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Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index FuturesMM

Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures

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MES1! trade ideas

S&P futures daily chart review4/27/2024 Daily Chart analysis Market is All-in-long, but the market tempo would suggest a pause or a pullback after 4 bull bars. Likely 1 more bar up before a pullback. Elements to note: Break of the broad bear channel down, an important component of a possible MTR setup. Notice the EMA cross and confirmation, usually leading to some sideways, but good foundation for higher prices. April 2nd was an outside up bar. There are bulls trapped here, so sellers above, and this is a price level likely to tested in the near term.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by AlSmith22
S&P Futures weekly chart review4/27/2025 Outside up bar last week needing continuation. Notice the bear bar of 2 weeks abo triggered and then reversed, trapping sellers. Buyers below. Outside up bars are expanding triangles. Likely we pulllback into the range of the bar, reverse and close above the bar. Good probability of trend continuation up. Momentum is strong, even though this is a second leg reversal back to a breakout point. For the bulls, the best case scenario is an initial selloff, then reversal and back up to form a 3rd leg of a wedge. But after that, likely to go back down. The bear channel down was strong, and bears will want a second leg, even if it eventually forms a failed flag. I view the corrective move down as 17 weeks, so likely 8-9 weeks of sideways to up, of which we are in week 3. So likely more time of sideways to up. So - expecting an initial selloff, then higher prices leading to another leg down for the bears. There are sellers above, and buyers below. Best case for bears is eventual trend resumption. Best case for bulls is a failed flag formation and back to new highs.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by AlSmith22
S&P Futures monthly chart review4-27-25 Update The big April bear bar went too far too fast to be sustainable for the bears Even if it had closed on it's low, that would have been terrible for the bears. Stop would have been too far away and would invite a fade. As it stands, it is a a bad bar for both bulls and bears. Bears see tremendous buying pressure, forming the large wick. But as is, the bar is a bad buy signal and bulls would face a similarly large stop. For bears, ideally they get a few days of down to get back to the mid-point at least, but that is 300-400 points to make it a compelling bear bar, so unlikely. Bulls can erase the bear bar with 100 pts or so, but probability is that the bar finishes with a similar appearance. April's bar is a Breakout and pullback in one bar, likely sellers above. Interestingly, the LT bullish trend line was broken by the wick, which is a typical element of a MTR setup. However, a MTR setup would likely require the formation of a right shoulder first. Most likely scenario here is Price falls back into the body of the bar, reverse up, but then comeback to test the tail of the bar in 2-3 months.
CShort
by AlSmith22
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-23 : Rally-111 PatternToday's pattern really showed up pre-market. Where was the rally today? It happened before the US markets opened for business. The SPY/QQQ had already moved up into my upper resistance area on strong buying overnight. I knew I had to run my father around most of the day, so I booked my profits this morning and tried to catch one little SPY rally (that didn't work out). So, I started taking some positions for next week's potential downtrend, and I thought, "How much risk am I taking on these trades if the markets continue to move upward?" I realized I would be taking about $1000 to $1400 in total risk, but my expiration date is near May 16. So my target for any profit really needs to be before May 10th or so. If the markets do what I expect, I'll be sitting back, watching my profits grow as the markets trend downward into my May 2 Major Bottom (I hope). I created this video to highlight the now partially confirmed inverted EPP pattern that setup the Ultimate High in early trading today. Now that we've completed the inverted EPP pattern, we should be looking for the ES/SPY/QQQ to move downward, shift into a sideways/upward price flag. Then, break down into the new Consolidation phase. Essentially, if my EPP patterns play out well, I timed my move away from longs/calls and into shorts/puts almost perfectly. Now, I just need to sit back and wait for the markets to make a move. This is what trading is all about. You can't kick the markets to do what you want them to do. You have to learn to take what the markets give you and fall in line with market trends. When you do that well, profits start to fall into your lap (if you are patient). Follow along as I break down these market trends and learn how to develop your own skills. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
CShort
by BradMatheny
ANALISI TECNICA MERCATI AMERICANIHappy Saturday to all traders! In this video we analyze the American market and see what we can expect in the coming weeks. Recently, the markets have reacted positively to the statements of President Trump, who made it clear that he has no intention of removing Jerome Powell from the leadership of the Federal Reserve. This reassurance helped to allay concerns about the independence of the Fed, leading to a rally in the main indices: the Nasdaq gained 2.3%, the S&P 500 1.4% and the Dow Jones 1%.​ In addition, the administration has shown signs of openness towards reducing trade tariffs with China, fueling investor optimism. Despite the recent reassurances, uncertainties related to the Fed's monetary policy remain. Powell stressed that, although inflation is falling, there is no rush to proceed with further rate cuts, maintaining a cautious approach. Investors will therefore need to carefully monitor the upcoming macroeconomic data, especially those related to inflation and employment, which could influence the Fed's future decisions. Next week promises to be decisive for the US stock markets. Although the recent statements by Trump and Powell have helped improve investor sentiment, the presence of technical resistance and uncertainty about the Fed's future policies suggest caution. An upward break of key levels could confirm the continuation of the positive trend, while signs of weakness could indicate the need for a consolidation phase. Have a good weekend everyone and happy trading. Thanks Ciao Mauro I will mention my three rules that I constantly cultivate: Patience, discipline and always have a plan.
