DXY Bullish Trend At It's ENDI am really expecting the U.S. Bond Yields to reverse by March.Shortby JohnathanEsteban4
US Treasury Head and Shoulder Pattern visible May be potential drop will start soon. Head and Shoulder Pattern Visible in daily chart. Would like to know your opinionShortby rednivadUpdated 119
Dire warning by $JPM CEO - We've been saying this for some time.Good Morning Update!!!!!!! The real #economy is NOT represented by #equities or other public investments. NYSE:JPM CEO has been vocal on what has been happening but this is his most dire warning in some time. Personally, am shocked this gets air play. --- #yield pumping a bit after "hotter" #inflation than expected reported. 2 things we've been saying for some time!!!!!!! Be in #stocks but, Have Hard assets!!! #gold #BTC #silver Pls see our profile for more info!!!by ROYAL_OAK_INC4
New high in yields by November?I don't think anyone is expecting this, but I think we're setup for yields to hit new highs this year. The chart indicates yields are breaking out to the upside again, and this move could be a strong one. I think we're setting up to see a new high in yields by November topping somewhere between 5.35%-6.40%. Let's see if it plays out.Longby benjihyam335
The Yield Movement Since Peak in 4Q23I want to check which series give the highest Yield to Maturity among Indonesia Government BondsLongby mmdcharts2
SG10Y suggesting another round of volatility Track record of tracking the SG10Y yields in giving heads up to the S&P500 or US market direction has been quite uncanny... This time, the technical outlook for the SG10Y is suggesting a breakout, and in doing so, should see market volatility to the downside. MACD is suggesting a potential breakout, as is a recent close to the high and breaking the Fibonacci fan resistance. Any quick pop up would be confirmation of market volatility being imminent.by Auguraltrader3
The Bond Market this era Vs the Great Depression If this pattern continues to coincide, we should expect a massive downturn across all major indices over the next 5 - 10 yearsShortby trades72772
CRE & Small Banks coincide with each otherSmall banks account for about 70% of #commercialrealestate. Small #banks are considered those with assets less than $10B. We've been bearish CRE for a long time. We believe that this sector will likely not get better anytime soon. #interestrates are still holding fairly strong. They are at banking crisis levels or higher. TVC:TNXby ROYAL_OAK_INC3
US 10Y TREASURY: waiting January inflationDuring the previous week there has not been significant news published for the current state of the US economy, so the Treasury yields remained relatively stable, moving within a short range. The US Labor department revised its data for the inflation in December from 0.3% down to 0.2%, but the US Treasuries did not react much to this news. One of the reasons might be that the week ahead will bring a release of the inflation rate for January, in which sense, December`s data might be of less importance at this moment. At the same time several Fed officials publicly noted that the Fed is resilient to cut rates too soon, in which sense, the first rate cut might be postponed from the period currently expected by the market. The 10Y US Treasuries started the previous week around the 4.0% level, but moved to the higher grounds during the week. Highest weekly level reached was 4.19%. Yields are testing the highest level from the end of January, but without an indication that this level might be clearly breached. This increases probability for a short reversal to the down side, however, at this moment on charts there is indication for the level of 4.0%, with quite low probability that yields could go lower from this level in the coming week. by XBTFX18
Treasury Yields look ripe for further movesCurrent state of the short and long term #Yield. The 1Yr is underperforming against the 2Yr yield. However, it looks like it wants to push higher. 10Yr vs 30Yr The 10Yr is performing lil better than 30 but....... The 30Yr has a BULLISH short term crossing over longer term moving avg, RSI also looks strong. IMO yields are looking good. Seems like there is still treasury selling pressure. by ROYAL_OAK_INC3
Downtrend has been broken, next wave incoming.Uptrend has commenced and we have barely begun. Generally inflation has 3 waves, and we have had our first. Rates are only up from here. Next stop is 10% ish and a 618 retrace. Wishing for 5% to be terminal rate was a joke.Longby MikeMM447
US10Y: Key Moment for Stock MarketHi Trader! U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Wednesday after an unexpected rise in UK inflation last month and stronger-than-expected U.S. December retail sales data strengthened the case that interest rate cuts will not be as imminent as the market expects. The UK inflation print, as well as more push-back from European Central Bank officials on Wednesday against interest rate cut bets, pushed European bond yields higher. Treasury yields, which move inversely to prices, followed suit, with the uptick gaining momentum after Commerce Department data showing retail sales in December grew by 0.6% month on month, above the 0.4% economists had expected in a poll. Weak demand for a 20-year bond auction also helped lift yields later on Wednesday. 💡 "December retail sales reflect an economy that, although slowing, continues to be underpinned by consumer spending," said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist for LPL Financial. "For the Federal Reserve, slower consumer demand would help propel inflation to decelerate at a faster pace; however, with consumer confidence gaining momentum, the economic landscape remains on solid ground," she said in a note. 