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Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #2 | Silver Bull FlagSilver is another interest rate sensitive ticker with a bullish pattern heading into next week's fed decision. It has a nice bull flag on the 1D. It did have a fakeout below, but the lower trendline is still being respected and it closed at the top end of the flag last week. If it breaks above, I'd expect continuation to at least 32.50. Final target will be around the 37 area based on the flag pole length depending on where the breakout occurs. I'll look to enter longs on a break, or ideally a retest after. Stop loss will be back below the upper trendline if it breaks above.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERLong
by AdvancedPlays
Gold Positive - Rebounds on Military TensionsXAU / USD trend forecast November 19, 2024 Gold prices (XAU/USD) drew safe-haven demand on Monday, rebounding after last week's sharpest weekly decline in over three years and breaking a six-day losing streak amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Additionally, a pullback in US Treasury yields led to profit-taking on the US Dollar (USD) following its post-election surge to a new year-to-date high, providing further support for the non-yielding yellow metal. Korean peninsula tension - boosts gold price to increase and recover. Wait for resistance zone according to FIBONACCY for gold price to decrease /// SELL XAU : zone 2640-2643 SL: 2648 TP: 50 - 100 - 200pips (2623) Safe and profitable trading
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Moon-ForexAcademy
1
Navigating the Gold Market: Tips for Investors Gold, often hailed as a safe-haven asset, is increasingly finding itself at the mercy of two powerful forces: China and the U.S. dollar. As these two economic giants influence global markets, their actions have a direct impact on the price of gold. China's Growing Appetite for Gold China's insatiable demand for gold has been a significant driver of the yellow metal's price. The country's burgeoning middle class, coupled with its cultural affinity for gold, has fueled a surge in gold consumption. This demand is not limited to jewelry; it extends to investment purposes as well. China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), has also been a major buyer of gold. By diversifying its foreign exchange reserves, the PBOC aims to reduce its reliance on the U.S. dollar and mitigate risks associated with geopolitical tensions. As China continues to accumulate gold, it exerts significant influence over the global gold market. The Dominance of the U.S. Dollar The U.S. dollar, as the world's primary reserve currency, holds immense sway over the global economy. Its value relative to other currencies, often referred to as the "dollar index," has a significant impact on the price of gold. When the dollar strengthens, it typically leads to a decline in the price of gold. This is because gold is priced in U.S. dollars. As the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign investors to purchase gold, which can dampen demand and put downward pressure on prices. Conversely, when the dollar weakens, gold often appreciates. A weaker dollar makes gold more affordable for foreign buyers, stimulating demand and driving up prices. The Interplay Between China and the U.S. Dollar The interplay between China's growing demand for gold and the strength of the U.S. dollar creates a complex dynamic that can impact the price of gold. • Competing Forces: China's demand for gold can support prices, while a strong U.S. dollar can exert downward pressure. • Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China can exacerbate market volatility and impact the price of gold. • Global Economic Conditions: Global economic conditions, such as inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, can also influence the demand for gold. The Future of Gold The future of gold remains uncertain, but China and the U.S. dollar will continue to play a significant role in shaping its price. As China's economy grows and its influence on the global stage increases, its demand for gold is likely to remain strong. However, the strength of the U.S. dollar will also be a key factor. If the dollar strengthens significantly, it could put downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, a weakening dollar could support gold prices. In conclusion, gold's future is intertwined with the economic and geopolitical landscape. While it remains a valuable asset, investors should carefully consider the impact of China and the U.S. dollar on its price. Diversification and a long-term investment horizon may be prudent strategies for those seeking exposure to gold. Additional Factors Affecting Gold Prices • Inflation: Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. As inflation rises, the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, making gold an attractive investment. • Interest Rates: Higher interest rates can reduce the appeal of gold, as investors may prefer to invest in interest-bearing assets. • Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment and market psychology can significantly impact gold prices, especially during periods of economic uncertainty. • Supply and Demand Dynamics: Global gold production and demand can influence prices. Changes in mining production or shifts in consumer demand can affect supply and demand dynamics. By understanding the interplay of these factors, investors can make more informed decisions about investing in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
