What is a stock? Let me tell you a storyNow let's talk about what a stock is, why companies issue them, and why they attract investors.
To do this, imagine a story. Imagine a small shoe workshop with a single owner. Suppose he makes boots out of crocodile leather. His product is unique to the city and in demand, because these boots are very durable and comfortable. At this point, he can only produce one pair of boots a day, and the number of orders for boots is 2 pairs a day. To meet the demand of his customers, he hires an employee and buys twice as much crocodile leather and other necessary materials for the job. With what money? With all the profits previously accumulated. The workshop now meets the demand of two pairs of boots a day.
Later, the workshop receives a corporate order for 90 pairs of boots per month. In order to meet the new order, three more pairs of boots must be produced in addition to those two. But with what money to buy so many materials and hire three more employees? After all, even all of the previously accumulated profit is not enough for such a batch. In order not to miss out on a major customer, the workshop owner goes to the bank for a loan. The bank is happy to give him a loan secured by the workshop (which means that if the owner will not repay the loan, his workshop will be taken away). But all goes well, the owner hires three more workers, buys materials, and puts out five pairs of boots a day. With the proceeds, he pays the loan and interest.
Now, let's go back to that beautiful day when the shop received an order for 90 pairs. The owner could have declined the loan and waited for the accumulated profit, but to do so he would have had to negotiate with a potential buyer for a longer lead time for the entire batch, and that could have resulted in the loss of the order.
What it turns out: he needed the credit in order to ramp up production quickly, and thus the size of the business.
Taking advantage of the credit and constant demand, our workshop owner goes nationwide and becomes the most famous manufacturer of crocodile leather boots with many workshops all over the country. And a lot of people around him want to buy the successful business.
Then he starts thinking: on the one hand, he has a huge business that is profitable, and on the other hand, he has an opportunity to get money in exchange for workshops, stock of materials, employees' labor, business connections and reputation. In short, in exchange for everything he has created with his own hands and head, which is very difficult to sell individually.
He likes the idea, but in order to keep part of his business, he decides that he will sell only a share of his company - 25%. He did the math and realized that this money is enough for the rest of his life (and even to live another life).
What next? How does he sell something that no one will buy in pieces? Let’s continue next time.
Stocks
PVP> Periodic Volume ProfileVOLUME PROFILE SECTIONS:
1> What is Volume ?
2> What are volume NODES?
3> HIGH vs LOW volume NODES
4> Value Area - $ Price Rotation
5> 3 KEY Parts of VALUE Area? “VAH” “VAL” “POC”
6> Types of “Time Per Profile”
7> 4 Common Volume Profile SHAPES - D P B b
8> How to use for ENTRY/ EXIT
9> Trade Plan - What Is That?
1. What is VOLUME when it comes to trade?
It represents the number of shares/contracts of a underlying security “stock” traded between market participants called by us as Traders "buyers and sellers".
Stocks > the volume it is measured by the number of shares traded.
Futures/Options > the volume it is measured by the number of contracts traded.
Using Volume Profile instead of it being on the X axis “bottom” of the chart it is on the Y axis “left" side horizontally. Check RED ARROW chart below.
Volume profile shows us volume traded for a SPECIFIC PRICE instead of time like market profile. Two different types of profile.
Every time a contract is traded the volume profile builds out to the right as more and more contracts are traded at that price.
. NODES: What are nodes?
When you zoom all the way in on volume profile you can see the size of each node. These price levels are called nodes and measure the amount of contracts traded within a specific price point.
3. HIGH Volume Nodes vs LOW Volume NODES.
HIGH Volume Nodes: (GREEN ARROWS —> in picture below) Are were a HIGH number of contracts are traded so it is slow for price to move through these nodes sometimes.
BALANCE - When there are high volume nodes it means there is balance forming and that market participants agree on a price also know as “fair value”
LOW Volume Nodes: (RED ARROWS —> in picture below) Are were a LOW number of contracts are traded so it is fast for price to move through these nodes usually.
IMBALANCE - When there is a market imbalance price moves very fast until it finds a “fair” value.
Sometimes price will move quickly to a LOW NODE which they call vacuums so sometimes they will wick to them. (Look at where the wicks are in the picture and they are where the LOW Volume Nodes are.
The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac?I've mentioned the word "risk" many times before, and it really is a very important word in the investment process.
Today I would like to focus on a risk that you should pay much attention to as a future investor: market risk, or in other words, the risk that you will have to sell the shares you bought cheaper than the price at which you bought them, and suffer a loss in doing so. You will face this risk all the time, which is absolutely normal, because at any time events can happen which will cause the value of the stock to fall.
It can be said that investing in stocks is a series of profitable and unprofitable operations. So don't get discouraged and pour ashes on your head if your first trades are unsuccessful. That's part of the process. Investing is not a one-time transaction to make a quick profit, it's a way of life for your savings.
Remember the fundamental and simple rule of investing - the expected return is roughly equal to the risk you take. So, when you place money in a bank deposit, the only risk you take is that your money will depreciate by the difference between the rise in prices and the deposit rate.
The easiest way to explain this is with Big Macs. Let's say you have the money to buy 100 Big Macs. But you don't spend it, you put it under your mattress. A year later, because of a price increase of, say, 7%, you can buy not 100, but 93 Big Macs with the money from under the mattress. Every time you put money "under the mattress," you reduce the purchasing power of your savings. To preserve it, you can put your money in a year's deposit at the bank. That way, in a year, you'll withdraw the original amount from the deposit, plus a profit in the form of interest. Even if prices go up, as in the last example, you can buy 99 Big Macs, not 93.
Why not 100? Because the interest rate on a deposit is usually less than the percentage increase in prices (that is, inflation ). In our example, it was 6% versus inflation of 7%.
If you choose not to keep money "under the mattress" and not to open a deposit, but to invest in stocks, then at the end of the year you can buy, for example, 150 or only 50 Big Macs, because you are dealing with a potentially more profitable and therefore more risky instrument.
This is how the fundamental law of investing works, let me remind you again: as much risk as possible profit.
Thanks to this law we can refine our formula: investing in stocks is buying a share of a company with the goal of getting a future profit from its sale and being aware of the risk of a possible loss. Awareness of the risk of possible loss is an obligatory variable of our formula, an obligatory ingredient of our investment recipe.
Awareness of the problem is already a big step towards its solution. It's impossible to completely eliminate risks, but with proper management their impact can be minimized.
So, after studying the entire series of posts, you will get the necessary knowledge and practical skills to:
- find shares of companies interesting for investment;
- evaluate the financial condition of companies;
- determine the conditions for buying stocks;
- determine the conditions for selling stocks;
- manage risks;
- take into account the results of your operations.
