Analysis of Crude Oil's Opening Market Strategy on MondayWTI crude oil futures stabilized for the second consecutive day, maintaining fluctuations within the broad range of Tuesday and oscillating around the key level of $65.12. A sustained break below this level would confirm the resurgence of selling pressure, and a breach of $64.00 could trigger a decline toward $61.90. On the upside, if the price holds above $65.12, it may drive a short-term rebound to $67.44, and if momentum strengthens, it could further test $71.20.
Crude oil prices remain range-bound, but downward pressure is building. Robust U.S. demand provides support, yet macroeconomic caution and uncertainties over OPEC+ intentions are suppressing market sentiment. A decisive break below $65.12 would confirm the bearish trend, with bears targeting $61.90. Conversely, if this level holds, neutral-to-bullish logic remains valid, though upside potential remains constrained unless supply-demand signals converge overall.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@63.1-63.3
TP:66.3-69.9
WTICOUSD trade ideas
XTIUSD Breakdown from ascending channel now buy from supportXTIUSD Technical Update – 1H Timeframe 🚨
Crude Oil (XTIUSD) has broken down from the ascending channel, but is now showing a strong bullish reaction from the key demand zone at 65.10.
📈 Upside Targets:
🔹 1st Target: 70.00 – Local supply zone
🔹 2nd Target: 74.00 – Key supply zone
🔹 3rd Target: 77.00 – Bearish order block
The momentum is shifting – bulls are stepping in! Watch for confirmations on lower timeframes and manage risk accordingly. 🔍
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Here is the latest analysis of the crude oil market trendOn Wednesday, international oil prices stabilized and rebounded after two consecutive days of correction, as the market reassessed the short-term easing of the Middle East situation and changes in crude oil supply. Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.75, or 1.1%, to $67.89 per barrel; WTI crude oil rose by $0.71 to $65.08. Previously, U.S. air strikes damaged key Iranian facilities. Although they did not completely destroy its capabilities, they triggered short-term market concerns about supply chain disruptions.
When geopolitical tensions temporarily eased, the market also turned its attention to inventory data. The latest data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that for the week ending June 20, U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 4.23 million barrels, far exceeding the market expectation of a 2.5 million barrel decline, indicating that refinery demand remained strong. Under the dual effect of the mitigation of geopolitical risks and the bullish API inventory data, oil prices showed signs of stabilization, but the foundation for the rise was still fragile.
In the next few trading days, the safety of the Strait of Hormuz and the EIA official inventory report will become the key to whether the bulls can continue. In the current volatile pattern, it is necessary to remain cautious and pay close attention to changes in the technical support area and U.S. policy dynamics.
However, in terms of momentum, the MACD indicator has formed a bearish crossover below the zero axis, signaling a weakening of bullish momentum. This suggests that the medium-term trend of crude oil is likely to fall into a high-level consolidation pattern.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@67.0-68.0
TP:63.0-64.0
Weekly Market ReportIn this week’s video, I break down the key technical levels and market dynamics across four major instruments: S&P 500 (/ES), Gold (XAUUSD), Crude Oil (WTI), and Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We explore price structure, liquidity zones, and potential setups with a focus on probability-based trade planning and risk management. Whether you're a swing trader or intraday participant, this breakdown offers valuable insight into the week ahead.
USOIL: Long Trading Opportunity
USOIL
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry - 65.03
Stop - 62.60
Take - 69.73
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
USOIL: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 65.100 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 65.468 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
# USOIL - $40 Move? Something Major is coming?Date: 25-06-2025
#USOIL Current Price: $65.45
Pivot Point: 70.57 Support: 63.71 Resistance: 77.49
#USOIL Upside Targets:
Target 1: 87.10
Target 2: 96.71
Target 3: 106.51
Target 4: 116.31
#USOIL Downside Targets:
Target 1: 54.07
Target 2: 44.43
Target 3: 34.62
Target 4: 24.82
WTI OIL Might be close to the end of correction or finished it.there are definetly more than 1 posibilities in this one, 1 more down wave can occur and that is why i have a invalidation level. long term definetly buy but short and mid term is just not very clear, i am thinking it s time to buy. what i am going to do is keep track of it a bit more in short term and if it gives me good buying opportunity near the below i will enter the trade with a stop loss. and if it upbrakes possible impulse wave will occur and i will buy again to mid term target. so for now keep an eye on it and buy if the opportunity arise.
