Third-order moment by TonymontanovThe "Third-order moment" indicator is designed to help traders identify asymmetries and potential turning points in a financial instrument's price distribution over a specified period. By calculating the skewness of the price distribution, this indicator provides insights into the potential future movement direction of the market.
User Parameters:
- Length: This parameter defines the number of bars (or periods) used to compute the mean and third-order moment. A longer length provides a broader historical context, which may smooth out short-term volatility.
- Source: The data input for calculations, defaulting to the closing price of each bar, although users can select alternatives like open, high, low, or any custom value to suit their analysis preferences.
Operational Algorithm:
1. Mean Calculation:
- The indicator begins by calculating the arithmetic mean of the selected data source over the specified period.
2. Third-order Moment Calculation:
- A deviation from the mean is calculated for each data point. These deviations are then cubed to capture any asymmetry in the price distribution.
- The third-order moment is determined by summing these cubed deviations over the specified length and dividing by the number of periods, providing a measure of skewness.
3. Graphical Representation:
- The indicator plots the third-order moment as a column plot. The color of the columns changes based on the sign of the moment: green for positive and red for negative, suggesting bullish and bearish skewness, respectively.
- A zero line is included to help visualize transitions between positive and negative skewness clearly.
- Additionally, the background color shifts depending on whether the third-order moment is above or below zero, further highlighting the prevailing market sentiment.
The "Third-order moment" indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to gauge the market's skewness, helping identify potential trend continuations or reversals. By understanding the dominance of positive or negative skewness, traders can make more informed decisions.
Statistics
Asymmetric volatilityThe "Asymmetric Volatility" indicator is designed to visualize the differences in volatility between upward and downward price movements of a selected instrument. It operates on the principle of analyzing price movements over a specified time period, with particular focus on the symmetrical evaluation of both price rises and falls.
User Parameters:
- Length: This parameter specifies the number of bars (candles) used to calculate the average volatility. The larger the value, the longer the time period, and the smoother the volatility data will be.
- Source: This represents the input data for the indicator calculations. By default, the close value of each bar is used, but the user can choose another data source (such as open, high, low, or any custom value).
Operational Algorithm:
1. Movement Calculation:
- UpMoves: Computed as the positive difference between the current bar value and the previous bar value, if it is greater than zero.
- DownMoves: Computed as the positive difference between the previous bar value and the current bar value, if it is greater than zero.
2. Volatility Calculation:
- UpVolatility: This is the arithmetic mean of the UpMoves values over the specified period.
- DownVolatility: This is the arithmetic mean of the DownMoves values over the specified period.
3. Graphical Representation:
- The indicator displays two plots: upward and downward volatility, represented by green and red lines, respectively.
- The background color changes based on which volatility is dominant: a green background indicates that upward volatility prevails, while a red background indicates downward volatility.
The indicator allows traders to quickly assess in which direction the market is more volatile at the moment, which can be useful for making trading decisions and evaluating the current market situation.
Statistics plot1. setting the price range
At the beginning of the script, set the price range (interval). Price ranges are used to divide prices into several groups (buckets) and record how many prices have been reached within each group. For example, setting the price range to “10” will divide the price into intervals 0-10, 10-20, 20-30, and so on.
The price range can also be set manually by the user or automatically calculated based on the initial price. This allows for flexibility in adjusting price ranges for different assets and different time frames.
2. aggregate the number of times a price is reached
Record how many times the price reached each price range (e.g., 100-110, 110-120, etc.). This aggregate data is stored in a data structure called an array.
Each element of the array corresponds to a price range, and when a price reaches that range, the corresponding array value is incremented by one. This process is performed in real time, tracking price movements.
3. initializing and extending price ranges
The first bar of the script (when the chart is first loaded) divides the price ranges into several groups and initializes a count of 0 for each range.
When a price reaches a new range, the array is expanded as needed to add the new price range. This allows the script to work with any price movement, even if the price range continues to grow.
4. visualize the number of price arrivals with a histogram
The aggregated number of arrivals per price range is visually displayed in the form of a histogram. This histogram is designed to allow the user to see at a glance which price range is being reached most frequently.
For example, if prices frequently reach the 100-110 range, the histogram bar corresponding to that range will appear higher than the other ranges. This allows you to visually identify price “dwell points” or support and resistance levels.
5. display of moving averages
A moving average (MA) of the number of times a price has been reached is drawn above the histogram. Moving averages are indicators that show a smooth trend for the number of price arrivals and are useful for understanding the overall direction of price movements.
The duration of the moving average (how many data points it is calculated based on) can be set by the user. This allows for flexible analysis of short or long term price trends. 6.
6. price range tracking and labeling
The script keeps track of which price range the current price is located in. Based on this, information related to the current price range is displayed on the chart as labels.
In particular, labels indicate the beginning and end points of the price range, including which range the price was in at the beginning and which range the price reached at the end. These labels are a useful feature to visually identify price ranges on the chart.
7. labeling of current price range
To confirm which price range the current price is in, when a price reaches a specific price range, a label corresponding to that price range is displayed. This label indicates the position of the price in real-time, allowing traders to visually track where the current price is in the area.
8. calculating the start and end points of the range
The script calculates the start and end points of a range with a non-zero number of price arrivals to find the minimum and maximum of the range. This calculation allows you to see where prices are concentrated within a range.
9. out-of-range price processing
When a price reaches outside the range, the script automatically adds the array element corresponding to that price range and inserts the data in the appropriate location for the count. This allows the script to follow the price as it moves unexpectedly.
Korean Exchange Relative Volume BarchartKorean Exchange Relative Volume Barchart
The Korean Exchange Relative Volume Barchart indicator compares the trading volume of a cryptocurrency on any symbol with the combined volumes of major Korean exchanges, Upbit and Bithumb. This tool helps traders understand regional trading activities, offering insights into market sentiment influenced by Korean markets.
For example 0.5 would indicate that the Korean exchanges are doing 50% of the volume of the selected symbol.
Features:
Exchange Selection: Include or exclude Upbit and Bithumb in the comparison.
Automatic Symbol Mapping: Automatically maps the current chart's symbol to equivalent symbols on Upbit and Bithumb.
Stacked Bar Chart Visualization: Plots a stacked bar chart showing the relative volume contributions of Binance, Upbit, and Bithumb.
Usage:
Add the Indicator: Apply it to a cryptocurrency chart on TradingView.
Configure Settings: Toggle inclusion of Upbit and Bithumb in the settings.
Interpret the Chart: The stacked bar chart displays the proportion of trading volumes from each exchange.
Notes:
Symbol Compatibility: Ensure the cryptocurrency is listed on the Korean exchanges for accurate comparison.
