troyroy

troyroy

Full disclosure I am holding long from the 27-28 level, bought on earnings winner pullback. I thought about throwing it up here may a time but life has gotten in the way. Lets get to it! The bottom (volume) has broken out over the 2x std line twice in the last week (The orange triangles point out he deviation breaks) while powering to a new high and confirming...

troyroy

In october 2017, NAIL broke $50 for the first time and doubled in the next four months (around a 33% gain for the normal home-builder ETF). Since then, we've taken back the entirety of those gains as we worry about interest rate hikes and the overvaluing of the space. Point is, I think the selling's about over. We have stabilized with a seeming double bottom in...

troyroy

Lets talk pot stocks. To be honest, I stumbled on this one when looking for an over-run pot stock to short. Then I read what they actually do, and it kind of blew my mind (just a little). Because pot is not federally legal, medical dispensaries can't work with banks (for the most part). IIPR is technically a REIT, but their real value comes from sale-leasebacks...

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Disclosure: Just sold my day trade longs. Would have updated over the past two days but just been too busy! Great days though, also haven't been posting because I have been testing some experimental indicators I made which seem to be helping when it comes to day trading. Once again, I am only day trading in this market until all the fundamental issues are...

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Shorting at the tripple top, using the top plus a standard deviation as my stop loss and switch to long. Lets see how this thing closes... I think we've hit our top for the day as long as something fundamental doesnt change by 4. Per usual, this is not an advice or recommendation and is for educational and/or entertainment purposes only

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Took profits on my last short on the double top and have been out until now. What I see: - Double top - Overbought - 5 Min MACD Divergence - A very volatile push that will absolutely run out of steam soon due to lack of fundamental reasoning. - Moving averages above price level should keep price down (Until it doesn't, of course) The Trade: Short, using the...

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During this entire correction, prices have been moving from moving average channel to moving average channel. I have been using these to create my risk/reward trades, and it has been been exceedingly helpful during these volatile times. I have found it is much easier to predict the flow to and from moving average channels then it is to predict overall market...

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Not a recommendation or anything, meant for educational purposes only.

troyroy Updated 

While this may seem obvious, it seems like my obvious ideas work more often then the less obvious, so i'm going with it. The 200SMA has been hit for the THIRD time today and immediately bounced off, for the third time once again. Currently I am accumulating my position between 2590-2610 and going long. My stoploss is under the 200SMA, at which point I will switch...

troyroy

Bullish Reasoning: 1. Small Bounce off the 50 SMA today 2. Bounce is also at an old resistance point/ supposed new support level 3. Also confluence with the .5 Retracement of the Feb lows with the March highs 4. SPX still above 200SMA. Although it hasnt been pointed out much, the Nasdaq is ALSO at a "double bottom" (if you take hitting the moving average again...

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This is my overall map/view of how I am going to play this correction on the MOST BASIC scale. I am putting this up to remind myself to KISS , or Keep It Simple Stupid . Currently I am short, averaged in right around the current level (2750). I will exit my short on either a downside move to the 200EMA or a strong upside move to the "'Positionless" zone. The...

troyroy

Heyo all! Note: You might want to zoom out a bit... I cant edit the chart view/size anymore (sad face)... Looking into Ethereum again. Like I mentioned in the last Ethereum update, my next buying opportunity was 650, with a tight stop. Thankfully, Ethereum bounced right there at the 200EMA, not falling further than 640! If it continues rising, I will see how...

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Here's what I see on the 1-Hour Chart - Pink rising wedge. I believe this is a strong rising wedge, having three points of contact on each side. As we know, this is a bearish pattern, but it is contained within the bullish green channel, so my first downside break target would be to that green support level. Second is to previous (short term) low, and last is to...

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Short Term trade with pretty quick stop loss under prior support. Considered the trade using lower support level as stop loss but I do not have enough confidence that we will make it over the 50 EMA in the short term to have that trade work out in a risk reward setting. I think this last break of ETHs trendline will pop back up and work itself out. As this is...

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Short term bearish Medium/Long term bullish First things first, BTC looks like it may be making a cup and handle here. While the price did not make it all the way to the prior high, it's close enough for me. Overall, the recent positive volume push is very bullish, especially following the prior pullback from the 20000 level. This volume makes me bullish...

troyroy

The first thing I see is the symmetry of the moves. A-b-c were basically the same move, just one to the upside and one to the down. If it were to continue to hypothetical point "d", it would end up at the price target I already had for this chart (See my SPX Bump n Run Pattern Chart). The convergence of this, the 200EMA, and my prior price target makes me think it...

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In the midterm, it looks like ETH is completing its head and shoulders pattern. The One Hour MACD is very bearish, although volume is weak. In the longterm, the trendline of death has still not convincingly been breached, and if Ether falls below it once more, expect more selling ahead before it gets better. As I have stated before, my next large bounce zone is...

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I like going through the MACDs at different time periods to see what they might tell me about this current move, as well as the prior. The five MACDs on my chart represent the MACDs calculated from five different time frames. From Top to Bottom: 4 Hour Chart: Bearish MACD Divergence has been corrected, no other Divergence 2 Hour Chart: Bearish MACD Divergence...