Merit-Ocrasse

Merit-Ocrasse

Bonds have been selling off at unprecedented rates for unprecedented lengths. The yield curve as started the un-invert indicating the recession is less than a year out. The question remains if rates will remain "higher for longer" or if the flattening will include a swift fall in rates due to recessionary pressures, possibly leading to deflation. If Steven Van...

Merit-Ocrasse

A chart to track Milton Berge's theory. It states that before a major bear market crash the market would drop 8-10 percent, followed by a quick 50-68% retracement. This pattern would confirm the end of wave 2 in Eliot Wave and signal beginning the fastest drop in stock in the crash. It would coincide with a rise or levelling off in Bond prices (drop in yields),...

Merit-Ocrasse

Eliot was predict one further leg down, then a extremely quick and large counter rally. If this eventuates and retraces in excess of 50% of the 01 Sept losses then it will confirm the Bear Market crash.

Merit-Ocrasse

In a recent, rare sighting, famed investor Jeremy Grantham called for a 50% market crash. Watch to find out how Harry's predictions of the "everything bubble" crash of a lifetime compare. Will this be the biggest crash in history? Beware the (market) dives of March!

Merit-Ocrasse

Something is coming ... in all cases it involves a mass fraud on the American people.

Merit-Ocrasse

The last time the S&P crashed was into March, by 35%. This next crash will likely be the largest we see during this whole scenario from early 2020 into late 2022.

Merit-Ocrasse

So this is how it ends

Merit-Ocrasse

Deflation and other pressures mean Gold isnt an immediate buy, but its time will come.

Merit-Ocrasse

We're in the last wave up. Self explanatory.

Merit-Ocrasse

A slowing world economy has no need for excess oil.

Merit-Ocrasse

Prove me wrong

Merit-Ocrasse

I believe we are in for a near term boost in S&P and Oil prices, followed by a dramatic fall. The current compressed wedge forming in oil is supporting that idea.

Merit-Ocrasse

Australia is seeing the beginning of the bursting of the property bubble. This, combined with the slow down in China and a (predicated) escalation in trade war between the Sino and Anglo sphere, will be a catalyst to the rise of the USD against AU. The global debt and asset bubble combined with deflation will see the USD as the only place to go, initially.

Merit-Ocrasse

Using Fib levels and Elliott waves sync'ed to past crashes. For the record only. www.marketwatch.com

Merit-Ocrasse

Possible breakout on the downside March 11

Merit-Ocrasse

But I think March 11 is Pivotal.

Merit-Ocrasse

It brings me no joy (as a gold/silver bug), but a deleveraging and deflation will cause all asset classes to fall. Gold is no exception and I think we will see $700. Start buying in 2020.

Merit-Ocrasse Updated 

Using Elliott waves and Fibonacci fans I am aiming to predict the trend of the S&P up to the US election. The midpoint of the Trump administration has coincided well with the market peak.