How can I use this trading template? Today I will share a template that may be really helpful to understand some key concepts:
First concept: Only look for setups IF the price has reached a major level.
In this example, we can see a bearish movement that has reached a weekly level. Why is this relevant? Because if we are working with relevant levels that had worked in the past, we increase the chances of being right regarding an expected movement. Alright, does this mean that I should buy there? ABSOLUTELY NOT; let's go to the second concept
Second concept: Once the price has reached a major level, wait for confirmations.
Waiting for confirmations means that we have other levels to pay attention to that may provide us solid insights regarding what the price may do next; in this case, we have a descending trendline. A bearish trendline tells us this: Below the line, assume the bearish trend continues; above the line, assume that a possible change in direction may happen. Cool, now is time to buy, right? ABSOLUTELY NOT; let's go to the third concept
Third concept: After the breakout of a major structure, WAIT for a correction
Most of the time, we will tend to observe a correction after a big structure breakout. That type of behavior can be understood on this template after the breakout. There is a correction happening that we will generally be able to define inner waves; in this case, we have an ABC pattern. Corrections are our final confirmation before engaging with a setup. The position where we tend to observe corrections are in the following places: On the edge of the broken structure / Above the broken structure / On the first minor level after the breakout. Great information! Can I trade now? Yes, now we can define our setup, which takes us to the next concept.
Fourth concept: After waiting for several confirmations, we can think about developing setups on the breakout of the corrective pattern (entering above B tends to be an excellent entry-level). Stop loss should always go BELOW C or, in other words, below the last local support zone. Take profit levels can be defined using the next relevant level we may have; these are not the minor levels; I'm speaking the next resistance zone with the same hierarchy as the support we started thinking on bullish opportunities.
Fifth concept: This is a template mainly for Swing traders; that's why I wanted to show what to expect in the process between our execution and the take profit level. We may see one or multiple corrections on the way, most of them happening on minor levels. Of course, real trading is much more complex than this, but templates are a good way of understanding concepts and seeing how we can apply this to real market conditions. Another important item I want to highlight is that this type of system tends to have a win rate of around 50%. If we only engage with setups that provide a risk to reward ratio higher or equal than 2, then that's all you need to become profitable.
Thanks for reading; if you have any doubts, drop them in the comments, and feel free to share your opinion on this.
Support and Resistance
BITCOIN round number and stop loss hunting 📚📖Today we are going through the brief technical explanation about the round numbers and stop loss hunting
round numbers:
the round number end in a zero, and have a tendency to attract orders and most of the time attracts many traders and they choose these points for entering and closing the position
Point:
For open position on round number the proper point for entering to trade is near the round number and not exactly on round number
For example:
For opening long position(buying) , your entry point should be above the round number and For opening short position(selling) your entry point should be below the round number.
Pay attention to the BITCOIN price near the round number 40000 :
If you want to open long position it's better to put your entry point above this round number but important point is that if this round number touches usually we have stop loss hunting and it is better to put your stop loss in proper place below the round numbers.
Stop loss hunting:
It is a strategy that makes market participants out of their position by driving the price to the area that many traders choose to set a stop loss there.
For example:
here on round number of 40000 we can expect that stop hunting happens and if someone wants to open long position on BITCOIN it is better to put stop loss below the round number with considering 3 percent penetration and if the price breaks this area the support becomes invalid.
🐳MAD WHALE🐋
This is not financial advice, always do your own research.
please, fell free to ask your question, write it in comments below and I will answer.
🐋
Trading StrategyDoesn't matter which coin I used, KAVA was picked at random for back testing. The 7, 30, and 100 are used for trend analysis. When both the RSI and MFI are in confluence with support, that is the entry trigger. When above the 7, 30, 100 ride the trend and only exit when bear div on 4hr is apparent, MFI RSI in confluence at overbought, price drops below the 30. Once below the 100, the 100 becomes resistance and the exit trigger. I had one loss when back testing this method. Since these are lagging indicators (especially on the daily) use the 4hr for entry while looking for candle reversal signals at support. 8 trades here = less stress, bigger rewards, less risk. SL should be placed below support at -5%. No leverage, just spot, slow and steady wins the race.
Your only as good as the assets you tradeThis is just a short blog post of a much longer idea!
In a recent post we spoke about focusing only on assets that are in play for the day, even tough with day trading you can still make solid profits, especially on the tick charts, trading ranges, a trend will generate you much bigger and more importantly, easier profits.
This is why it is vital to focus on assets which could generate momentum, because at the end of the day in day trading you are only as good as the assets you trade.
Below you will find a chart of NASDAQ (left) and a chart of XAUUSD (right), one has moved significantly upwards while one was stuck in a whipsaw range which ended up breaking to the down side towards the end of the day on December 31st.
