matthias

matthias Updated 

I am starting a position on NYSE:NEP on three thoughts: The company should be able to resolve its financing issues. The stock pays a hefty dividend (14.6%) I expect the gently rising intermediate term trading channel to remain active, and the short-term, declining channel to get broken. Somewhat balancing this view is the concern that a significant...

matthias Updated 

I think the chart tells the story: NYSE:MOS is trading at the lowest price to book multiple (see lower pane) since the pandemic, which was also the low point over the past 20 years. In addition, there's a buy signal from a AB=CD pattern visible on the chart. The symmetric triangle short play has in fact reached its T1 target and may be played out. In addition,...

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I've been a long-term bull on NASDAQ:WIRE for years, and it continues to be one of my largest positions. Fundamentally, there's nothing that changed my mind about the company. I've listed some of the reasons I like the company in this mind , and they're as valid now as they were last October. That said, I am thinking about reducing my position for a couple of...

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There's a nice symmetrical triangle setup for AFRM on the 15-minute chart, which should resolve in the coming week, and likely in explosive fashion. Adding extra spice to that is the yellow line that seems to head straight for the intersection of the declining (red) line connecting the recent highs and the ascending (green) line connecting the recent lows. What...

matthias

There's a fair amount of risk, but I am willing to give a long a try. I like ENPH as a leader in solar technology, and I believe that there are years of growth ahead for that industry. After several years of consistently negative ROIC, things started to turn around for the company in 2019. Management telegraphed a difficult environment for 2024. So, I fully expect...

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I am giving this a try. The chart kinda says it all. I am looking for T1 to get reached, but will likely take it all off, if that happens. SL for me occurs on a break of the green line.

matthias Updated 

I bought DAL today as a long-term buy. This is a violation of a restraining order I put on myself, given my lousy track record with airline stocks. Why go there, now? In bullet points: NYSE:LUV is getting smoked today, based on news that NYSE:BA will be unable to get anywhere close to its 2024 delivery commitments to LUV, thanks to the ongoing 737 MAX...

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UPDATE: The image I embedded in the TV chart for this idea was somehow rejected on the post. So I posted it on Imgur instead. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ The chart I present for this idea doesn't look like a normal TradingView chart. The reason is that this is not a trade, based on chart technicals, but an investment, which I intend to hold for...

matthias Updated 

I am interested in this big, yawning gap seen on the chart. This morning the stock generated very high interest (highest volume day YTD). But there was resistance from the Fib level, from the 200-day SMA, and from the prior high to overcome, and ultimately the stock failed to close above the Oct 17, 2023 high. Still, on an overall flat-to-down day the stock...

matthias

I like NYSE:BMY here. I already own shares, but am adding a call spread. Obviously, I am chasing short-term a bit, which is not generally a good idea. In this case I am willing to take the risk because of the overhead gap in volume (it's not a true gap, of course), and the fact that the stock seems ready to break its long-term down trend. Fundamentally, I...

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NASDAQ:AAPL attempted a new multi-month high today, failed, and now dropped back below its intermediate trend support line. This is a short-term issue, but I am also bearish NASDAQ:AAPL on fundamentals (see here ). Based on that, I'll give this idea some extra time and room: I am long the Dec 29 190/180 put spread. Current price is $1.91.

matthias

I've been a holder of NYSE:RCL since 2021 and I'm happy with the stock. Still, today I sold my shares. Here's why: First on the technicals: The stock ran 50% since its late October bottom without even a two-day correction. So, it's due for some of that. Also, @LonesomeTheBlue's terrific Trend Lines Pro tool identifies 2 competing rising trading channels on a...

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After the miss in August () I am taking another run at NYCB. I think at 1.2x TBV, a forward P/E of 7 with growing earnings and a 7% dividend yield this is an attractive proposition. I think a good first target is around 10.70 - 10.78 where the 38.2% retracement of the drop since August and the upper edge of the volume control band are. A SL would be reached for...

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I think there's a good chance that NASDAQ:SOFI 's is finally finished. The next few days it will be worth watching this stock. If SOFI manages to close above the downward channel this week and it doesn't get instantly sold on Monday I could see it have some explosive upside. Otherwise, we may be in for another test of the lows. I have a long position in the...

matthias Updated 

Today NYSE:DFS pierced the bottom of the gap that was created on October 19, when the stock sold off following earnings. The market's attitude this week has been that "bad is good". GDP forecasts are coming down, retailers are warning about consumers lowering their spending level, NASDAQ:AAPL gave a muted earnings release. All this meant that the Fed left...

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AMEX:IWM (Russell 2000 small-cap ETF) reached an all-time low in its relative performance vs. the NASDAQ:QQQ (Nasdaq large-cap ETF) last month. Today, however, AMEX:IWM has more than 2% of relative out-performance vs. $QQQ. And it had more than 2.5% of relative out-performance yesterday. To give a sense of how rare this is: In the last 21 years (since the...

matthias

I am buying some NYSE:NLY , even though the stock is very overbought in the short term (see Money Flow Indicator at bottom of chart). I like the breakout through the dotted line connecting the highs from Oct 10 and Nov 17. After breaking through this morning the stock pulled back underneath the dotted line, but has now recaptured the high. I believe that the...

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I don't really have much technical analysis support for this trade. This one is basically all fundamental: GS just reported earnings, and they took a bunch of charges, which made 3Q2023 a lot worse than 3Q2022. They did, however, still beat estimates. It looks to me like GS is finally getting out of a lot of the headwinds they had over the past couple of years: ...