You will have a ready-to-use strategy that will always help you find the answer to what to do or not to do with the stock at the current moment in time. You will not have to chain yourself to the monitor and do it all your time. You won't spend any more time doing it than you do watching the news or social media. You will learn to think like a intelligent investor, and you certainly will become one, if you are prepared to open yourself up to a very interesting and fascinating field of knowledge - stock investing. I sincerely wish you success on this path!
Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not goodLet's break down the thought from the previous post in more detail. Obviously, to buy stocks, you have to have money, and if you are determined to become an investor, get ready to open your piggy bank. If you don't have savings, however, don't despair, there are other options.
I suggest you look at the following 4 options for acquiring the finances to buy stocks :
- Reduce your current expenses
- Sell unnecessary assets
- Increase your regular income
- And the option I don't recommend using at the start is to borrow.
I immediately stipulate that it is your, and only your responsibility how to apply the knowledge gained - to use something of the proposed or to go another way. I do not insist on anything. Rather, I am sharing information, but the decision is up to you in any case.
My opinion - always start with reducing your current costs, because the funds you save now give you a chance to increase your wealth in the future through investing. Make it a rule to plan your purchases in advance and buy only what is on your list. Don't go to the store without a list, otherwise you will buy more than you really need.
Next. Look at your possessions. Make a list of what you can sell without compromising your financial and mental well-being. Let what you don't need now serve to increase your wealth in the future.
Increasing your regular income is probably the most time-consuming but feasible way to accumulate funds for investment. Many people are often faced with the problem of choosing between a job they love where they don't earn enough and a job they hate with a higher income or, even worse, a job they hate with a paltry income. In the latter two cases, I recommend becoming an active user of services that will help you find the job you want (but don't act in haste, don't quit a job you don't like right away). Remember our goal is to keep and increase our income, not lose it altogether. In the case of a job you love and don't make much money, think about how you can increase your income in your current job. Sometimes all you have to do is make up your mind and ask your employer for it. Even a small increase will help you start saving. And if you have both a job you love and a desired level of income, I congratulate you, you are truly lucky.
Moving on. Borrowing for investments is the riskiest option. I highly do not recommend it, especially at the beginning of your investing journey. You definitely should not take a loan from a bank or other financial institutions. The credit rate will only increase your costs, and the need to repay the loan every month will break your entire investment strategy.
If family, friends or acquaintances are willing to lend you money long-term and without interest, think about whether your lender is aware of the risks and whether you are aware of the risks associated with investing in stocks, and whether this person will demand the money back before the agreed upon deadline. Even if you have agreed on everything, write down all of the terms of such a private loan on paper, so it is easier to resolve any disputes.
I always insist that the investment is conscious, that you understand and are ready to bear the responsibility and risks. So if you have even the slightest doubt about the borrowing option - don't take it! Consider another option. Ideally - work out a step-by-step plan and accumulate the necessary amount of money gradually.
Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes"Have a wonderful day, my dear friends!
Let's get acquainted. My name is Capy. Someday I will tell you my stunning life story, and how fate has tied me to investing. I can't quite believe it myself sometimes... But that's not what today is about.
Today I'm starting a series of posts to introduce you to my vision and strategy in the very multifaceted and insanely interesting topic of stock investing.
Let's start by figuring out why you should be an investor?
Many people think that investors are some kind of Wall Street wolves who trade stocks of companies and make unimaginable amounts of money on it. I'm sure there are those too. But, in fact, investing has long ceased to be the monopoly of the employees of banks, brokerage companies or big businessmen.
Investing is available to absolutely everyone who plans their wealth and has the basic knowledge obtained at university. Or aspires to learn this indomitable beast. This is the reason I started this blog: to help everyone who wants to understand and share my ready-made strategy that you can apply in the process of investing.
It's worth saying that every one of us has done the act of investing at least once in our lives, perhaps without even realizing it. For example, when placing money on a bank deposit (the well-known bank deposit), renting out real estate, opening a business or just learning. All these actions have one common formula: you give something away now in order to get it back in the future and, in addition, to make a profit.
When you rent out an apartment, you cannot live in it because you have given it to other people to use. But when the lease expires, you'll get your apartment back, plus a profit in the form of the rent you've been receiving all that time.
When you start a business, you put money into it so you can pay it back later through the proceeds. And, of course, you expect the returns to exceed the costs invested.
When you invest in education, you plan to use what you have learned to achieve something, whether it's getting a job or enriching your inner world.
It is the expectation of profit that is the main motivating factor for the investor and the main purpose of the investment.
If you give someone an apple and they give it back to you after a while, that's not an investment. And if you give someone an apple, and after some time you get two apples back - you are already an investor, because you made a profit in the form of an additional apple.
The upcoming series of posts will focus on one of the investment options - namely, investing in stocks of companies. I plan to teach you how to approach each trade wisely and in a measured way to keep you from engaging in short-term speculation that looks like a casino game.
Going back to our formula, a stock investment is a transfer of your money to a particular company in exchange for a stake in its business. The purpose of these actions is to make a profit in the future from the sale of the shares (in the case of buying cheaper and selling higher), or the second option - to receive dividends. Dividends are when the company shares with you a portion of the profits in proportion to your share in the business. But we will focus on the first option to make a profit, that is "buy cheaper - sell more expensive". And the dividends to consider as a nice bonus to this strategy.
I will publish a new post soon. Let's talk about approaches that will allow you to find funds for investment.
The magic triangle of investingIdeal investment instrument = highest return, lowest risk, highest liquidity.
Risk and uncertainty are an integral part of investment projects and are an important component of investment decision-making. In fact, the connection of return, risk and liquidity represents the magic of the triangle . More precisely, their combination is the result of trying to achieve the best result on one vertex, which results in a loss on another vertex. For example, the best result on all three peaks cannot be achieved simultaneously.
This is the basic principle of how investing works. Also, it is popular as the "alpha and omega" of investing. It consists of return, risk and liquidity - three factors that you should take into account in every investment in the financial market.
Return
The return is one of the three peaks that influence the investor whether to buy the given asset or not. Under income, we include all earnings of an investment from the moment we put funds into it and it lasts until the time of the last possible income from this investment.
Most investors seek to maximize return, given the potential risk and liquidity. However, investment return isn’t guaranteed in most stocks. It is also necessary to distinguish between historical (ex post-was or could have been achieved) and expected return.
Liquidity
The term liquidity refers to the speed with which we are able to exchange our investments back into cash at the lowest possible transaction costs. However, the degree of liquidity depends mainly on the financial instrument itself and the nature of the market. In fact, it is reasonable to know the degree of liquidity, especially when investing. Investors look for goods that are highly liquid, so that in case of a sudden price reduction, they can sell the goods before the prices hit the bottom.
For some types of assets, their liquidity is determined by contractual conditions such as the period of deposit in term deposits. Yet with most financial instruments, the degree of liquidity of the given financial instrument is conditioned by the demand and supply for it.