Data Accuracy: Volumes are compared in the same base currency (e.g., BTC), so no exchange rate conversion is necessary.
Enhance your trading analysis by understanding the influence of Korean exchanges on cryptocurrency volumes with the Korean Exchange Volume Comparison indicator.
Volume CalendarDescription:
The indicator displays a calendar with Volume data for up to 6 last months. It is designed to work on any timeframe, but works best on Daily and below. It is also consistent in that it displays the same data even if you go to lower timeframes like 5 minutes (even though the data is used is Daily).
Features:
- displays volume data for last N months (volume, volume change, % of weekly, monthly and yearly volume)
- display total volume for each month
- display monthly sentiment
- find dates with volume spikes
Inputs:
- Number of months -> how many last months of data to display (from 1 to 6)
- Volume Type -> display only Bullish, only Bearish or all volume
- Cell color is based on -> Volume - the brighter the cell the higher volume was on that day; Volume Change - the brighter the cell the higher was the volume change that day; Volume Spike - the brighter the cell the higher was volume spike that day (volume spike is based on volume being above its average over last N candles)
- Cell color timeframe -> Weekly - the cell color is calculated comparing volume of that cell with weekly volume; Monthly - comparing volume with monthly volume
- Use volume for sentiment -> take the volume into account when calculating monthly sentiment (otherwise calculate it based on number of Bullish and Bearish days in the month)
- Spike Average Period -> period of the moving average used for spike calculation
- Spike Threshold -> current volume must be this many times greater than the average for it to be considered a spike
- Table Size -> size of the table
- Theme -> colouring of the table
VATICAN BANK CARTELVATICAN BANK CARTEL - Precision Signal Detection for Buyers.
The VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator is a highly sophisticated tool designed specifically for buyers, helping them identify key market trends and generate actionable buy signals. Utilizing advanced algorithms, this indicator employs a multi-variable detection mechanism that dynamically adapts to price movements, offering real-time insights to assist in executing profitable buy trades. This indicator is optimized solely for identifying buying opportunities, ensuring that traders are equipped to make well-timed entries and exits, without signals for shorting or selling.
The recommended settings for VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator is as follows:-
Depth Engine = 20,30,40,50,100.
Deviation Engine = 3,5,7,15,20.
Backstep Engine = 15,17,20,25.
NOTE:- But you can also use this indicator as per your setting, whichever setting gives you best results use that setting.
Key Features:
1.Adaptive Depth, Deviation, and Backstep Inputs:
The core of this indicator is its customizable Depth Engine, Deviation Engine, and Backstep Engine parameters. These inputs allow traders to adjust the sensitivity of the trend detection algorithm based on specific market conditions:
Depth: Defines how deep the indicator scans historical price data for potential trend reversals.
Deviation: Determines the minimum required price fluctuation to confirm a market movement.
Backstep: Sets the retracement level to filter false signals and maintain the accuracy of trend detection.
2. Visual Signal Representation:
The VATICAN BANK CARTEL plots highly visible labels on the chart to mark trend reversals. These labels are customizable in terms of size and transparency, ensuring clarity in various chart environments. Traders can quickly spot buying opportunities with green labels and potential square-off points with red labels, focusing exclusively on buy-side signals.
3.Real-Time Alerts:
The indicator is equipped with real-time alert conditions to notify traders of significant buy or square-off buy signals. These alerts, which are triggered based on the indicator’s internal signal logic, ensure that traders never miss a critical market movement on the buy side.
4.Custom Label Size and Transparency:
To enhance visual flexibility, the indicator allows the user to adjust label size (from small to large) and transparency levels. This feature provides a clean, adaptable view suited for different charting styles and timeframes.
How It Works:
The VATICAN BANK CARTEL analyzes the price action using a sophisticated algorithm that considers historical low and high points, dynamically detecting directional changes. When a change in market direction is detected, the indicator plots a label at the key reversal points, helping traders confirm potential entry points:
- Buy Signal (Green): Indicates potential buying opportunities based on a trend reversal.
- Square-Off Buy Signal (Red): Marks the exit point for open buy positions, allowing traders to take profits or protect capital from potential market reversals.
Note: This indicator is exclusively designed to provide signals for buyers. It does not generate sell or short signals, making it ideal for traders focused solely on identifying optimal buying opportunities in the market.
Customizable Parameters:
- Depth Engine: Fine-tunes the historical data analysis for signal generation.
- Deviation Engine: Adjusts the minimum price change required for detecting trends.
- Backstep Engine: Controls the indicator's sensitivity to retracements, minimizing false signals.
- Labels Transparency: Adjusts the opacity of the labels, ensuring they integrate seamlessly into any chart layout.
- Buy and Sell Colors: Customizable color options for buy and square-off buy labels to match your preferred color scheme.
- Label Size: Select between five different label sizes for optimal chart visibility.
Ideal For:
This indicator is ideal for both beginner and experienced traders looking to enhance their buying strategy with a highly reliable, visual, and alert-driven tool. The VATICAN BANK CARTEL adapts to various timeframes, making it suitable for day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors alike—focused exclusively on buying opportunities.
Benefits and Applications:
1.Intraday Trading: The VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator is particularly well-suited for intraday trading, as it provides accurate and timely "buy" and "square-off buy" signals based on the current market dynamics.
2.Trend-following Strategies: Traders who employ trend-following strategies can leverage the indicator's ability to identify the overall market direction, allowing them to align their trades with the dominant trend.
3.Swing Trading: The dynamic price tracking and signal generation capabilities of the indicator can be beneficial for swing traders, who aim to capture medium-term price movements.
Security Measures:
1. The code includes a security notice at the beginning, indicating that it is subject to the Mozilla Public License 2.0, which is a reputable open-source license.
2. The code does not appear to contain any obvious security vulnerabilities or malicious content that could compromise user data or accounts.
NOTE:- This indicator is provided under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and is subject to its terms and conditions.
Disclaimer: The usage of VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator might or might not contribute to your trading capital(money) profits and losses and the author is not responsible for the same.
IMPORTANT NOTICE:
While the indicator aims to provide reliable "buy" and "square-off buy" signals, it is crucial to understand that the market can be influenced by unpredictable events, such as natural disasters, political unrest, changes in monetary policies, or economic crises. These unforeseen situations may occasionally lead to false signals generated by the VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator.
Users should exercise caution and diligence when relying on the indicator's signals, as the market's behavior can be unpredictable, and external factors may impact the accuracy of the signals. It is recommended to thoroughly backtest the indicator's performance in various market conditions and to use it as one of the many tools in a comprehensive trading strategy, rather than solely relying on its output.