Choosing to trade XAUUSD would be much easier to make a profit.
How I Traded The Yen Pair (EURJPY)Price action signal formed at horizontal support resistance level. Entry at closing price of engulfing candlestick at horizontal support level. Set Take Profit at horizontal support resistance level. Set Stop Loss at low of engulfing candlestick.
Note: EMA 10 EMA 20 is positive slope.
How To Trade Yen Pair With Ascending Triangle (CADJPY)Price closed above 90.334. Now, wait for a price action signal at 90.334.
First price action signal is engulfing candlestick. Enter at 90.505.
Second price action signal is engulfing candlestick. Enter at 90.538. Set Take Profit at 91.185. Set Stop Loss at 90.312. The Reward:Risk Ratio is 2.86.
Note: The EMA 10, EMA 20, and Trend Line have a positive slope. The higher low touches the Horizontal Support, EMA 10 Support, EMA 20 Support, and Trend Line Support.
Know Your LevelsTodays daily primer is all about key levels, Don't make trading harder than it needs to be. Know your levels, keep track of them, have a system that says BUY or SELL as quickly as possible and then just execute your trades!
All you needed to do was follow up, know the key levels and execute. It makes this job much easier when you are prepared and this type of preparation is easy. We are looking for an edge and keeping track of levels is KEY at making easy money (at least for our day trading system).
Every Sunday I sit down and map out important levels, I also review my trades for the previous week, for development purposes, and during that review of past trades I specicially check these levels and how price behaved at them.
I'd like to show you just how important levels are, but you should also checkout our VWAP video released just before this video.
How to use swing trading indicatorThis is tutorial on "How to use swing trading indicator " developed by me. Do use and benefit from it.
supports and resistances and how they convert ✔First of all lets start with the brief technical explanation and after that go through the analyse DOGE ✔
1 support( an imaginary line, level or area )
👍one of the most simplest technical tool that use for indicating the proper point for buyers to enter or purchase one stock
for using support line
we need more than tow price points that an asset doesn't fall below more than those points and using line to connect them
2 resistance ( an imaginary line, level or area )
👍unlike support line investors use it to figure out the place for exit or selling one stock
and for using resistance
exactly like support line we need more than tow price points and one line to connect them but we should pay attention to this point that asset doesn't ascend above those points
⏲how support and resistance line convert to each other ⏲
👍support and resistance can easily change to each others in simple word when acceptable penetration of the price happen in one line for next price hit (be touched by the price ) this line act as an opposite function
for example we have strong support area if the price stand below this line and stay away for awhile for next time when the price become close to this area it will works as a resistance for the price
3 breakout
👍usually indicates new trend
when the acceptable penetration happens by the price to one support or resistance in indirect way
for example we have strong support line and the price start to stands below the line and continue its movement here we have breakout
you can use horizontal line at the left corner of your charts at trading view for indicating your supports and resistances.
or using other tools like Rectangle or Ellipse and indicate support or resistance zone instead of simple line.
🚀🚀analyse of idea🚀🚀
here we have important daily trend line and strong support area 💣
so
If the price breaks this trend line and price stay above this line we expect gain for the price
and
our noticeable resistance line and our next target are located on the chart.
This is not financial advice, always do your own research.
🐳MAD WHALE🐋
HOW-TO: Auto Trendlines and Support Resistance [Trendoscope]Hello Traders,
This video provides a brief explanation on the latest indicator Auto TrendLines and Support Resistance-Ultimate
Most of the things about settings is already available in the description.
Hope you enjoy the video and learn few things from it. Merry Christmas and Wish you happy new year :)
Why Are Psychological Levels So Vital In Trading ?WHAT ARE PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS AND HOW DO THEY WORK?
Psychological levels are market price levels which are often key levels in forex denoted by round numbers. These round numbers frequently act as levels of support and/or resistance.
Psychological support and resistance consistently work because of fundamental human disposition. Human beings value simplicity; from a trading perspective this means valuing whole numbers. Traders often use these numbers as entry, exit or stop levels. These stops and limits can alter order flow and price changes.
IDENTIFYING PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS ON FOREX CHARTS
Traders will often call these whole number intervals ‘double-zeros,’ as these prices are at even numbers such as 1.3000 in the EURUSD. See the chart below and observe how the price acts around these levels in the case of EURUSD M charts.
These levels works best on Higher timeframes especially on the Monthly charts. The link below reveals one of the example on how a trader can incorporate this particular element of trading in their analysis and setups
Cheers, I hope you found this educational material helpful
Cloudflare teaching moment. Meteoric rise = catastrophic dump.Hi everyone,
Today I would like to share a piece of knowledge on parabolic growth and poor market structures.