In addition, there is an opinion that the rate of return corresponds to the risk. Different instruments – different degrees of liquidity – in different markets. Highly liquid are foreign exchange markets, financial derivatives markets, and government bonds. For example, the most liquid assets are shares, where there is no problem of converting them into cash on the stock market without major losses. On the one hand, the least liquid assets appear to be the real estate which, in certain cases can even become non monetizable . This means that they have minimal, close to zero, liquidity. On the other hand, the higher the profitability of the object and location, the higher the demand for them and thus also their liquidity.
Therefore, every investor should consider the composition of assets with different liquidity when compiling an investment portfolio. Also, they should mind the fact that they keep a certain part of the funds as a financial reserve, whether in the form of cash or highly liquid assets.
Risk
Risk is a synonym for a certain degree of uncertainty related to expected returns. In other words, risk appears as the investor's danger that they won’t achieve the expected return. So, the actual return will be different from the expected one in the future and thus there will be a deviation from the expectation. In addition, risk represents a quantity that is difficult to quantify, as it is influenced by several factors, or their combination. Anyone who wants to invest should determine the maximum level of risk that they are willing to bear and forward. If there is no such thing as the ONE perfect investment, then the logical conclusion is: don't put all your available capital into one and the same investment. Therefore, diversification is the magic word. Those who combine several types of investment spread their risk and fulfill each of the criteria of the magic triangle in the addition of all investments.
Money Affects HappinessConventionally, we used to hear the saying, "Money can't buy happiness.". Is it really true? Let's look at some facts about happiness, money, and life.
Easy to talk about happiness and specific amounts of it, but how do we measure happiness in real life? It isn’t something we perceptibly see in a computer game. In fact, it is more like a feeling and believe it or not, there are ways to measure it.
How To Measure Happiness?
As we look at the behavioral aspect, when we feel happy our behaviors change. We smile more and feel much more energetic. Hence we might be much more patient and helpful to others. However, any external factors can affect our happiness, which simultaneously affects our behaviors such as sun, exercising, eating, etc. Other than our behaviors, there are some biological ways to assess and reveal people's happiness levels in laboratories, but these are way too scientific. Reports, on the other hand, are another helpful source of information. In Particular, we can consider self-reports of people about their emotions and the feedback from other people. For example, as a parent, brief information about their child's emotional state to another person is valuable feedback. Of course, this data is mostly based on a person's emotional well-being, but it is also helping researchers carry out certain types of studies.
Attitudes Towards Money
For most people, the relationship with money, happiness, and living standards compose complicated relationships. It isn't like something that turns off when they achieve a certain amount of wage per year. They want more. Therefore, they try to find ways to earn more, usually by advancing in their career, which results in economic growth on a societal basis. On the other hand, things may lead in a different direction. More income means more flexibility on living expenses. However, with the pandemic, things started to change dimensions. The pandemic was actually the emergence of some crises. Some people lost their jobs or gave up what they love for the sake of themselves and their loved ones. Thus, the pandemic started a new pursuit to make money in challenging times. So happiness had to be put away from people in order to survive. For some people, money might be the indicator of success. In that case, if you are not earning much from your current job, you might think, "Am I not successful enough?" That creates a twisted sense of success and affects the lives of many. For some other people, however, only the job they are performing gives their lives a purpose that brings happiness simultaneously. As you can see, "money" can be determined in many ways depending on the person.
Killingworth's Study
In this post, I will also talk about a study by Matthew Killingworth. This research was conducted to measure people's well-being by collecting data from them on a daily basis. Actually, it has an extremely interesting content-collecting process. At some point, he links people's happiness with their income, as I mentioned before.
According to a paper from 2010 by Daniel Kahneman and Angus Deaton, well-being stops increasing after achieving a $75,000 annual salary. In his study, Killingworth declares that the possibility of increasing well-being stops after some time. This is since money no longer means something. However, he suggests well-being continues to increase with income as it can also give some satisfaction even just to see the ability to make "more" money.
Following on the study, Killingworth highlights that people earning more are happier. This derives from their high income and the possibility of doing things without doubt and worry. Who wouldn't be pleased by not caring about money while doing things they want to do? On the other side of the story, working excessively to earn more brings problems such as depression. People who link their self-worth with their income most definitely suffer from stress and, even more, depression. So, the key is trying to keep everything at proper and healthy levels. For example, the passion of earning more or dreaming about an alternative life that comes with more money.
📖 5 Books On Trading That Everyone Should Know 📖📖 5 Books On Trading That Everyone Should Know 📖
📖 1. Reminiscences of a Stock Operator - Edwin Lefèvre.
📖 Reminiscences of a Stock Operator is a fabularized biography of the most famous speculator of all time Jesse Livermoore. Jesse Livermoore operated in the stock and commodity markets in the early 20th century in the 1920s to be exact. He was one of those speculators who made an astronomical fortune almost from scratch. He made and lost fortunes. His wins and losses as of today could be counted in the hundreds of millions of dollars. His speculative concepts and brilliant remarks on the markets, inspired and still inspire speculators around the world today. Despite the passage of 100 years since those events, the strategies and trading approach have not lost their value, I would even say they have gained. The book reads very well, it is written in accessible language, everyone will be able to understand it and take something for themselves. A must-have item on the shelf at every trader's home.
📖 2.The Disciplined Trader - Mark Douglas
📖 The Disciplined Trader. One of the first books that on such a scale spread interest in psychological elements in trading. Mark Douglas, after working with many traders in his career, noticed that mental elements are one of the main barriers to success in trading. He presents in his book the principles and mental attitudes that are necessary for success in this industry, it is worth mentioning that these attitudes are fundamentally different to what we have been taught to live in society. An ideal book for people who feel that the technical aspect has been mastered, but still feel that they have some internal blockages that block them from achieving systematic results in trading.
📖 3. Market Wizards - Jack D. Schwager
📖 Market Wizards. Book-talk. This is the first, and considered by many to be the most important, part of Jack Schwager's conversations with prominent traders. In it we can hear their stories and thoughts on trading of such people as: Jim Rogers, Paul Tudor Jones, Larry Hite, William O'Neil.
In the book we can read a lot of conversations in which each trader brings something from himself and presents his specific view of the market. We will learn a lot about technical analysis, as well as fundamental analysis, risk management and many other aspects related to trading. Everyone can find something for themselves. It is not a book to be read from cover to cover.