Ultimately, the success of the VATICAN BANK CARTEL indicator will depend on the user's ability to adapt it to their specific trading style, market conditions, and risk management approach. Continuous monitoring, analysis, and adjustment of the indicator's settings may be necessary to maintain its effectiveness in the ever-evolving financial markets.
DEVELOPER:- yashgode9
PineScript:- version:- 5
This indicator aims to enhance trading decision-making by combining DEPTH, DEVIATION, BACKSTEP with custom signal generation, offering a comprehensive tool for traders seeking clear "buy" and "square-off buy" signals on the TradingView platform.
Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop [BackQuant]Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop
PLEASE Read the following carefully before applying this indicator to your trading system. Knowing the core logic behind the tools you're using allows you to integrate them into your strategy with confidence and precision.
Introducing BackQuant's Adaptive Gaussian Moving Average For Loop (AGMA FL) — a sophisticated trading indicator that merges the Gaussian Moving Average (GMA) with adaptive volatility to provide dynamic trend analysis. This unique indicator further enhances its effectiveness by utilizing a for-loop scoring mechanism to detect potential shifts in market direction. Let's dive into the components, the rationale behind them, and how this indicator can be practically applied to your trading strategies.
Understanding the Gaussian Moving Average (GMA)
The Gaussian Moving Average (GMA) is a smoothed moving average that applies Gaussian weighting to price data. Gaussian weighting gives more significance to data points near the center of the lookback window, making the GMA particularly effective at reducing noise while maintaining sensitivity to changes in price direction. In contrast to simpler moving averages like the SMA or EMA, GMA provides a more refined smoothing function, which can help traders follow the true trend in volatile markets.
In this script, the GMA is calculated over a defined Calculation Period (default 14), applying a Gaussian filter to smooth out market fluctuations and provide a clearer view of underlying trends.
Adaptive Volatility: A Dynamic Edge
The Adaptive feature in this indicator gives it the ability to adjust its sensitivity based on current market volatility. If the Adaptive option is enabled, the GMA uses a standard deviation-based volatility measure (with a default period of 20) to dynamically adjust the width of the Gaussian filter, allowing the GMA to react faster in volatile markets and more slowly in calm conditions. This dynamic nature ensures that the GMA stays relevant across different market environments.
When the Adaptive setting is disabled, the script defaults to a constant standard deviation value (default 1.0), providing a more stable but less responsive smoothing function.
Why Use Adaptive Gaussian Moving Average?
The Gaussian Moving Average already provides smoother results than standard moving averages, but by adding an adaptive component, the indicator becomes even more responsive to real-time price changes. In fast-moving or highly volatile markets, this adaptation allows traders to react quicker to emerging trends. Conversely, in quieter markets, it reduces over-sensitivity to minor fluctuations, thus lowering the risk of false signals.
For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The heart of this indicator lies in its for-loop scoring system, which evaluates the smoothed price data (the GMA) over a specified range, comparing it to previous values. This scoring system assigns a numerical value based on whether the current GMA is higher or lower than previous values, creating a trend score.
Long Signals: These are generated when the for-loop score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 40), signaling that the GMA is gaining upward momentum, potentially identifying a favorable buying opportunity.
Short Signals: These are triggered when the score crosses below the Short Threshold (default set at -10), indicating that the market may be losing strength and that a selling or shorting opportunity could be emerging.
Thresholds & Customization Options
This indicator offers a high degree of flexibility, allowing you to fine-tune the settings according to your trading style and risk preferences:
Calculation Period: Adjust the lookback period for the Gaussian filter, affecting how smooth or responsive the indicator is to price changes.
Adaptive Mode: Toggle the adaptive feature on or off, allowing the GMA to dynamically adjust based on market volatility or remain consistent with a fixed standard deviation.
Volatility Settings: Control the standard deviation period for adaptive mode, fine-tuning how quickly the GMA responds to shifts in volatility.
For-Loop Settings: Modify the start and end points for the for-loop score calculation, adjusting the depth of analysis for trend signals.
Thresholds for Signals: Set custom long and short thresholds to determine when buy or sell signals should be generated.
Visualization Options: Choose to color bars based on trend direction, plot signal lines, or adjust the background color to reflect current market sentiment visually.
Trading Applications
The Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop can be applied to a variety of trading styles and markets. Here are some key ways you can use this indicator in practice:
Trend Following: The combination of Gaussian smoothing and adaptive volatility helps traders stay on top of market trends, identifying significant momentum shifts while filtering out noise. The for-loop scoring system enhances this by providing a numerical representation of trend strength, making it easier to spot when a new trend is emerging or when an existing one is gaining strength.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to capitalize on short-term market corrections, the adaptive nature of this indicator makes it easier to identify when price action is deviating too far from its smoothed trend, allowing for strategic entries and exits based on overbought or oversold conditions.
Swing Trading: With its ability to capture medium-term price movements while avoiding the noise of short-term fluctuations, this indicator is well-suited for swing traders who aim to profit from market reversals or short-to-mid-term trends.
Volatility Management: The adaptive feature allows the indicator to adjust dynamically in volatile markets, ensuring that it remains responsive in times of increased uncertainty while avoiding unnecessary noise in calmer periods. This makes it an effective tool for traders who want to manage risk by staying in tune with changing market conditions.
Final Thoughts
The Adaptive Gaussian MA For Loop is a powerful and flexible indicator that merges the elegance of Gaussian smoothing with the adaptability of volatility-based adjustments. By incorporating a for-loop scoring mechanism, this indicator provides traders with a comprehensive view of market trends and potential trade opportunities.
It’s important to test the settings on historical data and adapt them to your specific trading style, timeframe, and market conditions. As with any technical tool, the AGMA For Loop should be used in conjunction with other indicators and solid risk management practices for the best results.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Two Pole Butterworth For Loop [BackQuant]Two Pole Butterworth For Loop
PLEASE read the following carefully, as understanding the underlying concepts and logic behind the indicator is key to incorporating it into your trading system in a sound and methodical manner.
Introducing BackQuant's Two Pole Butterworth For Loop (2P BW FL) — an advanced indicator that fuses the power of the Two Pole Butterworth filter with a dynamic for-loop scoring mechanism. This unique approach is designed to extract actionable trading signals by smoothing out price data and then analyzing it using a comparative scoring method. Let's delve into how this indicator works, why it was created, and how it can be used in various trading scenarios.
Understanding the Two Pole Butterworth Filter
The Butterworth filter is a signal processing tool known for its smooth response and minimal distortion. It's often used in electronic and communication systems to filter out unwanted noise. In trading, the Butterworth filter can be applied to price data to smooth out the volatility, providing traders with a clearer view of underlying trends without the whipsaws often associated with market noise.
