, and both managed to disappoint investors in slightly different ways. Microsoft beat expectations for both earnings and revenues. But it issued a downbeat outlook for future growth which saw the stock drop 4% in early trade. Meta also posted revenues and earnings above those forecast. But user numbers came in light and the company warned that infrastructure expenses were set to soar due to spending related to generative AI. The stock fell 5.5% on the news, but has pared some of those losses this morning. The news has put investors on edge as they await results from Apple and Amazon after tonight’s close. Other significant earnings reports are due today from Uber and Intel. Meanwhile, Merck was up over 1% after announcing solid third quarter earnings and revenues, helped by sales of its cancer drug Keytruda. Sentiment towards tech hasn’t been helped by the sell-off in Advanced Micro Computers which dropped 8% earlier this week on an earnings miss, and following a slump of 37% in Super Micro Computers after the resignation of its auditors. US stock index futures are on the backfoot this morning, led by the NASDAQ which is down 1%. This follows a negative session yesterday which saw modest losses for all the majors. On the economic data front, today sees the release of weekly Unemployment Claims together with Core PCE, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure. Back in the summer, this hit its lowest level in over three years at 2.6% year-on-year. But it has ticked up since then, which, should it do so again today, may persuade the Fed to hold off from cutting rates in December. The probability of a 25 basis point cut at next week’s meeting is unlikely to be affected, as it stands at 96%, according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool. Yesterday, the first look at Q3 GDP came in at 2.8% annualised, and below the 3.0% expected. But there was an unexpected jump in ADP Payrolls, although it is tomorrow’s official Non-Farm Payrolls which are of greater importance as far as investors are concerned. But investors look slightly rattled for now. Further bad news on tech earnings could see more shredded nerves and a tendency to sell first and ask questions later.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
24-Hour Short-Term Risk-on Risk-off Forecast for 30/10/2024Market sentiment appears to show mixed signals, with both risk-on and risk-off characteristics evident across various assets. Today’s sentiment leans towards mixed or cautious optimism, with selective risk-on trading tempered by defensive positioning amid global uncertainties. Investors are showing restrained enthusiasm for growth assets but continue to hedge in safe-havens due to unpredictable economic and geopolitical factors. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TVC:SPX
by AfreeBit
S&P 500TREND ; The S&P 500 index is currently in an uptrend (Bullish), characterized by higher highs and higher lows since mid-August. PLAN : • The support zone around 5,670 acted as a base for a recent upward move. • The 5,870 level seems to be a key resistance area, and price is currently testing this level. • If the price breaks above the 5,870 resistance level, my potential target will be around 5,989.15. • Note that the blue arrow indicates the measured move from the support level at 5,750 up to the resistance at 5,870, which could imply the projected target if this breakout occurs.
BLACKBULL:SPX500
by juniormoseki1