📖 4. The Intelligent Investor - Benjamin Graham
📖 A book of investing legends. The most prominent investment advisor of the 20th century. Since its publication, the book has become, so to speak, a holy book of the stock market and the philosophy of "value investing" with which every investor must become familiar. Its philosophy and the principles it recommends to follow teach and inspire investors around the world to this day. It is worth mentioning that Warren Buffett was one of Graham's disciples and repeatedly mentions how great an influence he had on him. A must-have item for any aspiring long-term investor
📖 5. Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets - John J. Murphy
📖 Another holy book this time on technical analysis. This book is a comprehensive expedition presenting the vast majority of technical analysis concepts. John J. Murphy, thanks to his 30 years of experience working in financial institutions, takes the reader through all the topics that are key to understanding technical analysis. It is an excellent primer, which allows for an accessible and understandable introduction to the world of technical analysis. The book lays a solid foundation, thanks to which you will be able to expand your analytical skills. Everything we need to know about charts can be found in this book. It is no wonder that to this day it is a worldwide bestseller and the most popular book on the technical aspects of market analysis.
📖 Have you read any of the books mentioned? share your opinion in the comments.
✨If you liked the post leave a like and follow to stay up to date with upcoming materials.✨
🏆 10 Trading Rules For Success 🏆🏆 Accept the losses . Losses are inherent in trading. There is no earning trader who will not suffer a loss from time to time. In the case of trading, a mistake involves a loss of capital, which can be painful at the very beginning of learning, but as you develop your skills and expand your range of competencies, you begin to understand that it is impossible to successfully win against the market without occasionally incurring a cost for this struggle in the form of losing trades.
🏆 Don't Risk Money You Can't Lose . Playing the financial market involves constant risk in which the most at risk is our capital which we trade. We can't afford to bet with money we can't lose, by which I mean money meant for living, savings, family money, selling usable items to fund an account with a broker. There is always the temptation that if only we had a bigger trading account we would play better and take less risk, which is of course nonsense. No matter how much money we trade with, whether it's hundreds, thousands or even hundreds of thousands we will always be tempted to play with even more money to make profits even bigger, unfortunately, most likely the only thing that increases is the loss on the trading account. Each of us must find the right amount of money for him, I would suggest at the very beginning to operate with money that we are able to recharge the broker in a few weeks, for some it will be 10% and for some 30% of monthly income.
🏆 Treat Trading Like a Business . Trading is such a business venture of ours, starting with the capital we have to put up to get into it, then developing a strategy that will bring us profits, after protecting ourselves from losses, including costs such as (cost of opening a trade, swap, spread), taxes. We can't treat trading as a hobby or as a job from 8-8. Profits on the financial market are not so predictable that we can say with a clear conscience how much we'll earn next month, and what's more, it may turn out that instead of earning, we'll lose. As for the fact that trading should not be considered a hobby, I can only add that trading requires much more focus and commitment than typical hobby activities, inherent in it is the theme of making and losing money, which for most is a very emotional subject.
🏆 Control Your Emotions . Control of emotions is a key issue in any field if we talk about the master level, from many interviews of professionals in their fields we can repeatedly hear about how control of emotions is of great importance in their field especially on the results they get. As trading is a competitive field. Someone wins someone loses. As our earned money is at stake, I don't need to stress that this doesn't make the whole thing any easier. The most important thing is to realize that emotions will occur and instead of suppressing this fact we should accept it. In order to control emotions, the most important element is to realize that we are under its influence. Because taking action under the influence of some extreme emotions is simply a mistake and it is best in such a case to step away from trading for a day and sometimes even a week to simply cool down. One of the best ways to reset your emotions is to sleep, take a nap and even meditate, and for all those who think that meditation is not for them, but only for tree huggers, I would like to introduce you to one of the famous personalities from the world of investment, which is Ray Dalio, who since 1985 has served as co-head investment director of the world's largest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates. Whose fortune amounts to $19.1 billion and has repeatedly mentioned that transcedental meditation was the best investment he made in his life.
🏆 Manage risk . Such a broad topic that I will prepare a separate post for it, in short, we need to determine what % of capital we can devote to one concluded transaction, in my opinion we should not risk more than 1 to 2% of capital per position. In my opinion, we should not risk more than 1 to 2% of capital per position. We must also take into account the possibility of correlation, because what does it matter if we open 10 transactions with a rate of 2% if all of them are concluded on correlated markets such as forex or stocks. Then our risk is no longer 2%, but in the worst case 20%.
🏆 Stay disciplined . Learning to trade should be perceived more as a marathon rather than a sprint, on our way we will meet many disappointments and failures that are inherent in learning any field, we must not give up, we must remain disciplined and focused on the final result, in trading there is no room for distraction and making decisions on the spur of the moment. Markets are not forgiving of any mistakes or distractions, sometimes one moment of absentmindedness can affect the state of our portfolio. As traders, we must remain in a constant circle of learning and acquiring new skills. We will not achieve any results if we approach trading once a quarter. Taking up trading should be considered in the category of a future source of income about which we want to learn as much as possible.
🏆 Know your strategy . We need to know and understand perfectly the reasons and the way to trade, we need to be 100% aware of when to take trades and when we are remote from the market. We need to know what risks we can take on a given taransaction when we close it and what we will have to do (if).
🏆 Forget The Holy Grail . Just forget about it, if you are still looking for an idle indicator that will only give you profitable signals with your only right parameters, forget about success. Trading is something much more broad and deep than just the intersection of two moving averages. There are so many factors at work on traders' decisions that affect price movement that we can't even comprehend with our brains. I'm not saying here that it's not worth using indicators or fundamental data. I mean only not to base your decisions on them and not to get stuck in a vicious circle of testing a new strategy every week.
🏆 Trend is Your Friend . I'm not going to elaborate here. You simply have a higher probability of success playing with the trend and that's it.
🏆 Never stop learning . Never but never stop learning, read everything that falls into your hands and you find valuable at any given time. Watch, listen read about trading meet other traders ask questions and never stop learning. Remember follow my profile fits perfectly into the circle of continuous learning :D
🏆 Like the post? Follow my profile for more!
TRENDLINE STRATEGY!! TRADING WITH TRENDLINES IN 2022This tutorial video discusses how to use trendline as a trading strategy on any timeframe or market including FOREX, STOCKS or CRYPTO. DROP A LIKE AND SHARE WITH OTHER PEOPLE.
P.S NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR... JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL AND LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY...
TRADING FOR BEGINEERS! USING SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE IN 2022!!!This tutorial video discusses how to find KEY support and resistance within trading on any timeframe or market including FOREX, STOCKS or CRYPTO. DROP A LIKE AND SHARE WITH OTHER PEOPLE.
P.S NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR... JUST FOR EDUCATIONAL AND LEARNING PURPOSES ONLY...
What is an ETF? (exchange traded fund)
An exchange traded fund (ETF) is an investment fund that invests in a basket of stocks, bonds, or other assets. ETFs are traded on a stock exchange, just like stocks. Investors are drawn to ETFs because of their low price, tax efficiency and ease of trading.
ETFs seek to provide the performance of a specified index, such as the S&P 500, and typically have low fees.