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by Mauro_Mariani
S&P 500 E-mini Futures: Bullish Momentum Meets Key Resistance📈 Technical Analysis: S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES1!) – April 2025 🚀 Market Structure & Price Action for US500 The daily chart shows the S&P 500 E-mini Futures in a bullish recovery after a significant correction. The recent rally has pushed price back toward previous swing highs, an area likely to contain resting buy-side liquidity. This move suggests that the market is currently in a markup phase, but is now approaching a critical resistance zone where profit-taking and counter-trend activity may emerge. 🧠 Wyckoff Perspective From a Wyckoff methodology standpoint, the recent price action resembles a classic accumulation-to-markup transition. The sharp selloff in March and early April appears to have formed a selling climax (SC) followed by an automatic rally (AR) and a secondary test (ST). The current advance could be interpreted as a sign of strength (SOS), but the proximity to previous highs raises the risk of an upthrust (UTAD) or a bull trap if supply emerges. 🌊 Liquidity & Potential Pullback As price trades into the prior highs, it is likely "eating" buy-side liquidity—triggering stops and breakout orders. This process often leads to a liquidity sweep, where price briefly exceeds resistance before reversing as large players offload positions. If the market fails to sustain above these highs, a pullback or even a reversal could be initiated, especially if volume and momentum wane. 🌐 Market Sentiment & Fundamentals Current sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with the S&P 500 E-mini trading above 5,500 and recent sessions showing resilience despite mixed earnings and macroeconomic uncertainty. The broader market is supported by expectations of stable Fed policy and robust corporate earnings, but there are persistent concerns about inflation and global growth. According to Markets Insider, the ES futures are up 0.59% recently, reflecting a positive but not euphoric tone. However, as noted by Investing.com, there are signs the market could be setting up for a reversal if bulls fail to maintain momentum. 🛠️ Trade Ideas 🟢 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and holds above the previous highs with strong volume and closes, consider a long entry targeting the next psychological resistance (e.g., 5,700–5,800). Place stops just below the breakout level to manage risk. This would confirm continued demand and a potential extension of the markup phase. 🔴 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold above the highs and forms a reversal pattern (e.g., bearish engulfing, upthrust), look for a short entry targeting the first support zone (e.g., 5,300–5,200). Stops should be placed above the failed breakout. This would align with a Wyckoff upthrust after distribution and a likely liquidity sweep. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading futures involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Please conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
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by fxtraderanthony
3
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show. The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high. OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray. Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC. Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours. NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty. On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it. Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum. Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.
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by SmartApingAI
SP500 what to expect next?As a seasoned trader with over a decade of experience navigating the markets, I’ve been closely monitoring the S&P 500’s current price action. The index is presently confined within a well-defined range, with resistance at 5,528 and support at 5,146, based on recent price behavior. We’ve observed a notable deviation below the lower boundary of this range, which often signals a potential reversal or absorption of liquidity before a move higher. My analysis suggests the next likely target is the upper boundary of the range at 5,528, coinciding with a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has yet to be filled. Should the price approach this zone, I anticipate a strong market reaction, potentially driven by aggressive order flow as participants defend or challenge this key level. If the weekly FVG is invalidated—meaning price sweeps through this area without significant rejection—the S&P 500 could be poised to break out and target new all-time highs from its current position.