The Two Pole Butterworth variant further enhances this effect by applying the filter with two poles, effectively creating a sharper transition between the passband and stopband. In simple terms, this allows the filter to follow the price action more closely, reacting to changes while maintaining smoothness.
In this script, the Two Pole Butterworth filter is applied to the Calculation Source (default is set to the closing price), creating a smoothed price series that serves as the foundation for further analysis.
Why Use a Two Pole Butterworth Filter?
The Two Pole Butterworth filter is chosen for its ability to reduce lag while maintaining a smooth output. This makes it an ideal choice for traders who want to capture trends without being misled by short-term volatility or market noise. By filtering the price data, the Two Pole Butterworth enables traders to focus on the broader market movements and avoid false signals.
The For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
In addition to the Butterworth filter, this script uses a for-loop scoring system to evaluate the smoothed price data. The for-loop compares the current value of the filtered price (referred to as "subject") to previous values over a defined range (set by the start and end input). The score is calculated based on whether the subject is higher or lower than the previous points, and the cumulative score is used to determine the strength of the trend.
Long and Short Signal Logic
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 40). This suggests that the price has built sufficient upward momentum, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
Short Signals: A short signal is triggered when the score crosses under the Short Threshold (default set at -10). This indicates weakening price action or a potential downtrend, signaling a possible selling or shorting opportunity.
By utilizing this scoring system, the indicator identifies moments when the price momentum is shifting, helping traders enter positions at opportune times.
Customization and Visualization Options
One of the strengths of this indicator is its flexibility. Traders can customize various settings to fit their personal trading style or adapt it to different markets and timeframes:
Calculation Periods: Adjust the lookback period for the Butterworth filter, allowing for shorter or longer smoothing depending on the desired sensitivity.
Threshold Levels: Set the long and short thresholds to define when signals should be triggered, giving you control over the balance between sensitivity and specificity.
Signal Line Width and Colors: Customize the visual presentation of the indicator on the chart, including the width of the signal line and the colors used for long and short conditions.
Candlestick and Background Colors: If desired, the indicator can color the candlesticks or the background according to the detected trend, offering additional clarity at a glance.
Trading Applications
This Two Pole Butterworth For Loop indicator is versatile and can be adapted to various market conditions and trading strategies. Here are a few use cases where this indicator shines:
Trend Following: The Butterworth filter smooths the price data, making it easier to follow trends and identify when they are gaining or losing strength. The for-loop scoring system enhances this by providing a clear indication of how strong the current trend is compared to recent history.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to identify potential reversals, the indicator’s ability to compare the filtered price to previous values over a range of periods allows it to spot moments when the trend may be losing steam, potentially signaling a reversal.
Swing Trading: The combination of smoothing and scoring allows swing traders to capture short to medium-term price movements by filtering out the noise and focusing on significant shifts in momentum.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals, this indicator helps traders manage their risk by offering well-defined entry and exit points. The smooth nature of the Butterworth filter also reduces the risk of getting caught in false signals due to market noise.
Final Thoughts
The Two Pole Butterworth For Loop indicator offers traders a powerful combination of smoothing and scoring to detect meaningful trends and shifts in price momentum. Whether you are a trend follower, swing trader, or someone looking to refine your entry and exit points, this indicator provides the tools to make more informed trading decisions.
As always, it's essential to backtest the indicator on historical data and tailor the settings to your specific trading style and market. While the Butterworth filter helps reduce noise and smooth trends, no indicator can predict the future with absolute certainty, so it should be used in conjunction with other tools and sound risk management practices.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Crypto Heatmap [Pinescriptlabs]🌟 Crypto Heatmap is a visual tool that enables quick and efficient visualization of price behavior and percentage changes of various cryptocurrencies.
📊 It generates a heatmap to show variations in daily closing prices, helping traders quickly identify assets with the most movement.
📈 Percentage Change Calculation: It calculates the difference between the current price and the previous day's price, updating with each ticker.
✨ It uses a dynamic approach that adjusts colors based on market movements, making it easier to detect trading opportunities.
👀 You will notice for a moment that some cells disappear; this is because the table updates with each ticker to show real-time changes.
Español:
🌟 Crypto Heatmap es una herramienta visual que permite una rápida y eficiente visualización del comportamiento de precios y cambios porcentuales de varias criptomonedas.
📊 Genera un mapa de calor para mostrar las variaciones en los precios de cierre diario, ayudando a los traders a identificar rápidamente los activos con mayor movimiento.
📈 Cálculo del cambio porcentual: Calcula la diferencia entre el precio actual y el del día anterior, actualizándose en cada ticker.
✨ Utiliza un enfoque dinámico que ajusta los colores según los movimientos del mercado, facilitando la detección de oportunidades de trading.
Aquí tienes la traducción al español:
👀 **Observarás por un momento que algunas celdas desaparecen; esto es porque la tabla se actualiza en cada ticker para mostrar el cambio en tiempo real.**
2024 - Seasonality - Open to CloseScript Description:
This Pine Script is designed to visualise **seasonality** in the financial markets by calculating the **open-to-close percentage change** for each month of a selected asset. It creates a **heatmap** table to display the monthly performance over multiple years. The script provides detailed statistical summaries, including:
- **Average monthly percentage changes**
- **Standard deviation** of the changes
- **Percentage of months with positive returns**
The script also allows users to adjust colour intensities for positive and negative values, specify which year to start from, and skip specific months. Key metrics such as averages, standard deviations, and percentages of positive months can be toggled on or off based on user preferences. The result is a clear, visual representation of how an asset typically performs month by month, aiding in seasonality analysis.
Every $5 (3 Up, 3 Down) GOLD onlyDescription :
This indicator plots customizable horizontal lines spaced every $5 on the XAUUSD chart, with exactly 3 lines above and 3 lines below the nearest $5 level from the current price.
Key Features :
Line Spacing: The lines are plotted at $5 intervals starting from the nearest whole $5 price below the current price (e.g., $1900, $1905, etc.).
Customizable Line Color : Users can select the color of the lines via the indicator settings, making it adaptable to different chart themes and styles.
Customizable Line Style : The indicator allows you to choose from the following line styles:
Solid : Continuous line.
Dashed: Dashed line for a more discrete visual.
Dotted: Dotted line for minimalistic visibility.
Visibility Control : The indicator limits the number of lines to 3 above and 3 below the current price, keeping the chart clean and uncluttered while providing key levels of interest.