Like mutual funds, ETFs offer investors diversified exposure to a portfolio of securities, such as stocks, bonds, commodities and real estate.
Why are ETFs popular?
While investors often associate ETFs with large stock indexes, such as the S&P 500, ETFs provide access to virtually every asset class, sector, region, theme and investment style.
ETFs are popular because of their low fees, tax efficiency, liquidity and transparency. Since the first ETF was launched in 1993, the ETF industry has grown substantially, with more than $3 trillion now invested in ETFs.
What are the benefits of ETFs?
ETFs cost significantly less than comparable active mutual funds — and that savings can add up over time. Other benefits include:
Access and liquidity. Because ETFs are traded on stock exchanges, they are easily bought or sold.
Transparency. Just like mutual funds, ETFs report performance quarterly and fees daily.
Diversification. ETFs provide access to a wide range of investment options, covering a broad range of asset classes, sectors and geographies. They also make it easy to select specific themes or investment styles.
What are the risks associated
with ETFs?
Like mutual funds, ETFs carry investment risk depending on their asset class, strategy and region. Some ETFs are riskier than others.
In addition, if you invest in an ETF that holds securities in a currency other than your own, movements in the foreign exchange rate may affect your returns.
🔥The LAST hope for crypto: why DXY may pump BTC soon❓Hi friends! This educational idea about the dollar index and entire crypto market will be really usefull for the beginners and the experienced traders also.
I`ll explain you several fundamental and technical reasons why and when BTC ans other crpyto will start rise. You can also use it in your trading to identify the global trend and open more succesfull trades.
As far as you may know, ✅the stronger the dollar index (DXY) the weaker all global assets and vice versa. This means that when the index rises, most stocks, cryptocurrencies fall. When the index falls the most assets grow very fast, especially such volatile ones as 🔥crypto: Bitcoin, altcoins
and 🔥shares of technology companies: Tesla, Meta, Apple, etc.
But when actually BTC and other crypto will start it's rise and you can open your best long trades❓ I explain you this in the both chapters about fundamental and technical analysis.
✅ Fundamental analysis
Now the dollar index is strengthening amid the Fed rate hike. This means that we have to wait until the trend reverses and the dollar index starts to fall. After that BTC and altcoins might start it`s new BULL MARKET.
📊 When the dollar index (DXY) starts to fall? The dollar has strengthened significantly against other currencies in the world (pound, euro etc.). This is caused by the latest rate hike to 3.25% and expectations for an increase to 4.4-4.75% by the end of 2022.
The stats for traders who want to understand how the growth of dollar index (DXY) affects other assets and currencies:
🚩The Euro is at 20 year lows.
🚩The Yen is at 24 year lows.
🚩The Pound is at 37 year lows.
📊 Do not be surprised that Bitcoin fell so much🔥, because according to the latest data, even the institutionals (big players) also scared and opened the biggest hedge positions since 2008.
🚩 It can be assumed that from the end of 2022 or early 2023 we can see a global reversal of ALL markets, including crypto depends on FEDs rate hicking end.
✅ Technical analysis
📊 14 year channel on DXY
Pay attention to point #4 on the dollar index chart. This is where the global uptrend for DXY and global downtrend for BTC began. The strongest dependence!
📊 When to open a long trade on Bitcoin❓
The end of the rate hike by the end of 2022 coincides with the technical analysis on the dollar index chart. The index is now at point #5, which is the upper boundary of the channel and the srongest resistance for the dollar index.
It is worth adding that this is not just a channel on the 5 min chart, which globally has no significance. This is a huge 14 year channel (‼️) on the weekly chart, which the price will test for the 5th time! This is a powerful signal for a reversal and resistance for the price.
🚩 The higher the timeframe, the more traders see it and, accordingly, the greater the price reaction on it. Montly>Weekly>Daily>4h>1h>...
🔥We can expect the index to fall from point #5 or at least partially consolidate at these levels before falling, as it was back in 2017 (or point #3). This can pull the price assest including BTC and altcoin to the new ATH.
📊 BTC global bottoms.
In addition, the reversal of the dollar index coincides with the formation of Bitcoin's global bottom. Bitcoin began 3/4 of its bull markets with consolidation at the bottom, which is happening now.
🚩 Of course, local manipulations with the collection of liquidity below $17,000 are very likely, but even now you can start to look for a good entry point in the trend reversal. For example, it may be the pattern of higher lows and higher highs, which is characteristic of a bullish trend.
✅ I use much more advanced trading systems to identify the best entry points and open trades either short or long, about which I write my ideas on TradingView, but this pattern will definitely help both beginner and experienced trader to earn more.
Traders, will you use this analysis in your trading❓ When exactly do you expect the global bottom on Bitcoin❓ Let's discuss it in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "boost"🚀 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Understanding Yourself In Trading 🌼A Short Post about Psychology. Some people dismiss this area but in my opinion it is a huge determining factor as to whether someone will make it or crash and burn as a trader.
In meeting many new traders I find that most questions that they pose revolve around trading systems and how to make the most money from the market. Rarely am I asked questions related to the mentality and mind of a trader which we all soon discover in our trading journey is a major facet that will determine if we will be successful or not.
In this post I wanted to illustrate the importance of trading psychology and understanding your own mental parameters by using the experiences of 3 different traders that I met.
THE FIRST TRADER
The First Trader I ever met was veteran bank trader who had little formal education, was divorced, drank too much and enjoyed drugs. I was shocked as to how someone with excessive habits like this could have had such a long trading career. It was not too long into my trading journey that I discovered that this type of individual was common place on the trading floor. I spent much time with this trader to try to pick up any useful tips or what trading system he used. I noticed that he placed very little weight on technical analysis (walk onto the FX trading floor of any bank and ask them what they think of the RSI indicator and the stochastics - most won't have a clue what you are talking about and the rest will probably say something obscene!). He traded more based upon ' gut instinct ' of the market that was developed over considerable time. His key to success was learning over time price behaviour (price action). In addition he told me that he never trades when he has a hangover, is high or had a recent arguement with his ex-wife !!
How true it is that events taking place in our lives outside of our trading can have a major impact upon our trading. How many traders have traded whilst angry at the market and then make a trade to try to get one back only to further their losses. How many people have traded whilst convinced that their broker is out to get them only to make more bad trading decisions. How many have traded at times when their life is undergoing major changes only to lose the necessary concentration and confidence that it takes to be successful.
THE SECOND TRADER
Another trader that I know told me that he went to a seminar about swing trading and came back from the seminar fired up that he was going to change his method to swing trading. Convinced that this was the path to greater profits he began to research various swing trading systems until he finally found one that he was going to adopt. After failing miserably and having to go back to day trading that had been working for him he told me why he had failed. He said that he would spend time researching a possible trade and then would execute with the various stop loss/ take profit parameters in place. He said that he found himself lying awake at night wondering what the market was doing and would get out of bed and check on his trade. He said that he also would execute a trade and then panic when the trade went against him because he could not wait for the big swing that he was expecting. Finally he concluded that this style of trading just was not good for his personality and went back and resumed his day trading style and was able to sleep at night again without worrying what was happening in the Asian session!
