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Hello traders, Last Friday was Non-Farm Payroll day, and there were hints within the circle: After the European market opened, gold experienced a downward trend. After correcting the drop from the European morning session for half an hour after the U.S. market opened, it continued to fluctuate.** On the daily chart, Thursday closed with a bearish candle, and...

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Hello traders, On Thursday, the circle indicated: "For new positions on Thursday, continue to look for confirmation of bullish signals on the 1-hour chart. The targets are still set as follows: TP1: 2928 TP2: 2954 TP3: 2987 On Thursday, after the European market opened, gold experienced a downward trend. After correcting the decline from the European morning...

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Hello traders, **Gold** This week, a series of important economic data will be released, particularly the U.S. non-farm payroll data on Friday. If the employment data is very weak, leading to a significant increase in market expectations for interest rate cuts, this could drive up the prices of all assets. Particular attention should be paid to the exchange...

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Hello traders, **Thursday Logic Analysis + Opportunity Analysis (2025.02.27)** On Wednesday morning, shortly after the USD/JPY exchange rate suddenly plummeted to the 148 range, a piece of news that could easily be overlooked emerged: "The Bank of Japan (BOJ) will provide USD funding secured by merged collateral." This means the BOJ will accept government...

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Hello traders, Gold is currently in a very extreme market situation. One can imagine the development process of a black swan event as follows: - **Liquidity Tightening** → Institutions sell paper gold - **Physical Hoarding Wave** → Bank vaults are overflowing - **Futures Delivery Obstacles** → COMEX premiums rise - **Increased Risk Aversion** → Physical gold...

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Hello traders, On Wednesday, the internal alert stated: "On Wednesday, we are waiting for a new sideways trend in crude oil. Crude oil may experience a short-term decline followed by a pullback around the opening time of the European and American markets. Participation is not recommended!" On Thursday, in the four-hour chart, the C wave of crude oil is...

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Hello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market...

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Hello traders, Trading plans on USDJPY: Follow 4H EMAS, find 1h BUYING SIGNAL to open buying trade on USDJPY , TP1: 156.6 TP2: 157.9 Key Observations: 1. Liquidity-Driven Momentum: Abnormal trading volume suggests speculative flows dominating Asian session 2. Policy Stalemate Persists: Escalating trade friction weighs on JPY through export sector concerns ...

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Hello traders, Tuesday, Hawkish Signals in Powell's Remarks Despite the neutral tone, Powell's remarks revealed several hawkish signals: 1. Rising Neutral Rate Powell acknowledged that the neutral rate has "likely moved up significantly" post-pandemic. This has key implications: Neutral Rate: The theoretical rate that sustains full employment and stable...

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Hello traders, When extreme positions meet historical-level events: The logic of gold in the week before Valentine's Day 2025! When banks are shorting gold at record levels, but long queues form at Asian gold shops; when COMEX inventory figures soar, yet physical delivery becomes exceptionally difficult; when the Federal Reserve sounds hawkish, but the market...

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Hello traders, During the Chinese Lunar New Year, just under a month into his presidency, Donald Trump made a series of moves regarding the US-Mexico-Canada tariff policy. First, he reached an agreement with Mexico to temporarily suspend the implementation of tariffs for a month, and then he met with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to preliminarily...

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Hello traders, On January 21, 2025, Trump's First Day in Office: Logical and Technical Analysis Trump has finally been sworn in as the 47th President of the United States. Trump served as President from January 2017 to January 2021. During this period, the price of gold generally rose: - At the beginning of 2017, the price of gold was about $1,200 per ounce. -...

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Hello traders, The data released by the U.S. Department of Labor shows that the unadjusted CPI in the U.S. rose by 2.9% year-on-year in December 2024, matching expectations, and up from 2.7% previously. The seasonally adjusted CPI increased by 0.4% month-on-month in December 2024, compared to an expected rise of 0.3% and a previous value of 0.3%. The seasonally...

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Hello traders, GBPUSD is now facing a Textbook-style trading opportunities. It is facing a support level. Once it breaks, wait for a new chance to sell when price retest this level. Downside target: tp1 1.23398 tp2: 1.22596 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!

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Hello traders, Last Friday, the insider alert: The updated market situation is as follows: on the 4-hour chart, the reversal signal that appeared during the last Friday's Asian session initiated a retracement wave that continued until the US session on Monday. Therefore, the long positions from last week have hit the new stop loss due to trailing stops, which...

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Hello traders: Last Friday's Alert: On the daily chart, oil closed bearish on Monday, forming a reversal and retracement signal for the daily trend. Therefore, using support structure levels, the short-term retracement targets are: TP1: 71.80 TP2: 70.50 GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!

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Hello traders, This week is the New Year's week, defined as "the last quiet week," as the Non-Farm Payroll data release has been moved to the second Friday of January, so there won't be any significant data releases affecting the market this week. It's worth noting that after Yellen's speech, market attention has gradually shifted to the U.S. Treasury's debt...

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Hello traders, The latest speech by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated: ★ Even if the economy and prices improve, maintaining the current low interest rates could make monetary policy too loose. An overly loose monetary environment may force the Bank of Japan to significantly raise interest rates, which would be detrimental to long-term economic growth....