CLong
by Almenio
S&P 500 futures/SPY idea and simple parallel channel crossSo as you can see by a few minutes worth of doodling...there seems to be an interesting dilemma. While a lot points to a new breakout, be it news that literally changes nothing structurally for actual customer buying or future sales....it's said to be a new bull run. Yet, just a simple glance at a modified volume chart in relation to the E-mini above....there is something funny arising. Almost like treasury yields-to-bonds, as the market slides the volume increases. And it concaves as it goes back up. But the right most part of the chart doesn't seem to agree with that. You are ripping higher but your volume is increasing. (Those yellow bars are sell volume, and if they look patchy in spots, it's because the buy volume is colored black. This is done to emphasize a trend and to see more clearly if it is strong for buying or strong for selling.) Back to the idea at hand....so just a possibility- but what if that volume going down while the recent slide on Monday occurred was positioning of a certain group who would get their que from a certain announcement from the Musky-Man. Ergo, the sells aren't really happening but the buying is, so that way when everyone jumps in they unleash selling. To which the concave occurs on the market pullback and the convex, going up, occurs as the market heads up. It's not some new thing (volume up on highs and down on lows) since the principle of down to highs and up on lows holds true from the ATH of February to the bounce in middle MArch....so it's not some special case- unless you consider games being played as the explanation for why the pattern which holds true even in past '22 and '23 downturns becomes broken. Now...for the super stretch idea...and I am not predicting so much as throwing out an idea to which I would have done if I was still around the hedge fund kids I was around in high school: Get people used to buying high rips by setting up the first test balloon of the Monday "fake news 90 day tariff relief"....which can be denied and then used to observe market reaction and to get any last people shaken off the stocks to get the insiders- that massive option call just hours before his Truth Social post is just super coincidental eh?- positioned to take advantage of his future post as the "signal". Well, it worked great cause stocks ripped and everyone bought all the way to the 50% or so retrace of the previous day high. But interesting that such massive put positions for the April 17 monthly options expiration were seemingly honored and paid out coming into Easter- not too much of a fight on that one. (Well maybe a test to see for the weekend option expiration tomorrow which is 2 days after Tesla earnings). So now- there comes the Tesla earnings right after a slight dip in the market just before the big day, and funny enough the shorts are nowhere to be squeezed...kinda seems like that Wednesday "good time to buy" comment really pushed them off from going balls deep on Tesla shorts for this Wednesday afternoon. Nothing happened so the positions the hypothetical insiders purchased aren't moving and now there is a problem....no squeeze and no stock rally. So now the Musker is informed to give his message mere minutes before the Trump-man gives his about some more unverified tariff goodies. Now you have your sudden move and everything starts going up. So if everyone is buying in and you are heading to a new top...why is the sell volume in that chart falling before that Tesla earnings when the market is slipping....but increasing while the market is rising....going against pretty principled norms. Well...that's where China comes in saying they have no idea of any meetings- which the panic button of "They...no need to explain who they are" comment is thrown out to keep the markets rising right into Google earnings...which says that the cloud is dead and only ads make money- (but every consumer giant just said sales are down and consumer interaction is down and that tariffs are going to hit them hard...but never mind that...nor that cloud is like AI related and Amazon cancelled Data Center leasing...and that Intel and AMD are pounded even though literally every computer needs one of those two to work...that doesn't matter). So we are left with tomorrow...or today depending on when you read this....You have a cross at that exact price and the fib lines all correlate pretty well to price action up and down the chart. So my thought is this....and crazy hat wearing time.... What if you sold off gold to cover your shorts and to add new puts on for this weekend into early next week- specifically Tuesday of next week- and then when you suddenly let fly some China tariff related news and get the big 4 news groups to sound bad about it...rather than blocking all the damage that containers sitting across the ocean do when not on a boat each day, you have a beautiful thing as the Trump-man likes to say. You have bought stocks at the lows before the Tesla earnings...then sold them off in the last ~16 hours and then placed puts on- since they have been increasing in volume and open interest every day leading up to tomorrow and next Tuesday- to which you get paid twice in like one week. Again...just a playful idea...and worth noting that the treasury yields haven't budged from 4.8 or 4.3 from the 20y and 10y respectively and $6 some trillion comes due for rollover on or by June the 20th....so if you want that to be like 2% I think...you got to do some nasty stuff. (My favorite would be to take retirement accounts and pensions and replace them with treasury holdings instead of stocks...a brilliant idea and will surely get that yield down in a hurry- you know--cause for like America or whatever--or as the kids say-- for reasons.) But that's just me and that's what I would do if handed a decent chunk of change and the cell #s of Musker and the other boys at that inauguration. Could be all wrong...but it's a little fun story no? Gives you a chuckle if I'm wrong and your accounts go up- or scares the hell out of you if right, since it means people like me who used to be amongst the 3 letter crews and hedge bros do this kinda thing on the regular. Anywho...here is a closer look at that death cross or that "freedom cross", whichever one gets Detroit back to motor city and Bethlehem Steel back in production again- oh wait- that isn't possible- cause you know "they" or something.