This reminds me of the old adage ' if it aint broke then don't fix it '. How often are traders enticed away from models that have been working for them in favor of the latest or most fashionable indicator. If your trading model is working and making you money then keep doing it. Secondly it is important that your trading method works within the parameters of your own mentality. Whilst you can work on changing your mentality it may be better to understand yourself and adapt a style or method around yourself as opposed to trying to adopt someone elses mentality.
THE THIRD TRADER
The Last Trader that I met is one that I met recently. This trader told me that whilst he has had some success this was somewhat diluted and in some cases replaced by his losses. His money management strategy was reasonable but it became apparent to me the more we chatted was that he was lacking in a key area that is essential if one is to become a successful trader - CONFIDENCE . Every time his trade was up 10 pips he would exit the trade being afraid that the trade would turn against him and every time the trade was down 5 pips he would exit afraid that it would get worse. This is a common obstacle in trading because no one can say with 100% accuracy where the market is going. If they could they would have all the money in the world (if you have Accuracy 100% Congratulations). Lack of confidence will destroy you as a trader. Confidence needs to be developed over time and in trading it does not come over night but it can be developed as we understand the market better. One way to boost your confidence level is to thoroughly research your trading model - know it inside and out and especially know how it responds around the vulnerable areas because all trading models have an achilles heel and it is how you handle those points which is vital.
FINAL WORDS
Well there it is folks just a few things that I have picked up along the way in the wonderful world of trading. If this business was easy everyone would be doing it but over time and with the right approach and mentality success (whatever you define it to be) can be achieved.
Wish you all the best in becoming the best trader YOU can be.
Enjoy Your Weekend 😸😸
-Monaco
SOURCE :
Monaco 2006 FF
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Your mindset is EverythingYour mindset is everything.
Believe it can be your reality. Unbelief will make you quickly derail this with all kinds of thoughts.
If you don't believe you can ever trade 7-8 figures and more, you will never get to trade it.
Question you should be asking is, does this logic work? Can I repeat this same process on any pair in the market place?
That will be Intelligence in display instead.
How? Manage it in a manner that does not elevate it as the Master of your house. You are the Master of your house and your house is Trading your model. If you allow a single loss to decide your continuation as a Trader or belief in your model to diminish, you are not the Master of your house... you have given that role to your loss.
Where is the strength or logic in this? It escapes sound reasoning and invites defeat. More than defeat... it is surrender. You are essentially saying that your next trade has to be profitable or "else" you aren't ever going to succeed. You do not admit this at the time you enter the trade... but the leverage and mindset about the absence of a stop loss, come hell or high water you will take something out as a gain. Leaving no room to permit imperfection... and you wonder why you are stressed in the trade?
The sound logic is this...
"I can accept a result that is not favorable. If I follow my model, manage the risk impeccably, manage the position and take partials along the way... I will be fine. Or "else", I will need to endure needless pain and exaggerated drawdown, of which I was the sole responsible party."
See the difference there? One mindset says... "I have to win or else I fail entirely" and the other recognizes the risk of not following sound Trade & Risk Management protocols and owns the responsibility. The second mindset is open to imperfection and it sees the losses as a transaction without gain... nothing more. The first mindset sees any loss as the death blow that ends their Trading career.
Technicalities in the marketplace are useless without having a proper mindset.
Choices... we all have them. Which mindset do you want to hold fast to in this career?
Choose wisely.
Your mindset is everything.
what TRADER are you on weekend days?Good Day Constant Reader...
I hope this day has received you well and in good health.
It is Saturday... once again.
This is the time to reflect on what you learned, albeit via pain or pleasure. Take experience from the enduring of your development... it will serve you well later on.
It feels different at various stages of your learning. Uncertainty will be a resurfacing concern as you discover your unique model... but you can't rush it.
The reason it takes more time to get it, is the individual that you are is very complex. Trading aren't complex, the letting go of unrealistic growth rates early on is the major hurdle.
The more time you give yourself to develop a confidence in yourself, not me, not what I can or can't do... the better chance you stand.
The submitting to at least 18 months of structured learning and practice in a simulated environment is key. This can't be overstated.
Far too often... the ill-prepared Trader incorrectly assumes that trading concepts are flawed and they look past their own deficiencies.
That is why 18 months is what I state is the lowest time horizon when endeavoring to learn my craft. You won't see the many opportunities your personality flaws... yes your flaws... will manifest and derail your development and delay your success.
Everyone is human and prone to do it wrong... even me. However, this somehow gets overlooked by excited new Trader who want to imagine owning the world in a few weeks or months. This is neither practical or realistic.
You need time to experience drawdown, periods of confusion, periods of no trading while markets are in transition states and risk is high. No educators teach like this but me. I do not sugar-coat it and say you will understand this is 3 weeks or months... because you won't.
Like everything in this world, there are varying results and you get what you put into it. How many Tiger Woods are their in golf? Despite the legions of golf enthusiasts that play the game?
Not every golfer will rise to Tiger's greatness but the wise understand they do not need to be like or equal to Tiger to succeed.
Be content with enough and submit to an honest attempt in learning properly.
so many lazy people come and when they didn't fix their personal issues, they quit. This is sad, but they were warned and instructed before and along the way... how to train, study and to expect delayed gratification.
Everyone wants the six pack abs but nobody wants to exercise and remove the junk food to get them. Then the regime is slated as scam, fraud or not as described... and they chase another fad diet program.
Never learning, never improving or even giving themselves the proper chance to develop. This is the revolving door of trading.
The tune has not changed... it is hard to overcome yourself. No matter what snake oil salesmen tell you, there is no short cut or alternative route to getting it.
No indicator, harmonic, retail - none of that removes the requirement to understanding the financial calendar year. How seasonal impacts affect these markets.
How can a one week boot camp or three month program properly prepare you for that? In short... it can't.
Mental baggage is real and most of us bring lots of it to the trading business. Most can't admit their own flaws or shortcomings and they never make it. They spent thousands in different courses and waste a lot of time... cheating themselves.
Let's be honest Folks...
Trading is easy. It is a question of three options.
1) Do I Buy "this" now?
2) Do I Sell "this" now?
3) Do I sit still right now?
Trading profitably requires a model that comfortably defines what and when... for you, not everyone who sees your model, just "You".
this write up belongs to my mentor ICT hopefully you find it useful also.
How to use the monthly openHere's a quick video on how to use the monthly open as a simple analysis for your trading. This technique helps us FOLLOW and not PREDICT the market.
