Market Outlook for Week 7 (US):Upcoming Week Economic Events & Data Releases (February 10-16, 2025)
The coming week will bring several crucial economic events and data releases, which could significantly influence market trends and investor sentiment. Below are the key events to monitor:
Key Economic Events & Data Releases
U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) Report (Tuesday, February 13, 2025)
Time: 8:30 AM EST
The U.S. CPI report will provide insights into inflation trends, with investors particularly focused on whether inflation remains elevated or continues to ease. A higher-than-expected reading could reinforce concerns over persistent inflation, while a lower print could support risk-on sentiment.
U.S. Retail Sales Report (Wednesday, February 14, 2025)
Time: 8:30 AM EST
The retail sales data will offer an important gauge of consumer spending trends, a key driver of economic growth. A stronger-than-expected report could indicate that consumer confidence is holding up, while a miss could signal weakening demand.
Bank of England Interest Rate Decision (Thursday, February 15, 2025)
Time: 7:00 AM EST
The Bank of England is expected to maintain its current interest rate, but any commentary on future rate hikes or economic outlook could impact the British pound and bond markets.
U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Thursday, February 15, 2025)
Time: 8:30 AM EST
The jobless claims report will offer the latest data on the U.S. labor market. Any surprise spike in claims could fuel concerns over a slowdown in hiring or a potential recession.
Major Corporate Earnings Reports
A range of companies, particularly in the financial and consumer discretionary sectors, will report earnings next week, including JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, and Home Depot. These reports could provide insights into the health of the broader economy and consumer sentiment.
Market Implications
Equity markets will likely remain sensitive to any economic data that may signal a shift in growth or inflationary pressures. Strong retail sales or a cooling inflation report could boost investor optimism, while any signs of weakening consumer demand or elevated inflation may prompt risk aversion. The bond market may experience volatility based on the CPI report and retail sales data, potentially influencing Treasury yields.
The U.S. dollar’s direction will be influenced by the inflation data, jobless claims, and retail sales report. A stronger dollar could arise if inflation remains sticky or if economic growth expectations falter. Volatility could spike in sectors sensitive to economic conditions, including retail, consumer goods, and financials.