Let us take a look at NYSE:NET Cloudflare stock.
This was an attractive buy back in 2020. As always, nobody saw that until everyone started screaming about this stock on Twitter.
I saw an opportunity in investing into Cloudflare later in 2021 for a long-term.
I did not know what's coming.
At the beginning of October, after a decent sell-off something strange began happening.
Stock rose TWELVE days in a row. And not just stayed barely positive, it gained insane 68% in price during this short period.
Right there I knew this was not sustainable and price won't last up there for long.
Yes, I sold at 175 .
Yes, I missed a run up to 220 .
But, really, did I?
Noone can predict the top. But you can predict the inevitable downfall.
The Lesson.
Look at the chart.
You see the price in the first box going parabolicly up. The price took off to the moon and was hovering up in the air. Thus, poor structure has been created.
There is no single support level from 137 to 182 .
The Market hates poor weak structures and it tends to repair them sooner or later.
That is exactly what happened with Cloudflare stock.
Price has been flushed from 204 down to 123 as fast as it flew up there back in October. You can see that in the second box.
The structure has been repaired. A lot of data points were created in the process, which will help with the analysis in the future.
This might be a rebirth of Cloudflare stock constituting healthy future movement.
Trade wisely and good luck!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise
⚡️NAS100 - Breakdown of the Two Sniper ‘Shorts’⚡️Hello Traders :)
- I haven’t been posting trades lately but I’ve been trading
- So here I will post a breakdown of the two Effortless trades I took on NAS100
⚡️Let me break it down⚡️
❗️❗️Reminder when trading NAS100❗️❗️
▫️Use Pending orders
▫️Take Partial Profits
▫️Trail your Stops
▫️Minimum Risk to reward 1 : 3..NB. NAS can give you up to 1:10
First time frame was the Daily
♦️Downtrend confirmed by a lower low
♦️Price reached a Strong Resistance Area
♦️Strong downtrend structure
Second time frame was the 4 hour
♦️Supply Area on 4hr
♦️Several touches on the strong resistance level
♦️Lower low structure for downtrend
Third time frame was on the 1 hour
♦️Strong Bearish engulfing candle used for Entry
♦️Lower Lows made at a strong Resistance Level
♦️Weakening formation of candles as they approach the strong level
Hope you guys learnt a thing or two
Kindly leave a like and tell me what you think about these trades and where NAS might be heading to next
Stay Blessed!
Slick⚡️
Breakout Trading | 7 Steps to Follow 📝
Hey traders,
Breakout trading is one of the most popular trading strategies.
Being quite simple in theory, it remains quite complex and complicated in practice.
In this post, we will discuss 7 steps every breakout trader must follow.
💬And just in brief about a breakout trading itself:
this method aims to spot a key level (it might be horizontal support/resistance or a trend line) and then to trade its occasional breakout assuming that it will trigger an impulsive move.
1️⃣No surprise, the first task of a breakout trader is the identification of key levels. Preferably these levels should be spotted on weekly/daily time frames.
2️⃣Once key levels are spotted, a breakout trader should patiently wait for the test of one of those. His goal is to wait for a breakout.
In that step, many traders fail. The problem is that in order to confirm the breakout, one should have strict & reliable rules to follow. The rules that describe a confirmed breakout.
*I apply the following rule: the breakout of a level will be considered to be confirmed once the candle closes above/below the structure on the highest time frame where the structure is recognizable.
3️⃣Once the breakout is confirmed, the next step is to wait for a retest of a broken level. Why retest? Simply because a retest gives a better risk to reward ratio for the trade. And even though there is no guarantee that the price will retest the broken level and because of that some trading opportunities will be missed, in the long run, retest trading produces higher gains.
4️⃣Opening a trade on a retest one should know the exact target levels. The levels where the profits will be taken. Again, newbies traders make a lot of mistakes on that step. Remember that your targets must be realistic, they must be based on closest strong structure levels, not on your desired returns.
5️⃣Also, a breakout trader should set a stop loss. And again, a stop-loss level must be safe, it must be set at least below/above a previous minor structure to protect you from stop-hunting.
Stop-loss reflects the point where the trader becomes wrong in his predictions and where the trading setup becomes invalid.
6️⃣Once the trading position is opened and stop-loss & take-profit are set, one should patiently wait. There is no guarantee that the price will start falling/growing sharply after the breakout. The market may start coiling for a quite long period of time before it starts acting.
Breakout trader must be patient not allowing his emotions to intervene.
7️⃣Lastly, one should remember that his exit points are stop-loss/take-profit levels. Stop-loss adjustment in case of a position drawdown, preliminary profit-taking, and target extension are your worst enemies. Be disciplined, don't be greedy, and keep your emotions in check.