Think like a PRO and trade at ANY markets🔥Hi friends! Do you want to know what zones I marked on the chart? Put 🚀 and read to the end.
In this educational idea I will explain a few traders secrets that will help you stay profitable in any market for the long term. Take Bitcoin as an example and you'll be surprised how often the same mistake is repeated by beginners and understand how professional traders take advantage of it.
📊 But first, let's find out why the psychology of the crowd drives the market
Fortunately for professional traders, human psychology has not changed in centuries. Bubbles in financial markets now appear just as they did before the Great Depression🔻in the early 20th century, when stocks rose by hundreds of percent in a month, and just as they did during the Tulip Fever🌷in the 17th century, when the price of tulips really soared to the moon due to the huge demand for the flower.
🚩 This shows the similarity in the thoughts of people in the 17th, 20th, 21st centuries. It is these faults in human psychology that allow the patterns in trading to work and professional traders to be profitable over the long term. Just don't tell anyone about it!)
📊 Why do people tend to panic during a fall and get greedy during a rise? The fact is that our brain tends to paint wishful thinking in our imagination. When a cryptocurrency is rising, the imagination thinks that the price will rise forever, and you get excited just thinking about the possible earning. And the happiness hormones just keep surging.
The opposite is the situation with the fall. When markets fall, our brain tries to protect us from more losses and forces us to sell cryptocurrency.
📊 What help the big players to control the psychology of the crowd? Of course, it's the media. Remember when news of the US recession was at its peak and it seemed like a crisis was imminent. Just at the bottom of the market, when Bitcoin fell to $17k and the SnP500 to $361.
I may surprise you, but in 2018, 2020 people had identical thoughts and all thought Bitcoin would fall to $1000. The crypto market can fall lower to 10-12k of course, but just interesting to know did any of my subscribers buy cryptocurrency back then or at 17-19k❓Write in the comments./b]
📊 What are the areas on the chart? I marked 2 areas:
🔥The 1st area (white) is the areawhere the majority of traders, especially newbies, want to buy cryptocurrency. I call this " Bitcoin will rise to 1 million" zone.
🔥The 2nd area (green) is the area where most traders sell the cryptocurrency they bought at a higher price. Most importantly, it is where most traders believe that the fall will continue even lower and do not buy, expecting a fall. I call this "Bitcoin will fall to zero" zone.
✅How can you use the psychology of the crowd to your advantage? I can tell you from my own example that a clear strategy and working with indicators helps me. For example DOM and Footprint, where I can see huge whale orders and open a trade in the same direction as a big player. A large order is a clear signal✅, not a psychological speculation because of the news.
A few days ago I showed in one of my ideas how Bitcoin rebounded from a large whale order. Bitcoin then grow by 4-5% in just a few hours.
I also use trading systems such as Greenwich or Pump Tracker to identify Bitcoin and altcoins bottoms and ATH. You can see ideas about them on TradingView and their live results✅ It may surprise you!
🏁Summary. This knowledges are usefull for any market: crypto, stocks, ForEx, bonds etc. Human psychology and thinking are the same, but each market has its own specifics. Perhaps I will talk about this in the next educational ideas.
Friends, was the idea useful to you? Have you noticed such psychological zones? Do you agree with this idea or do you think Bitcoin will fall below $17k? Write in the comments.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
Always do your analysis before making a trade.
Pro Traders Take Profits on EarningsWhat happened today on the earnings announcement by PEP? Pro traders took profits against the retail crowd's buying on the news headlines that suggested an earnings "beat" for Q2. The retail buying causes the gap up at open, which is a prime cue to take profits on swing trades.
This was what we call a pre-earnings run. The earnings results don't matter as much as the technical setup a few weeks ahead of the earnings release. Swing trades were initiated at the reversal from the support at 155, confirmed by price and volume patterns at that time.
Now, with resistance overhead, where the initial target for this earnings play was, and the retail crowd causing a gap up at open on the earnings announcement, this is where professional short-term traders close long positions. This should not be construed as a good opportunity to short swing-style, however. It is an example of the execution of a long swing-style earnings strategy.
This is an example of TechniTrader's Relational Technical Analysis techniques for planning better trades.
The Role of Patience in Swing Trading.I have been actively trading the market since 2019 without doing stupid things (only minor mistakes). Before 2019 I was trying to get rich fast, and of course, that didn't go well.
One of the things I have been doing since 2019 was writing principles or key ideas regarding my trading journey. That includes significant mistakes or things I noticed about the fundamental laws behind price movements.
One of those principles is patience. I would put this principle in my top 5 definitely (and I have more than 40 principles I have written since 2019)
The principle: Whenever the market is not providing evident opportunities, DO NOT TRADE! Be aware that you will get anxious because of the lack of executions. However, remember that history has shown you that not trading during those periods was always the best thing to do.
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Let's expand the previous principle.
I have realized that you can not force the market to provide opportunities, and sometimes the market will not provide opportunities for extended periods (months). The first time this happened to me, I started getting anxious because I thought I was missing something, and I executed a lot of low-quality setups, of course, that finished in an absolute mess.
That kind of behavior didn't happen once to me, but several times. And my conclusion always was that if the market is not providing clear opportunities, it was always best not to trade. In other words, I would have been better without executing setups. So, at one point, I asked myself. "How many more times do I need to experience this to understand that I should not trade if the market is not following the filters I have defined?". And in 2019, I decided that would be the last one.
I'm writing about this because I didn't have a lot of executions lately, and I can feel that anxiety telling me, "DO SOMETHING, just trade." And at this stage I'm currently in, I do not follow those feelings anymore, but I keep following my trading plan.
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Let me explain how this applies to two assets I like trading, SP500, and Bitcoin.
On Bitcoin , I'm interested in developing bullish setups, and my filters are the ones you can see in the following image. However, if the price does not move as expected, I will not trade. And not trading is tricky because of the anxiety I explained to you before.
On the other hand, we have S&P500 . Similar to BTC, the price has been falling, and I expect bullish opportunities to come. However, I will not risk one dollar until I see the current descending channel broken.
-------------------------------------------
Lets Recap:
As a swing trader, developing your patience and waiting for the best opportunities without trading in the meantime will save you a lot of money. Remember that you can not force the market to provide you with opportunities; you can only be ready to take action when those opportunities come.
I hope this concept was useful. I mainly wrote this for myself, like a journal. If you have any concepts you would like to share in the comments; it's always a pleasure to read your ideas. Have a great day!
📊Why do the trading patterns work?Hi friends! Probably all traders began their career by learning the trading patterns.
A trading pattern is a price movement pattern in a certain range. Generally there are 2 types of patterns: candlesticks (shooting star, hammer, bullish or bearish engulfing) and figures (triangles, channels, flags, head and shoulders, etc.). The number of them is constantly increasing, through the change of market, but there are up to 50 main patterns.