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by CYQOTEK
2
S&P at 7474 in 2 years?Last couple of moves down have been 1300 points, followed by 2600 or 2x moves to the upside. Covid was a little shallow but had the same sized upward move. My hypothesis is that Tariffs and the uncertainty the current administration is creating will create something in-between the covid V shape spike/bounce and the Jan 22 - Oct 22 down turn followed by the Oct 22 - Dec 24 highs. That down move retraced about 50% after touching or establishing the trend, chopped around, went down to trendish area, chopped around, made a head and shoulder pattern of sorts, then started it's move back up. This time it's not exactly caused by a virus... and I think the trade uncertainty will take longer to untangle, not to mention the devaluation of the dollar, bonds potentially being weaponized by foreign actors, etc. etc.
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by kschwende
1
ES UpdateWe have an open gap above and an open gap below. I assume the one above will fill first on this rate cut pump until POwell (and/or inflation numbers) squashes it then it fills the gap below. Everything is green right now, index futures, cryptos, and even gold but I assume that's because it's a commodity not because of speculative hedging. All otehr commodities are up as well. Flying out to WA tomorrow, no position. Also, RSI is overbought on the 3 hr so be careful. This may be a melt up though. I do expect the gap below to fill eventually, but as we know, sometimes it takes some time. Probably not trading next week, good luck.
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by hungry_hippo
1
How do I know if a day will be bullish?"Daily Bias" is one of the most asked questions by traders! You’ve probably heard someone say: “If only I knew where the candle would expand, I’d be rich!” Well, today I’m sharing a framework that can help you start answering that exact question. 🚶🏽‍♂️Walk with me as we break down the ES Futures Daily Candle for April 24, 2024. By the end of this video, you'll have a solid starting point to study and apply this method— #OneCandlestickAtATime
CEducation
by MarketsByLee_
April 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisApril 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis EOD accountability report: -400 Sleep: 4 hour, Overall health: bad X7 signal this morning somewhat told us we were going to bullish direction, but my mindset just wasn't there today, had bad sleep and things going on and ended up locking up account early. I just read a book about it recently but I think I need to really cut bad influences out of my life when im dealing with money. **Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System** ** 7:00 AMVXAlgo ES X7 Buy signal** 10:43 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (caught 10 pt) 1:12 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (10 pt) 3:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal (2x signal, failed) 3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! (canceled out& failed) Next day plan--> Bullish over $5500
CLong
by WallSt007
Bullish WeekMarket Maker Buy Model still in play. I will be looking for a perfect moment to enter longs. This will either be after sweep on 4H or once we start pushing through the FVG marked on the chart. I want break above the 4h OB (2 STDV). If we break above, it will have to retrace back to it (second possible entry) and then distribute more to the upside. If this currently forming 2AM 4H Candle sweeps 10PM 4H Candle and closes back in the range, it will be ideal. I wouldn't want the push below the breaker.
CLong
by dekatrades
1
ES how to trade longs!On the 1-hour ES chart we identified an hourly oversold condition against our JLines bands and flagged a long plan this morning (see the 2:39 PM alert). We held the JLines 60 min curl as support, pulled the trigger near 5,375, and rode the move up to 5,475+ for a clean win. Setup Details Timeframe: 1 hour Signal: Hourly JLines curl held in oversold zone Entry: ~5,375 region Target: 5,700 area Outcome: Target reached, +100 handles This is our repeatable process—spot the JLines support in an oversold zone, plan the entry, and lock in the move.
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by JTRADERCO