YM - Weekly Frontrunning To Sour Sell StopsOf the three stock indexes;
- CME_MINI:ES1!
- CME_MINI:NQ1!
- CBOT_MINI:YM1!
CBOT_MINI:YM1! Looks to be the pair that's frontrunning the sellside narrative as it is the 1st of the three to reverse and reject all-time highs @ 38,992, closing the week as a bearish doji candle whilst CME_MINI:ES1! and CME_MINI:NQ1! close out bullish.
Is this a indication for CME_MINI:ES1! & CME_MINI:NQ1! for a potential reversal?
Would many of us retail traders expect a sudden shift like that, similar to CBOT_MINI:YM1! ?
With a bullish TVC:DXY , more pressure could be placed on CBOT_MINI:YM1! to the downside to attack a DEEP liquidity pool @ 38,212 placed ever so perfectly on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighted in blue. This assumes the 1-hour wednesday bullish fair value gap rejects and gets treated like a inverted FVG.
38,645 will be my first point of call if my bias is to stick like glue.
Friday 9th Feb 2024 - 8:00AM bullish shooting star located on the 1-hour timeframe is a MAKE OR BREAK CANDLE. As long as price action trades below 38,840, there's a strong chance we could be in for a sell-off next week.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NQ - Weekly Sixxk Sister SellsideAs CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! tends to have tight correlation, it is logical to make the assumption that if my bias for CME_MINI:ES1! is short term bearish then it is only right to be short on CME_MINI:NQ1! also right?
Well, that's correct and we will have a look at CBOT_MINI:YM1! in my next post as an example of times where one goes wondering off in the complete opposite direction to the direction I originally opposed in comparison to the other two; CME_MINI:ES1! $CME_MINI:NQ1!.
A major psychological level with CME_MINI:NQ1! since the market is trading in uncharted territories would be 18,300 - 18,500 if my bias is to be negated and price action is to continue it's bullish trend.
In comparison to CME_MINI:ES1! , CME_MINI:NQ1! looks stronger from a time-based point a view as its been bullish for longer within a 2-weeks period and indicates if it were to retrace, 18,020 - 18,007.50 which maps out the 1-hour bullish order block will be a good area to add long positions for the opportunity to attack long-term intraday highs @ 18,071.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
Forex Factory - Volatility Dreams & NightmaresWe saw 6 high impact news released to the market yesterday and it gave me the volatility needed in order for deep liquidity pools to be tested, namely CME_MINI:ES1! daily bullish orderblock located @ 4976 since I was anticipating shorts yesterday to sellside levels.
Any day that has more than 3 high impact news releases, expect some form of volatility. If not, that day wouldn't be the ideal day to risk capital and would be best to sit on your hands.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
DXY - Weekly Road To Buyside
Thursday 28th Dec 2023 was the graceful day DXY formed the higher low of 2023 and ever since, we have been on a decent rally seeing a mind shattering 3900+ ticks from lows to recent long term highs @104.604.
Friday 2nd Feb 24 is when we witnessed a run on sell stops and the following Monday confirming the bullish fair value gap in which price respected 3 times indicating that if we are to see a candle closure below 108.811, there's a strong chance for sudden decline to 102.901. 104.557 has already been swept and if the market sentiment as a whole is risk on, 104.557 might be a long-term high for the foreseeable future with 102.742 being the #2 zone of take profit from a short perspective.
In contrary to the opposing bias, although a decline in ZB1! does not necessarily mean a bullish run in DXY, I am looking for a continuation in bullish price action with 105.668 being the next draw on liquidity for the week.
What would that mean for the stock index markets and forex?
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
ES - Weekly Jimmy Balodimas 101 With ATH's being broken, the sky's the limit for CME_MINI:ES1!
But with interest rates as high as they are, its only a matter of time before something gives! It's either we see the FED cut FRED:FEDFUNDS and stock index markets ABSOLUTELY ROCKET or.... interest rate spikes up one more time, inflicting MAX pain causing CME_MINI:ES1! CME_MINI:NQ1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! in a downward spiral.
Monday was the creation of the weekly bullish order block with 3 consecutive bullish candles proceeding it to close out the week @ 5044 whole. Since CME_MINI:ES1! is in new territory, the best method to gauge where to take profit or witness a likely rejection is by utilizing psychological numbers. In this case, 5050 is in the cards (which this weeks price action failed to penetrate) and 5100 (due to the algorithms liking round whole numbers) being up for grabs if we see a bullish continuation to the upside.
Solely analysing CME_MINI:ES1! but not TVC:DXY CBOT:ZB1! TVC:US10Y CME_MINI:NQ1! CBOT_MINI:YM1! FX:GBPUSD FX:EURUSD gives me a tunnelled vision in saying that I am 100% bullish on stock indexes as there is ALOT of economic uncertainty around the world at the moment and governmental policies that just are not sustainable over a long period of time. But I do foresee a short term decline in price back down to the 1-hourly zone located at 5032.50 with the chance to rip buyside's face off @5048.50
In this moment in time, I am bearish to the bullish hourly order block located between 5034 - 3031.25 but in the grand scheme of things, it could still be seen as a 'minor retracement' before the second leg to the upside.