Use Cases :
Support and Resistance Identification: Easily spot key psychological levels in $5 increments, useful for identifying potential support or resistance zones in XAUUSD trading.
Price Action Monitoring : Traders can visually track how XAUUSD interacts with specific price levels spaced by $5 increments.
Customization Options :
Color Selection: Modify the line color to match your chart theme or highlight important levels.
Line Style: Select between solid, dashed, or dotted lines to customize the look of your chart.
This indicator is ideal for XAUUSD traders looking for clear, customizable visual levels on their charts to aid in decision-making, whether you're tracking price action or setting targets for entry and exit.
Forex - Lot size calculatorThis indicator is specifically designed for Forex traders who need a convenient lot size calculator directly on their charts. It allows users to input their account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss distance in pips to easily determine the appropriate lot size for a given trade, ensuring effective risk management.
Key Features:
Lot Size Calculation: Automatically calculates the lot size based on user-defined inputs: account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss distance.
Error Handling: The indicator only works with Forex pairs. If applied to non-Forex assets, a clear and prominent red error message will appear in the bottom-right corner of the chart, reminding the user that this script is intended exclusively for Forex trading.
Simple Visualization: The calculated lot size is displayed in an easy-to-read table directly on the chart.
How to Use:
Add the indicator to a Forex chart.
Enter your account balance, risk percentage, and stop-loss pips in the input fields.
The indicator will display the calculated lot size for the chosen Forex pair.
Important Notes:
This script is intended only for Forex assets. If used on other instruments (e.g., stocks, crypto, indices), an error message will be shown.
Always validate lot sizes with your broker, as there can be slight variations depending on broker specifications and leverage settings.
GBP Index vs CAD Index Currency OscillatorGBP vs CAD Currency Oscillator
This custom oscillator compares the relative strength of GBP (British Pound) and CAD (Canadian Dollar) against a basket of other currencies to determine potential overbought and oversold conditions. The indicator is designed to help traders evaluate momentum shifts and identify possible trend reversals between these two currencies, not just the GBPCAD pair.
How it Works:
Currency Index Calculation:
The oscillator calculates the average percentage change in 7 key GBP pairs (GBPUSD, EURGBP, GBPJPY, GBPAUD, GBPNZD, GBPCAD, and GBPCHF).
Similarly, it calculates the average percentage change for 7 key CAD pairs (USDCAD, EURCAD, CADJPY, AUDCAD, NZDCAD, GBPCAD, and CADCHF).
Stochastic Oscillator:
The indicator calculates a 0-100 oscillator for both the GBP and CAD currency indices based on the highest high and lowest low over a user-defined lookback period (default is 14 anlthough 60 works great on 1m chart).
The oscillator is smoothed using a simple moving average (default smoothing period is 3) to reduce noise and improve visual clarity.
Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
Overbought: When both the GBP and CAD oscillators exceed 80, the background turns red, indicating potential overbought conditions.
Oversold: When both oscillators fall below 20, the background turns green, signaling possible oversold conditions.
Crossovers:
When the GBP oscillator crosses above the CAD oscillator, a green dot appears at the bottom of the chart, signaling potential GBP strength.
When the GBP oscillator crosses below the CAD oscillator, a red dot appears, signaling potential CAD strength.
How to Use:
Overbought/Oversold Conditions: Use the red and green background highlights to spot potential overbought or oversold market conditions, helping you identify possible turning points.
Customization Options:
Lookback Period: You can adjust the lookback period for the stochastic calculation, allowing for sensitivity tuning (default: 14).
Smoothing Period: Control the degree of smoothing applied to the oscillators (default: 3).
This oscillator is ideal for traders focused on trading GBP and CAD pairs, offering a comparative analysis that can assist in better decision-making based on relative currency strength.
Double BBW OverlayDouble BBW Overlay Indicator
Overview
The Double BBW (Bollinger Band Width) Overlay indicator is a custom script for TradingView that combines two BBW indicators with adjustable settings. It allows traders to compare the volatility of two different periods of Bollinger Bands on the same chart. By default, the first BBW is calculated with a 10-period center line, and the second BBW with a 20-period center line, but these values can be customized.
How It Works
Bollinger Bands consist of an upper band, a lower band, and a middle band (typically a moving average). The Bollinger Band Width (BBW) measures the distance between the upper and lower bands relative to the center line. The width of these bands indicates market volatility:
Narrow Bands: Low volatility, usually preceding a breakout.
Wide Bands: High volatility, often following a strong price movement.
This indicator plots two BBW values on a non-overlay chart, making it easy to visualize and compare different market conditions over different periods.
Indicator Components
BBW 1 (default period: 10)
Calculates the BBW using a center line based on a 10-period moving average.
The width is plotted in blue by default.
BBW 2 (default period: 20)
Calculates the BBW using a center line based on a 20-period moving average.
The width is plotted in red by default.
Zero Line
A gray horizontal line at the value of 0 for reference, helping to understand the scale of BBW values.
Input Parameters
Center Line Period for BBW 1 (length1)
Default: 10
This controls the length of the moving average for the first BBW calculation. It defines how many periods are used to calculate the middle Bollinger Band for BBW 1.
Center Line Period for BBW 2 (length2)
Default: 20
This controls the length of the moving average for the second BBW calculation. It defines how many periods are used to calculate the middle Bollinger Band for BBW 2.
Standard Deviation Multiplier (mult)
Default: 2.0
This controls how far the upper and lower Bollinger Bands are from the center line. The multiplier affects how sensitive the Bollinger Bands are to price changes, with higher values producing wider bands.
How to Use
Adding the Indicator: Once the script is added to your TradingView account, simply apply the indicator to any chart. It will be displayed as a separate pane below the price chart, showing two BBW lines corresponding to the two different periods.
Customizing Periods: Use the settings panel to adjust the center line periods for BBW 1 and BBW 2 to match your desired trading strategy. For instance, you can analyze short-term versus long-term volatility by adjusting the periods.
Volatility Analysis:
When both BBW lines are narrow, it indicates low volatility across both short-term and long-term periods, which could suggest that a breakout is imminent.
If both BBW lines widen simultaneously, it shows that volatility is increasing in both timeframes, possibly indicating a strong trend.
Use Cases
Breakout Strategy: When the BBW lines contract significantly, it may signal that a low-volatility period is about to end, which is often followed by a price breakout in either direction.
Trend Strength: Comparing short-term and long-term BBW values can help determine if recent price movements are supported by broader market volatility or if they are isolated to the short term.
Chart Display
BBW 1: Blue line, representing the Bollinger Band Width calculated with a center line period of 10 (or your customized value).
BBW 2: Red line, representing the Bollinger Band Width calculated with a center line period of 20 (or your customized value).