WTI Crude oversold rally support at 6400WTI crude oil is trading just above a two-week low of 6400, as demand concerns continue to weigh on prices.
The pressure comes from uncertainty around President Trump’s tariff policy, which could worsen when the current 90-day pause ends on July 9. So far, only a minor trade deal with the UK has been reached, adding to fears of a global slowdown and weaker oil demand.
Earlier this week, oil prices also dropped after Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, easing fears about disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil shipping route.
On the positive side, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are rising. If Trump replaces Fed Chair Jerome Powell with someone more supportive of rate cuts, it could help lift oil prices slightly by boosting the economic outlook.
Overall, oil remains under pressure with limited upside unless demand outlook improves or further supportive policy measures emerge.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6925
Resistance Level 2: 7080
Resistance Level 3: 7230
Support Level 1: 6460
Support Level 2: 6300
Support Level 3: 6100
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Cautious — this Chart is Slippery!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🛢️After surging by over 35% in the past two weeks, USOIL took a hit following Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
However, from a technical perspective, USOIL is approaching a strong daily support zone marked in red.
As long as this support holds, the bulls remain in control.
📊The next bullish impulse will be confirmed upon a break above the last minor high marked in blue.
In such a scenario, a move toward the supply zone (also marked in red) would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
The idea of oscillating crude oil
💡Message Strategy
Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years
In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight of this growth was concentrated in June, when Asia's crude oil arrivals soared to 28.65 million barrels/day, setting a record high since January 2023, far exceeding 27.3 million barrels/day in May and 26.42 million barrels/day in June last year.
Import boom driven by price
What drove the surge in Asian crude oil imports in June? The answer has a lot to do with price. China and India are known to be extremely sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, usually increasing imports when prices are low and choosing to shrink when prices are high. Crude oil arriving in June is usually scheduled six to eight weeks in advance of delivery, which means that these cargoes were purchased when oil prices were low in April and May.
Geopolitics and market uncertainty
The sharp fluctuations in oil prices in June are inseparable from the fueling of geopolitics. Israel's military action against Iran and the subsequent intervention of the United States once pushed crude oil prices to a five-month high. After Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, the market risk premium quickly subsided, but geopolitical uncertainty is still an important variable affecting oil prices. In the future, any new geopolitical events may push up oil prices again, which will further pressure Asia's import demand.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. The momentum is stalemate between long and short positions, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day.
However, crude oil is never that simple. It is greatly affected by international trends. At present, crude oil is still waiting for direction. So how can we obtain greater future returns in a volatile market?
The answer is simple. At this time, what we need to do is to use a small stop loss to leverage large returns within the pressure and support range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 64.50-63.50/60.00
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50/70.00
Oil volatility expected to remain on Middle East tensions.Fundamental
Oil prices remain under pressure. Volatility is expected to remain elevated as traders digest inventory data, watch for geopolitical shifts, and anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on July 6, where supply policy could change.
Technical
Technical indicators remain strongly bearish with RSI favouring further downside below pivot level 65.53 toward support levels at 63.76 and 60.00. A break above 65.53 sees a move towards resistance levels at 66.50 and 69.00 subsequently
USOIL: Bullish Correction Ahead! Buy!
USOIL
- Classic bullish correction formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USOIL
Entry Level - 65.16
Sl - 62.68
Tp - 68.86
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Crude oil fluctuates in a narrow range, waiting for direction
💡Message Strategy
Middle East ceasefire eases supply concerns, but risk premium remains
Oil prices rose more than 1% on the day as investors weighed the status of the ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Although both sides have announced an end to hostilities, US intelligence reports show that Iran's nuclear capabilities have only been temporarily damaged. ING analysts pointed out that although immediate concerns about supply disruptions have subsided, potential risks remain, a factor that may support spot prices in the short term.
Previously, crude oil prices soared after the US military action on Iranian infrastructure, but prices have retreated as the ceasefire continues. Although the geopolitical premium has been reduced, it has not been fully digested.