Lookout for 5036.75....
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
US10Y - Weekly Buyside Attack! #1Throughout the week, rates has been predominantly bearish until a break in market structure occurred on Wed 7th Feb 24, 9:00AM, sweeping 6th Feb 24 - 15:00PM sellside before swiftly repricing higher, targeting the prior highs @ 4.169% and rallying up to where we are today.
Studying price action throughout this week, it can be observed that a liquidity void has been formed (highlighted in blue on the 1H timeframe) and throughout the week, US10Y has respected it as a resistance (as seen @ 7am on Wednesday 7th), Thur 8th, 13:00PM as well as Fri 9th, 8:00AM indicating that there is a lot of sell stops below the 4.127% region.
I am currently looking for higher rates at the moment, targeting 4.3%, following the bullish trend that kicked off from sellside was swept last Wednesday when equities opened @ 9:00AM
Interest Rates are paramount to the movement of all asset classes, hence the reason why I place such importance on it even though I do not trade it.
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
Forex Factory - I Smell Volatility I The AirMarkets love a bit of volatility and today is one of those days.
Over 6 releases of juicy news that's guaranteed to make a grown man shit their pants!
The only question is... which liquidity pool is the stock index markets and risk on pairs looking to gobble up first?
My philosophy is simple...
Fortify Michael J Huddlestone's concepts that I have studied to consistently predict where the market is more likely to go.
This includes;
- Market Structure
- Buyside/Sellside Liquidity
- Order Blocks
- Liquidity Voids
- Fair Value Gaps
- Optimal Trade Entry
- Premium/Discount Array
- SIBI/BISI
- Many More!
The strategies mentioned here are some of many that I use to implement into my analysis and over time, with consistency I aim to achieve a high degree of accuracy in the markets with the foresight and understanding to assess what went wrong when my bias is negated.
Credits;
- Michael Joe HUDDLESTONE
- Shawn Lee POWELL
- Toray KORTAN
EURGBP/EURJPY/EURAUD UPDATE! 2/6/2024Im going to attach my analysis from last night to this thread but mainly i was only anticipating these euro currency pairs to go short. they were all high probability set ups with multiple confulences. now ill be waiting for shorts to continue throughout the week holding these trades.
*eurgbp
* Eurjpy
* euraud
EUR/USD Weekly Development MondayLooking at EU we have major liquidity pool that can be taken however on the inverse chart it shows that the DXY has already liquidated that area which illustrates that a reversal is possible even before EU breaches that level. It is now a waiting game, picking the right moment to strike.
Trends heading into the FOMC Rate DecisionOverheated market trends showing a bull market is basically my findings. I have not held into positions, long or short, going into this last surge. I had a relatively promising month in January and decided I would just end it on that note.
Trends into today are;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4933 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Higher Low
2Hr - 4925 Downtrend (1/31/2024) Higher Low
3Hr - 4954 Uptrend (1/29/2024) Higher High
4Hr - 4829 Uptrend (1/19/2024) Higher High
6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High
12Hr - 4848 Uptrend (1/19/2024) Higher High
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
As explained, that 30m is showing the first sign of weakness for this surge to come back at all.
Additionally, I read a report with Dow Jones Newswires that most of the insider trading lately has been little to no buying and lots of selling. Basically that means that members with stocks in their own companies are taking profits and not investing further into their company. I wouldn't take this as a sign that they think their company is in trouble, but more as a sign that they feel their stocks are overvalued and it is profitable to sell now and repurchase later.
Economic Data today is going to the FED Meeting Minutes and the subsequent statement by Jerome Powell. I don't foresee, nor does the market, of any interest rate movement today.
Geopolitical tensions continue to worsen in the Middle East. The latest is a Drone strike in Jordan that killed 3 US Servicemembers. I've been very surprised that the market has not priced in any sort of issues coming from the Israel/Hamas conflict or any of the tensions and skirmish fighting in the surrounding area.
Overall, I see a huge threat to potential inflationary pressure disrupting this upward movement in the long term. Not some sort of pressure that would take us to a surge in inflation back to 9% like we were, but certainly not allowing us to reach a 2% target rate and having some minor upward movement instead of continuing the downtrend we have seen over the last year.
Overall, my sentiment is fairly neutral. While I had held a bullish sentiment with spots of bearish profit taking before, I see overall a neutral movement from here, as my estimate for our top over this year was to be 5000 and we've almost reached that already.
Commercial International Bank (COMI) opportunity Seizing intraday opportunity based on Smart Money Integrated with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo + FVG.
The narrative is channeled toward Arabic speakers trading in CASE.
Disclaimer: My analysis is not an investment proposal; Please consult your Investment Advisor and/or your Wealth Manager for your investment decisions.