Zero Line: A gray line at 0 is provided for reference, although BBW values are always positive.
Advantages of Using Double BBW
Comprehensive View of Volatility: By overlaying two BBW indicators with different timeframes, you can gain insights into both short-term and long-term market volatility trends.
Customizable: You can easily adjust the moving average periods and the standard deviation multiplier to match your preferred trading strategy or the characteristics of the asset you are trading.
Easy Visualization: The separate plots of BBW values make it easier to see shifts in market volatility, allowing you to spot potential trading opportunities.
Entry Weight Indicator(Dual Labels)이 지표는 트레이더가 동적으로 진입 비중을 결정할 수 있도록 도와주는 도구입니다. 이전 캔들의 종가를 기준으로 두 가지 다른 진입 비중을 계산하여 표시합니다.
주요 특징:
1. 두 가지 진입 비중 계산:
- 저점 기준 (EW Long): 이전 캔들 종가와 룩백 기간 내 최저가 사이의 거리를 기준으로 계산
- 고점 기준 (EW Short): 이전 캔들 종가와 룩백 기간 내 최고가 사이의 거리를 기준으로 계산
2. 시각적 표시:
- 초록색 라벨 (EW Long): 캔들 위에 표시
- 빨간색 라벨 (EW Short): 캔들 아래에 표시
- 룩백 기간 내 최고가와 최저가를 녹색과 빨간색 선으로 표시
3. 사용자 정의 파라미터:
- 원하는 손실 비율 (Desired Loss Percentage)
- 레버리지 (Leverage)
- 룩백 기간 (Lookback Period)
4. 추가 정보 표시:
- 차트 우측 상단에 이전 종가, 최고가, 최저가, 손실 비율 등의 정보를 표시
사용 방법:
1. 원하는 손실 비율, 레버리지, 룩백 기간을 설정합니다.
2. 차트에 표시되는 라벨을 통해 각 캔들에 대한 두 가지 진입 비중을 확인합니다.
3. EW Long (초록색)은 Long 진입 시 비중을, EW Short (빨간색)는 Short 진입 시 비중을 나타냅니다.
주의: 이 지표는 투자 시 직접적인 성과를 가져다주는 지표가 아니며, 실제 거래 결정 시에는 다른 분석 도구와 함께 사용하는 것이 좋습니다.
This indicator is a tool that helps traders dynamically determine their entry weight. It calculates and displays two different entry weights based on the closing price of the previous candle.
Key features:
1. Calculation of two entry weights:
- Low-based (EW Long): Calculated based on the distance between the previous candle's close and the lowest price within the lookback period
- High-based (EW Short): Calculated based on the distance between the previous candle's close and the highest price within the lookback period
2. Visual display:
- Green label (EW Long): Displayed above the candle
- Red label (EW Short): Displayed below the candle
- Highest and lowest prices within the lookback period are shown as green and red lines
3. User-defined parameters:
- Desired Loss Percentage
- Leverage
- Lookback Period
4. Additional information display:
- Information such as previous close, highest price, lowest price, and loss percentage is displayed in the upper right corner of the chart
How to use:
1. Set the desired loss percentage, leverage, and lookback period.
2. Check the two entry weights for each candle through the labels displayed on the chart.
3. EW Long (green) represents the entry weight for long positions, while EW Short (red) represents the entry weight for short positions.
Caution: This indicator does not directly lead to investment performance. When making actual trading decisions, it is advisable to use it in conjunction with other analytical tools.
EV Calculator [CHE]EV Calculator with Adjustable Boxes and Custom Colors for TradingView
Introduction:
As a trader, one of the key metrics you need to evaluate is the Expected Value (EV) of your trading strategy. Understanding EV helps you gauge whether your trades will be profitable in the long run. This TradingView script allows you to visualize your EV alongside customizable win rates and risk-to-reward ratios. With adjustable visual components, you can quickly determine whether your trading strategy has a positive or negative EV, and make informed decisions.
Features of the Script:
1. Customizable Inputs:
- Win Rate: Set your win probability (0.0 to 1.0), which represents how often your strategy is successful.
- Risk and Reward: Define how much you're risking and the potential reward for each trade.
2. Visual Representation:
- The script creates colored boxes representing different EV scenarios:
- Green Box: Indicates a good EV (>2), suggesting a highly profitable strategy.
- Yellow Box: Represents a neutral EV (between 0 and 2), where the strategy could work but is not optimal.
- Red Box: Shows a negative EV (<0), signaling that the strategy may lead to losses.
3. Adjustable Box Size:
- You can modify the width and height of the boxes to fit your chart display preferences, giving you better visual clarity based on your screen or chart style.
4. Dynamic Labels:
- Each bar in the chart includes dynamic labels showing:
- Win Rate: Displays the percentage chance of success.
- EV Value: Shows the calculated expected value based on the win rate and risk-reward ratio.
- Guide: Explains what each colored box means so that you can easily interpret the chart.
5. Scalability and Flexibility:
- The script only keeps a maximum of 20 recent entries, ensuring that your chart stays clean and organized.
- Both the number of labels and boxes adjust automatically to match your preferred settings, enhancing usability.
How the EV Calculation Works:
The formula for EV is based on a standard risk-to-reward model:
EV = (Win\ Rate \times Reward) - (Loss\ Probability \times Risk)
For example:
- If your win rate is 60% and your risk-to-reward ratio is 1:3, the script will calculate whether this strategy is expected to yield positive returns or result in long-term losses.
Example Use Case:
Let's say you are trading with a 60% win rate, risking 1 unit to gain 3 units. The script calculates that your EV is positive and represents this with a Green Box, showing you that your strategy has a high likelihood of being profitable. If your strategy slips and the win rate drops, the EV calculation will adjust, and you may see Yellow or Red Boxes, signaling a need for adjustment.
Final Thoughts:
This script is designed for traders who want to take their analysis beyond the basics. By providing real-time visualization of your EV, you can better assess whether your strategy is sound and make adjustments as needed.
How to Use:
- Adjust the input parameters for Win Rate, Risk, and Reward to match your trading strategy.
- Observe the colored boxes and labels to quickly understand if your current strategy is in a healthy EV zone.
- Use this visual feedback to refine your approach and stay on track towards profitability.
This tool simplifies the complex calculations behind EV and turns it into an intuitive and powerful decision-making aid for traders.
Now you're ready to integrate the EV Calculator with Adjustable Boxes and Custom Colors into your trading routine and start optimizing your strategies for long-term success!