API shows a sharp drop in inventories, traders await EIA report
Industry data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that US crude oil inventories fell sharply by 4.23 million barrels in the week ending June 20, far higher than the expected drop of 800,000 barrels. Gasoline and distillate inventories increased by 400,000 barrels each.
Market focus now turns to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report scheduled for release on Wednesday. Traders were expecting a 1.2 million-barrel draw in inventories, and confirmation of that figure by the EIA, widely viewed as an industry benchmark, would reinforce expectations of tighter supply.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil fluctuates upward in the medium term and tests around 67. The K-line closes with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged.
However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillation pattern.
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) is in a narrow range of consolidation, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines slowly rise below the zero axis, and the long and short positions are in a stalemate, with no obvious advantage on one side. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a consolidation pattern during the day.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 65.50-64.50
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50
USOIL - REVERSAL Market is in bearish trend, however there is a bullish divergence on 1H time- which means market may take a deep correction. Futher harmonic pattern Bullish crab is also in formation.
Take the entry above the break of LH and stoploss below the D point / LL. and TPs with R:R ratio of 1:1 and 1:2
Thanks.
Bulish oil WTI)
✅ Overall Market Structure:
After a steady bullish trend, price has experienced a sharp drop and is now reacting to a demand zone around 64.955. The recent price action suggests signs of potential stabilization and a possible bullish reversal.
---
🟩 Key Levels:
Major Support Zone:
The area between 64.00 – 65.00 acts as a strong demand zone, which has shown prior reactions.
Resistance / Target Levels:
67.398 (first resistance and short-term target)
69.231 (mid-level resistance)
72.879 (main target if bullish momentum continues)
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📈 Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Current Chart):
After touching the demand zone, price seems to be forming a potential bottom. If a strong bullish candlestick appears (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer), we can expect a corrective or impulsive move to the upside.
🔸 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 63.80
🔸 Target 1: 67.40
🔸 Target 2: 69.20
🔸 Target 3: 72.80
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⚠️ Important Notes:
1. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
2. If the support at 64 breaks, price may drop further toward the next demand zone around 61.00–60.00 (next major support lies at 59.415).
3. Keep an eye on oil-related news and U.S. economic reports (noted with calendar icons on the chart), as they can strongly impact volatility.
---
Shorts on Oil.... And on the NEWS and via brokers - they all wanted to go LONG because of war news....
🛢️ Massive Oil Selloff Caught by ELFIEDT – RSI + Reversion
Instrument: US Crude Oil (WTI)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: Monday, 23 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 What Happened:
On Monday, the ELFIEDT system printed a clear “DOWN” signal on WTI Crude right near the local high before the market collapsed over the next two days.
The market looked strong—until it wasn’t. ELFIEDT flagged early signs of exhaustion while most traders were still bullish. What followed was a freefall from above $77 all the way to near $65.
💰 The Result:
From the signal candle, price dropped over 1,000 points (more than $12 per barrel).
That single short signal gave traders:
✅ A high-probability entry at the top
✅ A strong risk-reward setup
✅ A clean ride through the trend without confusion
This is what the ELFIEDT system is built for—finding early entries with strong downside follow-through.
📌 Why This Matters:
There was no need to chase the trend or react late.
ELFIEDT gave the heads-up, visually and confidently.
You don’t need to guess trend tops or bottoms anymore.
You just need to trust the process.
📈 One Signal. One Opportunity. Massive Result.
This WTI example shows the precision of ELFIEDT during volatile markets.
Whether it’s indices or commodities, the logic holds.
This is how you take control of reversals.
WTI USOILKey Factors Affecting US Oil Prices Today:
Geopolitical Developments:
Oil prices had surged earlier in June due to US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites and fears of supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. However, prices fell sharply after a ceasefire was announced between Israel and Iran, easing immediate supply concerns.
Inventory Data:
Market participants are awaiting US crude and fuel inventory reports. Recent data showed a significant drawdown in US crude stocks, supporting prices despite geopolitical easing.
Demand Signals:
US refinery utilization has increased, and gasoline demand is near multi-year highs, indicating strong domestic consumption that underpins oil prices.
Market Sentiment:
After a recent two-day plunge (Brent fell over 6%), oil prices are recovering as investors reassess the durability of the ceasefire and ongoing demand fundamentals.