2024-11-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral. Lower lows and lower highs but a nasty reversal from 18869. The buying was strong but still not good enough for the bulls to take control again. Bears are showing decent selling pressure but getting nowhere. I do think market wants to test higher tomorrow. 19250 is the first target, followed by 19300 and 19350. If 19200 turned resistance and bulls show weakness again, bears might do a real one and get to 18500. There is absolutely no more support until 18500 for the bulls. comment: tl;dr covered most of it. We closed in the middle of the current range, which is as neutral as it gets. I still favor the bulls but I was also wrong about the two previous sell offs and new lows, so maybe take my bias lightly. Market is in balance around 19150 and we have clear support and resistance for a week, despite the marginally lower lows. 18900 - 19330 is the range, play it until we have a 1h close above or below. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 18800 - 19700 bull case: Bulls need some follow through badly. 19250 and then 19300. If they break above 19360 tomorrow, we print 300 points higher. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Below 19100 bears take control again and I think the market can only do one thing so many times until one side gives up big time. If bears manage to print another low below 18869, we go down hard to 18500 or lower. Bears want to keep this below 19200. Invalidation is above 19350. short term: Neutral. Max bullish above 19360 and max bearish below 18860. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting the open due to news was amazing. Also buying 18900. Both trades were mostly momentum based but we also had a quadruple top to sell and a double bottom to buy. Hope you took at least one of them.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
Gold: Fibonacci-Based Long Setuprice consolidation around the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 2,632.796 signals a potential continuation of the bullish trend. A breakout above this zone confirms strong buyer momentum, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the uptrend. Trade Setup: Entry: 2,632.796 Stop Loss: 2,620.949 (below Fib 0.0 level for protection) Take Profit: Target 1: 2,648.473 (Fib 1.5 level) Target 2: 2,657.553 (Fib 2.0 level) This setup offers a well-defined risk-reward ratio, leveraging clear technical levels to guide entry, stop loss, and take profit decisions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by me22_
2024-11-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Bullish bias still. The reversal was nasty and we had a very strong close. We are in a nested expanding triangle and if bears are strong, market won’t get above 5950. If bulls do, we go 5980 and the bear trend line next. I lean bullish. Measured move up from today gets us close to the ath and it’s the third try bears tried to close below the 50% retracement and failed. Good chance today was bears giving up and we melt again to a new ath. If we drop below 5900 again, I am probably wrong and bears taking over again. comment : Nasty reversal and a good close by the bulls. Can expect follow through tomorrow above 5950 up tom 5980 and test the bear trend line. Above that we print a new ath. Best for bears would be to keep this below 5950 and then they have a chance of testing down to 5900 again. I have a heavy bullish bias going into tomorrow as long as market does not drop below 5900 much again current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 5900 - 6100 bull case: Bulls want to test the bear trend line around 5980 and go above 6000 again. They do need to break above 5950 first, which could be resistance due to the expanding triangle pattern but I doubt it. They kept the market 3 days in a row above the 50% retracement and I don’t think bears are strong enough to try a fourth time tomorrow. Measured move up from today’s reversal leads to around 6036. Invalidation is below 5900. bear case: Bears had an amazing sell off but bulls bought it big time. Technically this could be seen as a bear flag, but bears would have to keep the market below 5950 for that. That’s their first target and then getting below 5900 again. Since we are seeing big time buying below 5900 and the selling was mainly due to news, I don’t think bears are favored. Invalidation is above 5950. short term: Bullish. Probably more squeezing late bears tomorrow and I still do have unreasonable insane targets above 6100 that could be hit over the next days-weeks. medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-16: So the top definitely qualifies as a blow-off top but the question if we continue further up, is still valid. It is possible that we are already inside the correction and if we continue below 5860, I highly doubt bulls can get above 6000 again. Given the current market structure, I won’t turn bear because the risk of another retest of the highs or even higher ones are just too big. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Buying 5855. Market printed a perfect inverted head & shoulders on the 1m tf, huge bull bars on a big volume increase. 3 almost too good to by true reasons to take the trade.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds