RealMacro

RealMacro Jun 13

Usually, these types of events are great selling opportunities as they are short-lived. However, this time may be different. I would expect a pullback then if it lasts and escalates a breakout. For now, just observe, have patience, and look for the 2nd crack! If it cracks a 2nd time, it is definitely not good for US inflation.

RealMacro Jun 13

I will keep this simple. The rising wedge broke. Markets are in trouble. The Trump disaster keeps escalating every day. This is what the world looks like without the US strong leadership defending freedom and democracy. CHAOS!

RealMacro Updated  Jun 12

As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post. I first warned to wait for the CRACK! Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal. Then a nice M pattern with a lower high. Then another CRACK! And now a right Shoulder. MAGIC! Now we wait for the H&S to break down. Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))

RealMacro Updated  Jun 12

GAME is one of the easiest stocks to short. Just wait for the bearish signal and take the trade. Over and over and over again. Anyone who wishes to learn what Bull Traps are should study GME chart.

RealMacro Jun 6

Fun while it lasted. Even though I like AVGO, a crack is a crack is a crack! Rising bearish wedge. Time to take profits.

RealMacro Updated  Jun 5

I have to repost this bc TV only gives me limited updates before it forces "target reached." Here is my previous post. Nothing has changed. Just as I expected. If anything, it looks even more bearish now. As always, wait for the hook! Click Boost, and follow Let's get top 5,000!

RealMacro Jun 4

I first started warning about GOOG back on March 18, 2025 Since GOOG has formed this big bear flag outside the structure in the middle of nowhere. This is an indication of more weakness to come! GTF out is in order for bulls. It is better to be out of the market wishing you were in and then in the market wishing you were out! I can only provide the setup....

RealMacro Updated  Jun 4

TSLA has a beautiful big ars bear flag! While it should have broken down to trigger a short trade, it decided to Honey Tick people right into a Trap! It formed a perfect MEGAPHONE in wave 3 up that has now CRACKED! This is a much juicer short setup with the potential of collapsing from here and taking out the entire bear flag and MORE!! First, we need a lower...

RealMacro Updated  Jun 2

I first turned bullish on the EUR back in November 2024 after the disastrous election results. I have always felt the 105 area was a good area to go long, fundamentally going back all the way to 2017. Here is an example. After 17 years of data, we can all agree that the 105 area was a great value to get long the EUR. Now we see a major CRACK! in the chart...

RealMacro Updated  Jun 2

I have been posting gold charts since February 2024. Both Bullish and GTFO charts. See below. This current setup has presented a great risk-reward setup. 1. GTFO still remains firmly in place. 2. The lower high M pattern could be setting up for a corrective bull flag for more upside. If the Eiffel Tower plays out. You will not be involved. If the...

RealMacro Updated  Jun 1

This is a very simple setup with low risk and huge reward potential. Wait for the Crack before taking profits or shorting. It's that simple. Boost, follow, subscribe! Please don't ask me about targets, I don't do them. I leave that to the experts.

RealMacro May 26

US government spending is exceeding tax revenues by over 2:1, reaching extreme levels compared to historical norms and worsening rapidly More alarmingly, unlike past decades, the US government's total debt-to-GDP ratio is also rising sharply with no end in sight, accelerating in the wrong direction. For this reason, bond investors are currently demanding higher...

RealMacro Updated  May 22

This is a classic break-test go setup. What you want to see is a hook-down. What you don't want to see is push-back into the structure. It's that simple. Boost, like, follow, subscribe!

RealMacro Updated  May 21

The double top is complemented with a bearish rising wedge stuck in a rising bearish F flag. A straightforward, short setup if you wait for the CRACK!

RealMacro May 21

Any time you see multiple head-and-shoulders patterns forming on the chart often signals serious trouble ahead. Stay vigilant for a break in the right shoulder of this massive head-and-shoulders pattern currently developing. As a macro trader, I focus on the big picture—economics and long-term trends. While markets like India and long-term trading don’t get much...

RealMacro Updated  May 17

When a politician and their buddy start spouting nonsense about the US debt spiraling out of control, but then insist that tax cuts are great because they’ll create jobs, and all that money will somehow trickle down to the rest of us, magically boosting tax revenue to "make up" for the lost funds. Especially when that same politician was re-elected bc inflation &...

RealMacro Updated  May 10

Nice to look at history once in a while. As we can see 30% of corrections were frequent, unlike today where we suffer from asset price inflation with low economic growth relative. 2008 we had a REAL GDP of $15 trillion with $10T of public debt. 2021 18T of REAL GPD & $28T of public debt. Clearly, deficits do not contribute to economic growth. We only get $0.16...

RealMacro May 7

FED FUNDS Rate Inflation Adjusted for core inflation remains in the tightening area. As inflation rises over the next few months, thanks to Trump's liberating all Americans with higher taxes and less discretionary income to spend. I expect this chart to drop as inflation rises and Fed holds rates steady. Alternatively, FED lowers rates bc we will be in a...