🔴 The short-end of the yield curve, more closely linked to monetary policy expectations, led the move higher. Two-year yields rose about 13 basis points to 4.354%, their biggest daily increase in over a month. Benchmark 10-year yields US10Y added about four basis points to 4.104%, their highest since Dec. 13. 🔴 From a technical perspective, chart shows a bearish impulse structure forming, and this technical bounce could form the second corrective leg (wave 4) before another bearish swing (wave 5). That said, the key resistance is around 4.23, and a rally above it could invalidate the technical structure. We correctly predicted the surge in inflation last year, but now the geopolitical context has become more complex: (Click on chart below) In conclusion, if this analysis is correct, Stock Markets (SP500, Russell, DJ,...) should see another rally with potential new High Top... Trade with care Like | Share | CommentShortby TheAnonymousBankerUpdated 4441
Looking at short & long term yieldsGood Morning Update Looking at the short & long term Bond Yields. Short term (3M & 6M) yields are trading above bank crisis levels. The 1Yr & 2Yr #yield are underneath the crisis levels. The 10Yr is currently at those levels & 30Yr is above said levels. Makes one think....... How much longer can #banks support these levels? CRYPTOCAP:BTC AMEX:GLD AMEX:SLV ------------------------------------ Digesting longer term data = 10 & 30Yr #yield. Higher lows Bullish moving average crossover > circles Moving avgs trending higher Forming small uptrend 2nd pic = WEEKLY Back above previous uptrend Trading under moving avgs TVC:TNX #Gold #silver #BTCby ROYAL_OAK_INC9
AT100The 100-year government bond is an extremely interesting investment opportunity. Bonds tend to price this recession more than stocks, so in the case of a soft landing, they should perform significantly stronger than stocks, which may have this already priced this in. Additionally, the 100-year bond, with its high duration, has extreme sensitivity to interest rates. This offers a very good opportunity to potentially benefit greatly from changes and expectations in interest rates.Longby TheLiquidityHunter4
$DXY, long and short term rates looking betterGood Morning! Let's get it done! Look at #yield for 1yr - 30Yr. What do you see? Last week we said they looked 2b bottoming out a bit. Do any of these look weak to you? RSI above halfway point, solidifying the possible bottoming process. Short term #Interestrates keep testing the top part of the white line. The more something is tested the weaker it becomes and the higher the chance of it breaking through. Long term Forming higher lows. TVC:DXYby ROYAL_OAK_INC4
US 10Y TREASURY: relaxation is comingUS FED officials decided to leave the rates unchanged at the FOMC meeting during the previous week, however, the much better than expected jobs data influenced major Treasury yields move during the previous week. Although the market was expecting to see the figure of 180K, the released figure was almost doubled to 353K. In the eyes of market participants, this means high potential that the inflation will not drop down to targeted 2%, as expected, but the period might be prolonged, in which sense, Fed might keep currently elevated interest rates for a longer period of time, then previously estimated. In line with it, current expectations are that the first rate cut might occur in May this year. The 10Y Treasury yields responded accordingly, with a shift from 3.82% up to 4.04% as of the end of the week. The 4.0% has been tested for one more time. Based on current charts, there is a low probability that yields can go to the higher grounds. Instead, some relaxation could be expected in the week ahead, down to 3.9%, eventually 3.8% in the coming period.by XBTFX4411
Important US 10-year auction this week!US 10-year yield spiked on Friday which strengthened the 61.8% Fibo retracement rate of 3.931%. The main resistance rates now sit at 4.057% and 4.115%, the 50- and 200-day MA’s. Given the lower high made last week I suspect the next move will be higher towards the 38.2% Fibo rate of 4.347% so keep your eyes on this week’s US 10-year bond auction.Longby Goose965
US10Y Hello and have a good time I trade according to these analyses My analysis is based on fundamentals, intermarket analysis, news, geopolitical topics, and of course technical levels. I hope it is your lightLongby Hesamchart1
US02Y spike = BTC nuke short termIn short term, If US02Y spikes then BTC nukes a bit. So expecting a nuke by tomorrow or anytime soon. BTC to 35K is still in play with previous cycles retracements to 0.318.by ChandruKumarR0
you getting sick of these stock all time highs?it looks like we are about to have fun again, its going to be a slow ride there though.by bmrm98118
Bonds and Jobsemployment data beat slows down bond bulls. we either role from 4.085 or 4.25by CajunXChange0
Bund BashThis shouldn't happen. But I imagined it and I thought that I would make it real. The drawing. The market might not agree with me. But I will be looking forward to see any price action that might signal the end of another wave. Regardless of the direction of the future. Easier to draw the past, than to predict the end and the beginning. Of another wave. Of another move. Or another bounce. A rebound. From a level. Or a shape. Or a drawing. I am still exploring the potential of my imagination and this is a new type of approach. Hopefully it doesn't disappoint me. by nenUpdated 117
ShortIt Looks like a sell in US 10Yr Bond Yields. What's your thoughts? Bear Flag break break down on Daily chart potential move towards 2.78? if you like the idea please leave comment and share. USD/JPY can go down with thisShortby rednivad1