Since my last update on this chart, Ethereum has broken its long term uptrend and dropped almost 40% in value. This was back in May of this year: Zoomed out, you can see the failed long term trendline. Obviously, a break back above it would be a bullish sign, but there's a long way to go, as it's currently around $4,000. Right now, it rests on its 200 and 100...
Just popping in for a quick Bitcoin update. Though cycle proponents will be quick to point out that Bitcoin is way ahead of where it "should" be, price wise compared with previous cycles, it's still struggling to maintain a new all-time high despite supposed institutional interest. People who have been in the market for years are starting to want out, expressing...
This is my first slightly longer post about the crypto market in some time. Despite being an ETH post, I get more into the market as a whole in this post. Here, I will do a little analysis on the above ETH chart, but primarily I will speak about fundamentals, my accuracies and my inaccuracies, and why I continue to observe the market. Ethereum was my biggest...
This is my first post in some time. As I stated before, I'm largely moving on from crypto. I'm still here, paying attention to the market. I've also created a site for my fiction writing. Eventually, I may migrate some of these posts over there as representations of my non-fiction speculative market analysis. Anyway, on to the important stuff. Bitcoin did not...
I pulled up my old Bitstamp chart, which I used during the previous bull market and the 2018 bear market to make some speculations and estimations. One of the most concerning technical developments in the 2021-2022 bear market was that Bitcoin lost its long term trendline (lower orange line). Bitstamp is useful because it stretches all the way back to 2012. To get...
Volume aligns with a weekly top, and there is a bearish divergence brewing. Of course, it's possible that the large sell volume is only indicative of Bitcoin moving around during the ETF launch. So, that's important to consider when assuming price will drop heavily from here. I'm fundamentally bearish on Bitcoin, not because I don't think higher prices are out...
Overall, since the end of 2021, I've seen Bitcoin is more of a net-negative when it comes to investing, for a variety of reasons. I've outlined all of this pretty clearly in my posts to this account since then. I correctly anticipated the drop all the way down below $20k back in 2022, though I did not really have any intention of buying back in or trying to time a...
Ah, Tronix. Yes, it's actually called "Tronix", not "Tron." The coin with the disappearing wallet. No joke, I made a wallet back in early 2019 for TRX and stored the private key. I like to do things the old fashioned way, so I wrote it down and double-checked it by logging in. The second time Iogged in, I got the notification, "this wallet doesn't exist." Since...
This is just a quick follow-up post to my short idea on Tronix from May. Here is the original post. I ultimately got stopped out of the first trade and failed to catch the nearly 50% drop. Despite dropping below the uptrend, TRX rebounded much better than the rest of the crypto market, and remains one of the only coins still above its bull market support. It's...
As I'm sure you've noticed, my posts have really slowed down. I'm just focusing on other things in my life, and it's mostly been good. Some hard times very recently, but that's how it goes. I hope you are all alright and trading safely :) Now...to Bitcoin. Volume is declining overall as less actual Bitcoin is traded. Hardly any coins have been sent to exchanges,...
Nothing to do with the Taylor Swift song. Just a good old structure breakdown for Litecoin. Price really must hold here, otherwise a retest of the long term horizontal support near $22 seems likely. Not a long post. Just wanted to provide an update on this chart. This can occur even if Bitcoin merely tests something like $48k. One reason I still follow LTC is...
Hey Tradingview. As my posts have really become sparse, I tend to only write when something pretty significant occurs. Right now, Bitcoin has made it all the way from $15.5k, back up close to its all-time-high from 2021. That's a pretty substantial feat. What it proves is that if a thing exists that can make money, people will buy it. Even if I write a...
Above is Blackrock's new Bitcoin ETF. This is mostly a joke and a "wait and see" post. I'm curious whether the liquidity generated by these Bitcoin ETF's creates a permanent resistance at their opening day high, which is around $30 for IBIT. I'm speculating that Bitcoin may never again breach $50k. Again, I'm partially kidding with this post but wouldn't be...
Amidst my re-evaluation of markets, divestment from crypto, and future planning, I'm slowly building a long term position in CYBIN. As a therapist who also happens to be a fan of psychedelics, this one fits me well. I think it can continue to flounder around, and perhaps test some even lower levels. Just looking for optimal entry points now, and managed to scoop...
In May of 2022, I called the long term top for Ethereum and final distribution. I sold all my ETH above $3k after purchasing most of mine below $150. A year ago, I called ETH's rally from the sub-$1k lows to be the first major bear market rally. Since then, ETH has continuously failed to go higher. This past May, I showed how ETH could end up back below $500....
Bitcoin is starting to look bullish on the weekly/monthly timeframe. Price had a strong monthly close above the 9 month EMA and the 50, which I've mentioned needed to hold for any bullish continuation. This is despite the SEC crackdown. I find it quite suspicious that Blackrock and others filed for Bitcoin ETF's shortly after that. Another example of why things...
Hooo boy, all those fund managers who were telling people to go balls to the walls on bonds earlier this year assuming interest rates would be lowered were truly addicted to the era of easy money. Some people have lost a lot recently. And it seems people are trying to now catch the falling knife (including myself, as I will explain). In the above charts, you can...
Not really a surprise here. After briefly heading higher, Litecoin has drifted back into the range it's been in since the beginning of the year. Since the failed breakout, I think it means Litecoin will need to test the lower bounds of the trading range and hope to God it finds buyers. I called the end to the rally a bit prematurely a couple of months ago: You...