The ten year has done a double pump each time it collapsed. This time it has hit its second top, and down we go to its 50% fib, or there abouts, just as it has in the past. Election coming, gotta make thin gs better than they seem and are. Lower rates in July .25, just a start, then another .25 in September, and then another in November. If they wait until...
Copper break major TL. Going lower folks. Productivity and growth slowing=RECESSSION. Future orders DOWN. Give me a break Powell, you know what a soft landing is? Its misery slowing the economy too slowly. Its recession for longer and deeper than you intend, because you lacked the Kahunas to do it painfully. Rather than just rip the bandage off, you are...
Always said, when. starbucks fails, discretionary spending over, recesssion here, end of $10 coffee, people making their own. .
Copper, and doctor copper, usually tells the story. Its the pulse of the economy. This Trend line event is everything. Bounce or break... I think you can say the same for the fake economic numbers the government is putting out there. You can only tell a lie so many times, before it does NOT become the truth, it becomes an embarrassment to the publishers. Each...
AI has no moral code. It doesn't CARE. 50 retrace, rinse repeat 3 X. Black swan just off stage, waiting to take it. Currency wars, imbalance globally, Yen... does Japan save itself or the world economy, does the US come to their rescue and devalue dollar, stagflation is here, does FED lower rates, save the real estate industry the stock market and this...
Sell In May may be in fashion this year. 4400 in sight. right at TL, right at 50% retrace, like machines were guiding it, or AI?
Vix going to explode higher here, game of suppression , ending, the early switch is on, check out the volume spike.
40 years of equities rising, could it be its time for bonds to take hold. A 40 year trend broken clearly and with power, and the FED doing all it can to keep its rise down, yet increasing rates? Its about the next election, and the pivot point of a country. Its the economy stupid, is the election base, but they wont speak it, they are covering it up. ...
Been comparing the past two VIX 5 wave patterns. Wave 5 really gets going. Repeat this timer again, debt ceiling, Taiwan invasion by China, Iran V US shipping, Ukraine debacle, Biden bribes looking really real - impeachment pending and his own party will do it, bank failures increasing, commercial real estate foreclosures rapidly increasing, do I need to go on...
Oil in wave 3 of 5, and will need the power leg to breach the major TL, retest, resume down in "recession" full force move, perhaps demand shock event triggers large wave 5 down. Previous 5 wave timeline looks similar, with strong 5 leg.
Bollinger bands are a tell of a big move coming when they constrict. They are tightening historically the most ever, yes ever. Which means whatever has caused them to get this way is an artificial market force, a lie which has delayed this move, so they overtighten. Overlaying the SPX with BDI, we see the 2020 crisis demand shock take place, first the BDI,...
spx is finishing a three drivers pattern, with its fib retraces right on. Its not an HS as many say. I feel the idiots in washington DC will not resolve the debt ceiling successfully, adding great volatility to the markets. These lines all "line up" almost as if by design. These drops coming up are wave patterns, and fibs almost exactly, again, as if by...
OIL is heading for another repeat, see 2020? Demand shock caused this pattern with Covid 19. Another lock down coming perhaps, that "they" know about and we don't? And why did they do that surprise production cut to artificially inflate price recently, just to have this price failure due to recession or worse fears. Maybe its just that, but financial control...
IWM, so which percentage down will it wind up being? 86% perhaps? So many waves, so many trend lines which are "right on", and amazing actually, how accurate and right on they are over such a time period.
VIXY is poised for a run now. Chyna inflation going to spike ours, and FED is watching they are fully aware. They may think they have a handle on US CPI but not Chyna's. And Japan still easing against the tide of others, just asking begging for more inflation there. While third world country's currencies failing, indicating huge inflation. And we print false...
HAL wants lower from here, indicators have a death cross. Dreamers are bullish. Realists are Bears here.
DXY's move up will cause this oil move down. Its indicators agree, the next move is down. Only problem is Cramer says to take oil profits here. Mmmmmmmm? He might actually be right for a change. Equities will follow.
DXY looks extremely similar to previous impulse wave here. Fib retrace also. Has Oppo affect on stocks, meaning DXY up, Oil down, energy stocks down, commodities down, all stocks down. Dollar talk of weakening and losing reserve status is a given, but think we will let that go without a fight? Dont think so. Dollar rallies here in the currency wars, and...