Happy Trading and best regards Chervolino
RSI (Kernel Optimized) | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing our new KDE Optimized RSI Indicator! This indicator adds a new aspect to the well-known RSI indicator, with the help of the KDE (Kernel Density Estimation) algorithm, estimates the probability of a candlestick will be a pivot or not. For more information about the process, please check the "HOW DOES IT WORK ?" section.
Features of the new KDE Optimized RSI Indicator :
A New Approach To Pivot Detection
Customizable KDE Algorithm
Realtime RSI & KDE Dashboard
Alerts For Possible Pivots
Customizable Visuals
❓ HOW TO INTERPRET THE KDE %
The KDE % is a critical metric that reflects how closely the current RSI aligns with the KDE (Kernel Density Estimation) array. In simple terms, it represents the likelihood that the current candlestick is forming a pivot point based on historical data patterns. a low percentage suggests a lower probability of the current candlestick being a pivot point. In these cases, price action is less likely to reverse, and existing trends may continue. At moderate levels, the possibility of a pivot increases, indicating potential trend shifts or consolidations.Traders should start monitoring closely for confirmation signals. An even higher KDE % suggests a strong likelihood that the current candlestick could form a pivot point, which could lead to a reversal or significant price movement. These points often align with overbought or oversold conditions in traditional RSI analysis, making them key moments for potential trade entry or exit.
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK ?
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a widely used oscillator among traders. It outputs a value between 0 - 100 and gives a glimpse about the current momentum of the price action. This indicator then calculates the RSI for each candlesticks, and saves them into an array if the candlestick is a pivot. The low & high pivot RSIs' are inserted into two different arrays. Then the a KDE array is calculated for both of the low & high pivot RSI arrays. Explaining the KDE might be too much for this write-up, but for a brief explanation, here are the steps :
1. Define the necessary options for the KDE function. These are : Bandwidth & Nº Steps, Array Range (Array Max - Array Min)
2. After that, create a density range array. The array has (steps * 2 - 1) elements and they are calculated by (arrMin + i * stepCount), i being the index.
3. Then, define a kernel function. This indicator has 3 different kernel distribution modes : Uniform, Gaussian and Sigmoid
4. Then, define a temporary value for the current element of KDE array.
5. For each element E in the pivot RSI array, add "kernel(densityRange.get(i) - E, 1.0 / bandwidth)" to the temporary value.
6. Add 1.0 / arrSize * to the KDE array.
Then the prefix sum array of the KDE array is calculated. For each candlestick, the index closest to it's RSI value in the KDE array is found using binary search. Then for the low pivot KDE calculation, the sum of KDE values from found index to max index is calculated. For the high pivot KDE, the sum of 0 to found index is used. Then if high or low KDE value is greater than the activation threshold determined in the settings, a bearish or bullish arrow is plotted after bar confirmation respectively. The arrows are drawn as long as the KDE value of current candlestick is greater than the threshold. When the KDE value is out of the threshold, a less transparent arrow is drawn, indicating a possible pivot point.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
This indicator combines RSI & KDE Algorithm to get a foresight of possible pivot points. Pivot points are important entry, confirmation and exit points for traders. But to their nature, they can be only detected after more candlesticks are rendered after them. The purpose of this indicator is to alert the traders of possible pivot points using KDE algorithm right away when they are confirmed. The indicator also has a dashboard for realtime view of the current RSI & Bullish or Bearish KDE value. You can fully customize the KDE algorithm and set up alerts for pivot detection.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. RSI Settings
RSI Length -> The amount of bars taken into account for RSI calculation.
Source -> The source value for RSI calculation.
2. Pivots
Pivot Lengths -> Pivot lengths for both high & low pivots. For example, if this value is set to 21; 21 bars before AND 21 bars after a candlestick must be higher for a candlestick to be a low pivot.
3. KDE
Activation Threshold -> This setting determines the amount of arrows shown. Higher options will result in more arrows being rendered.
Kernel -> The kernel function as explained in the upper section.
Bandwidth -> The bandwidth variable as explained in the upper section. The smoothness of the KDE function is tied to this setting.
Nº Bins -> The Nº Steps variable as explained in the upper section. It determines the precision of the KDE algorithm.
China's stock market Limit up / Limit downThe price limit system in China’s stock market is a regulatory measure implemented by the Chinese securities authorities to curb excessive speculation. It refers to the maximum allowable daily price fluctuation of a stock, which cannot exceed a certain percentage of the previous trading day's closing price. For regular stocks, the daily price movement limit is 10%. For stocks under special treatment (ST stocks), the maximum daily price movement is restricted to 5%. There is no price limit on the listing day of newly issued stocks or stocks undergoing a rights issue. This indicator highlights the K-lines (candlesticks) of stocks that have hit the upper or lower price limits with different background colors and lists the recent number of instances of limit-up and limit-down occurrences in a table format.
Info DisplayThis indicator can display the code, time period and current date of the selected commodity in real time in the upper right corner of the screen.
The display size of the 3 display fonts can be adjusted in the options.
Winning and Losing StreaksThe Pine Script indicator "Winning and Losing Streaks" tracks and visualizes the length of consecutive winning and losing streaks in a financial series, such as stock prices. Here’s a detailed description of the indicator, including the relevance of statistical analysis and streak tracking.
Indicator Description
The "Winning and Losing Streaks" indicator in Pine Script is designed to analyze and display streaks of consecutive winning and losing days in trading data. It helps traders and analysts understand the persistence of trends in price movements.
Here’s how it functions:
Streak Calculation:
Winning Streak: A series of consecutive days where the closing price is higher than the previous day's closing price.
Losing Streak: A series of consecutive days where the closing price is lower than the previous day's closing price.
Doji Candles: The indicator also considers Doji candles, where the difference between the opening and closing prices is minimal relative to the high-low range, and excludes these from being counted as winning or losing days.
Statistical Analysis:
The indicator computes the maximum and average lengths of winning and losing streaks.
It also tracks the current streak lengths and maintains arrays to store the historical streak data.
Visualization:
Histograms: Winning and losing streaks are visualized using histograms, which provide a clear graphical representation of streak lengths over time.
Relevance of Statistical Analysis and Streak Tracking
1. Statistical Significance of Streaks
Tracking winning and losing streaks has significant statistical implications for trading strategies and risk management:
Autocorrelation: Streaks in financial time series can reveal autocorrelation, where past returns influence future returns. Studies have shown that financial time series often exhibit autocorrelation, which can be used to forecast future price movements (Lo, 1991; Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). Understanding streaks helps in identifying and leveraging these patterns.