📊So why do the trading patterns work?
The answer is very simple - because many traders use them in trading. Imagine a traffic light with a red light🔴 According to the rules all drivers who have the same signal stand waiting for a green light✅ Here, it lights up and allows all cars to move in the right direction. It's a clear rule, not only in your country, but in all the countries in the world. The situation is the same with trading patterns.
Let's imagine that a chart is a road, and a pattern is a light. The price rises or falls and a pattern is formed. You have determined that it is a bullish pattern, such as a bullish wedge. Of course, you are waiting for the wedge to move to the upper boundary and break it up, that will be a signal to open a trade (green signal to move✅). At the same time, all the drivers (read as "traders") begin buying with you and pushing the price higher and higher.
Why do traders do this? As I said in the beginning, patterns, like the rules of the road, are learned by all traders, regardless of nationality, this is the general rule, that is why these patterns work.
📊In what cases do they not work?
As you know, most people in the market can't be right. Conventionally, if everyone opened a long and bought Bitcoins at $50,000 and the price went up to $100,000, then someone should have bought those Bitcoins from you for 100% more. If everyone held a long, there would be no one to sell and no one would make a profit in the end. That's why there are always 2 sides in trading: buyers and sellers.
With the increasing popularity of patterns, most traders and especially beginners who first study patterns began to open trades according to these rules and .... took a loss. Patterns work especially badly on the cryptocurrency market, which shows how young this market is. But why? All because most cannot be right when trading patterns, otherwise no one would make money.
📊What should I do if I trade only paterns?
I would recommend adding more rules to your trading strategy. These can be different trading tools, filters which will help you to remove "fake" signals and increase win rate. For example, trade not the triangle pattern, but its false breakout using a volume indicator:
1️⃣A false breakout in most cases shows that the price will not go in the direction of the breakout, as there are too many willing to open a trade in the direction of the price movement.
2️⃣The volume indicator will show the actual number of buy and sell orders. If the volume at a false breakdown of the lower boundary of the triangle has increased - this tells us that the price is more likely not to move down, as there is serious support there.
This is the simplest example. You can also use indicators, additional trend lines, candlestick or fundamental analysis.
💻Friends, press the "like"👍 button, write comments and share with your friends - it will be the best THANK YOU.
New To Trading? Avoid These Mistakes!Starting out in trading is definitely an exciting experience but you must be very careful not to make these dangerous mistakes that most beginners make.
While there are many dangerous mistakes for forex newbies to make, I’ve highlighted the two that are subtle enough not to be noticed but can have a big influence on your trading career.
1. Undercapitalization
Insufficient initial capital is the first mistake by beginners, and it usually ends up killing them.
I’ve seen traders, including myself, blow their whole trading account during the first month or week.
Your trading capital is lost even before you have the time to properly learn to trade.
This is what usually happens to new traders:
They don’t have sufficient trading knowledge and experience.
They are not familiar with risk management principles.
They underestimate the risks involved in their setups, which leads to impulsive and often expensive execution.
Another habit I’ve seen among trading newbies is using tight stops on small lots and even smaller trading accounts.
Using small trading lots is not a death knell for newbies’ accounts but using small and tight stops might be.
By using short and tight stops, you increase your chances that the stops will be triggered more frequently and your total loss will consist of many small losses.
Your trading account should be as large as possible in order to correspond with market conditions and provide the necessary flexibility in making trade decisions. Position size matters, too!
Like any business, you have to make sure you are adequately funded. Don’t try to lower risk by only depositing a portion of your available trading capital.
Fund yourself right but use proper money and risk management!
2. Overtrading
Overtrading is a process of buying and selling Forex pairs, stocks, or other securities excessively. It involves trading all-day without stopping and eventually, making ineffective decisions that lead to financial ruin.
Considering the typical market activity, it’s easy to lose half or even all your trading capital with this. This problem is sometimes directly connected to boredom, the thrill of making money, or lack of education and guidance.
Your trading capital is used to earn money. You should treat each dollar like a newborn baby.
Your first and foremost responsibility is to protect it. If you lose it, you have less to help you earn money.
Have you ever made any of these mistakes? Please share your experience in the comments below. I’m sure we’d all be interested in possibly learning from each other.
What additional advice would you give to a newbie trader?
When you should use leverage in your trades?When you should use leverage in your trades? I’m going to answer this question, but first, we have to mention two other questions to be answered.
Q1: What is a reasonable trade?
An order in which the entry point, stop loss, and take profit are already pre-defined based on a good return strategy or rules.
Q2: What is money management?
Money management is to determine the percentage of risk on the total balance in each order and to know what your position size will be and how much your potential loss will be.
We need to do some calculations to answer the first question.
Let’s suppose your account balance is $100 and the maximum risk on your balance for each trade is 5%. This means that on a reasonable trade, your loss will be $5 at most. Besides that, you have a good trading opportunity with an entry point at $10, stop loss at $9, and profit point at $12, i.e. 10% potential risk and 20% potential reward for the position.
Since we cannot lose more than $5 of our balance, we need a position size where the potential loss will not exceed $5. Which we can calculate with this formula: (Max risk on balance / position risk * 100). Which would be $50 in our case.
This means that we are only allowed to include $50 out of $100 in this trade; this would be $5 after a 10% loss.
Everything is normal and we can afford it, so we will do the trade.
Now, let’s increase the max risk on balance to 20%. It means our potential loss would be at most $20. By doing the same calculations considering the same reasonable trade with 10% risk, our position size will be $200 while we do not have more than $100, so where do we get $200 from?!
Yep! Leverage would help you in this case. So benevolent, isn’t it?
In this case, your leverage would be 2 and you can open a $200 position, but don’t forget you increased your account risk from 5% to 20% already.
Note that the risk will be applied to your real asset. If your balance is $100 and the leverage is 10, the exchange will give you about $1000 to buy or sell. While the 5% of $100 is $5, the 5% of $1000 would be $50, which is 50% of your real asset. So calculating the risk on leverage balance is practically meaningless!
What if we had 10 orders simultaneously? It means $100 will be split between 10 orders. For ease of calculation, we consider every 10 trades to be the same as what we had above, while each trade would have 10% of $100. In these conditions, each trade would again have a $50 position, but leverage will be 5!
Having said that, we can conclude that leverage alone is meaningless and finds meaning alongside reasonable trade opportunities and money management.
In the above explanations, for the ease of calculation and context understanding, I used rand but not necessarily correct values. For example, a risk ratio of 5% on balance is a really high risk or in the example of 10 trades at once, it is wrong to consider your balance as $100 at the start of each trade. In the worst-case scenario, you should deduct the loss of the previous trade from your balance for the next trade.
From the link below, you can access the tool I prepared to calculate the position details.
bit.ly
Feel free to give your constructive feedback.