Of course, this 7-steps trading plan is not sufficient enough for profitable breakout trading. There are so many nuances on each step of the plan to consider.
However, let this plan be your initial guideline: learn & follow that and with time, keep elaborating its rules until you become a consistently profitable trader.
Are you a breakout trader?
❤️Please, support this idea with like and comment!❤️
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: Chapter 7: the Mighty 2.618Chapter 7: "the Mighty 2.168: like a Rook in Chess"
"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water.
Each of the Ripples has precise bounds defined by the "Golden Ratio".
Price will often ricochet, creating a "Ping" that one can almost HEAR.
The 2.618 is a Special ratio, 1.618 x 1.618, as the Golden Ratio Squared.
It is like a Rook in Chess: Strong, Steadfast, and Dangerous at a Distance.
If a wave is to be sustainable, then it must have a very strong 2.618 core.
.
This is "Chapter 7" of my ongoing "Book" detailing my methodology.
The first six chapters are linked below, best to start with #1 and #2.
I will use this Chapter to collect example of the Might 2.618 in action.
Previous Chapters:
Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples.
Chapter 2: Detailed Samples and multiple Impulses.
Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves.
Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to the Birth Place.
Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Nature's Perfect Expansion.
Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili, 'one' Ping only please.
.
.
Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity.
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
.
How to use Volume Bar Breakout and Breakdown IndicatorThis tutorial provides guidance on how to use "Volume bar breakout & breakdown Indicator" Indicator. It explains
When not to take entries
How to setup Stoploss and Target
what timeframe to use for equities and commodities but you can decide as per convenience
How To Use The Trading View Parallel ChannelsHey wits, it's currently 1am and I thought why not drop some tutorials cos' it's Saturday. Most aren't familiar with the trading view tools. So, we're here to help.
Watch the clip to get started with the trading view parallel channels.
Leave a comment and smash the like button if you found this helpful.
What Are Key Levels? Learn To Identify Key LevelsIt's currently 12am and I thought why not drop a nugget.
So here it is... Finally, I dropped my supply and demand, support and resistance a.k.a Key levels tea.
Take this one seriously Cos' Nasdaq100 respects it a lot.
For better entries and exits you'll need to have a clear knowledge of key levels.
The Quarters Theory (Daily) Part 1-4On example daily chart of EurAud (on this article)- what do you see related to the quarters theory? support and resistance? trading edge?
I see 100 pip round whole numbers (black lines) divided into four equal parts of 25 pips apiece (red and yellow lines)-
If you did trade with 100 pip stop losses- this would be a great way to trade either position, swing or daily charts- from whole round numbers to next whole round number.
Those would be 100 pip stop losses vs 100 pip targets or 1:1 Risk Reward setups- you would need to have a win rate of 60% or more to make a profit with this type of trading, or you could set a 100 pip stop loss and let trade run for either a couple, few or many more days and have a higher Risk Reward setup.
The quarters theory started with 1000 pip areas, like example from 1.6000 to 1.7000 would be 1000 pips, break this down into four equal parts or as follows:
1.6000- major round number-
1.6250- minor number-250 pip area
1.6500- minor half number- 250 pip area
1.6750- minor number- 250 pip area
1.7000- major round number
This can be done on any charts from monthly down to 1 minute and should be done for knowing possible entries, exits and risk reward (lot sizes)- on every trade you make. I use the quarters theory for scalping, it will give you a trading edge and control your trades within a certain structure of the market.
The dominance of stablecoins as a divergence tool in BTCOn the top chart we have the BTC/USD index, and on the bottom chart we have the sum of the dominance of the main stablescoins: USDT, USDC, DAI and UST.
As a rule, when the dominance of stablecoins rises, the price of BTC falls.
Just look at the respective numbered arrows. The only exception was arrow number 3, which had a more lateral movement in the dollar's dominance.
Now looking at this exact moment, we have a rise in stablecoin dominance.
The next resistance is at 7.75% (if dominance continues to rise).
Which pattern could be more effective?At the first glance, You may find both patterns correct and justify both!
But adding ATR to the chart may reveal the hidden truth!
ATR only measures volatility and not the direction of an asset's price.
Pattern 1: Broadening Formation or Megaphone
What Is a Broadening Formation?
A broadening formation is a price chart pattern identified by technical analysts. It is characterized by increasing price volatility and diagrammed as two diverging trend lines, one rising and one falling. It usually occurs after a significant rise, or fall, in the action of security prices. It is identified on a chart by a series of higher pivot highs and lower pivot lows.
Pattern 2: Corrction/consolidation
In this situation, we expect lower changes in ATR readings!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Reference Articles:
www.investopedia.com
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