Behavioral Finance: Streak analysis aligns with concepts from behavioral finance, such as the "hot-hand fallacy," where investors may perceive trends as more persistent than they are (Gilovich, Vallone, & Tversky, 1985). Statistical streak analysis provides a more objective view of trend persistence, helping to avoid biases.
2. Risk Management and Strategy Development
Risk Assessment: Identifying the length and frequency of losing streaks is crucial for managing risk and adjusting trading strategies. Long losing streaks can indicate potential strategy weaknesses or market regime changes, prompting a reassessment of trading rules and risk management practices (Brock, Lakonishok, & LeBaron, 1992).
Strategy Optimization: Statistical analysis of streaks can aid in optimizing trading strategies. For example, understanding the average length of winning and losing streaks can help in setting more effective stop-loss and take-profit levels, as well as in determining the optimal position sizing (Fama & French, 1993).
Scientific References:
Lo, A. W. (1991). "Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices." Econometrica, 59(5), 1279-1313. This paper discusses the presence of long-term memory in stock prices, which is relevant for understanding the persistence of streaks.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency." Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91. This study explores momentum and reversal strategies, which are related to the concept of streaks.
Gilovich, T., Vallone, R., & Tversky, A. (1985). "The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences." Cognitive Psychology, 17(3), 295-314. This paper provides insight into the psychological aspects of streaks and persistence.
Brock, W., Lakonishok, J., & LeBaron, B. (1992). "Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns." Journal of Finance, 47(5), 1731-1764. This research examines the effectiveness of technical trading rules, relevant for streak-based strategies.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1993). "Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds." Journal of Financial Economics, 33(1), 3-56. This paper provides a foundation for understanding risk factors and strategy performance.
By analyzing streaks, traders can gain valuable insights into market dynamics and refine their trading strategies based on empirical evidence.
FED and ECB Interest RatesFED and ECB Interest Rates Indicator
This indicator provides a clear visual representation of the Federal Reserve (FED) and European Central Bank (ECB) interest rates, offering traders and analysts a quick way to track these crucial economic metrics.
• Displays both FED (red) and ECB (blue) interest rates on a single chart
• Shows rates in basis points in the status line for precise reading
• Uses daily data for up-to-date rate information
• Features robust error handling for consistent performance
How It Works:
• Fetches FED rate from FRED and ECB rate from ECONOMICS database
• Plots rates as percentage values on the chart
• Displays rates in basis points when hovering over the chart
Use Cases:
• Monitor central bank policies and their potential impact on markets
• Compare FED and ECB rate trends over time
• Analyze correlation between interest rates and asset prices
• Assist in fundamental analysis for forex, equities, and fixed income trading
Note:
This indicator is for informational purposes only. Always combine this data with other forms of analysis and stay informed about central bank announcements and economic events.
Enhance your trading strategy with real-time insights into two of the world's most influential interest rates!
Currency Futures StatisticsThe "Currency Futures Statistics" indicator provides comprehensive insights into the performance and characteristics of various currency futures. This indicator is crucial for portfolio management as it combines multiple metrics that are instrumental in evaluating currency futures' risk and return profiles.
Metrics Included:
Historical Volatility:
Definition: Historical volatility measures the standard deviation of returns over a specified period, scaled to an annual basis.
Importance: High volatility indicates greater price fluctuations, which translates to higher risk. Investors and portfolio managers use volatility to gauge the stability of a currency future and to make informed decisions about risk management and position sizing (Hull, J. C. (2017). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives).
Open Interest:
Definition: Open interest represents the total number of outstanding futures contracts that are held by market participants.
Importance: High open interest often signifies liquidity in the market, meaning that entering and exiting positions is less likely to impact the price significantly. It also reflects market sentiment and the degree of participation in the futures market (Black, F., & Scholes, M. (1973). The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities).
Year-over-Year (YoY) Performance:
Definition: YoY performance calculates the percentage change in the futures contract's price compared to the same week from the previous year.
Importance: This metric provides insight into the long-term trend and relative performance of a currency future. Positive YoY performance suggests strengthening trends, while negative values indicate weakening trends (Fama, E. F. (1991). Efficient Capital Markets: II).
200-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA) Position:
Definition: This metric indicates whether the current price of the currency future is above or below its 200-day simple moving average.
Importance: The 200-day SMA is a widely used trend indicator. If the price is above the SMA, it suggests a bullish trend, while being below indicates a bearish trend. This information is vital for trend-following strategies and can help in making buy or sell decisions (Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands).
Why These Metrics are Important for Portfolio Management:
Risk Assessment: Historical volatility and open interest provide essential information for assessing the risk associated with currency futures. Understanding the volatility helps in estimating potential price swings, which is crucial for managing risk and setting appropriate stop-loss levels.
Liquidity and Market Participation: Open interest is a critical indicator of market liquidity. Higher open interest usually means tighter bid-ask spreads and better liquidity, which facilitates smoother trading and better execution of trades.
Trend Analysis: YoY performance and the SMA position help in analyzing long-term trends. This analysis is crucial for making strategic investment decisions and adjusting the portfolio based on changing market conditions.
Informed Decision-Making: Combining these metrics allows for a holistic view of the currency futures market. This comprehensive view helps in making informed decisions, balancing risks and returns, and optimizing the portfolio to align with investment goals.
In summary, the "Currency Futures Statistics" indicator equips investors and portfolio managers with valuable data points that are essential for effective risk management, liquidity assessment, trend analysis, and overall portfolio optimization.
Global Liquidity Index and DEMA1001. Global Liquidity Index:
The code calculates global liquidity from economic data from multiple countries and regions. Specifically, it aggregates money supply data from major economies such as the United States, Europe, China, and Japan, and sums and adjusts them to get a global liquidity index.
This index is calculated by summing data from different sources and subtracting the impact of some financial instruments (such as reverse repurchase agreements, etc.), and then converting the result into a number in trillions. This can help analyze the liquidity conditions in global money markets.
2. ROC SMA (Simple Moving Average of Rate of Change):
The code calculates the rate of change (ROC) of the global liquidity index, which is a way to measure the speed of change of the index.
Then, a simple moving average (SMA) is applied to the rate of change, which helps smooth the data and identify trends.
The ROC SMA curve is displayed in yellow to help users observe the trend of liquidity changes.
3. DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average):
DEMA is a more complex moving average that attempts to reduce the lag of the moving average and provide a more sensitive trend response.
The calculation method is to first calculate a standard exponential moving average (EMA), then calculate the EMA of this EMA, and use these two results to calculate DEMA.
The code allows users to set the period length of DEMA (default is 100), which can adjust the speed of DEMA's response to price changes.
The DEMA curve is displayed in blue, helping users to more accurately capture the trends and changes of global liquidity indicators.
