Oil set to break its consolidation?Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Ascending Triangle
Possible targets – Downside 69.73, Upside 76.50
Support – 71.49
Resistance – 74.05
Hi traders, today we’re looking at oil after yesterday’s fast move down that snapped a three-day winning streak. Could this be the start of a move that breaks out of the current ascending triangle pattern? Sellers have some support to beat, and if it holds, it could hold the price in the consolidation until 74.05 is beaten.
We will be watching to see if yesterday’s selling was more than one session and if price could be set to make a new move lower.
Thanks for stopping by. Good trading, and have a great day.
Oil
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 26/05A handful of AI related Tech stocks supported the broader market in the US while the DOW continued to edge lower into a longer term support zone. US Debt ceiling talks took a step in the right direction albeit a very small one...I do not expect a deal until the last minute as US Politicians enjoy the limelight. The USD continued higher putting pressure on dollar denominated currencies and commodities while US Bond yields continued to re-adjust higher and factor in sticky inflation.
Expecting mixed open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start flat while the Hang Seng expected to open down 180 points and the Nikkei to open up 180 points.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out but potentially later rather than sooner which will put more pressure on the economy.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 25/05A continued debt ceiling standoff pressured share market Indexes lower overnight as more traders were happy to lock in some gains. Indexes pushed down into support levels as traders went risk off. The UK inflationary numbers came out higher than expected pointing to more interest rate rises from the BOE. The US open was weak and bulls found no love from the FOMC statement which continued to re-iterate focus on coming data which will determine whether there are further rate rises or not. Bond markets continued to factor in higher interest rates in the pipeline as yields moved higher.
Expecting weaker open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start down 30 points and the Hang Seng expected to open down 500 while the Nikkei to open mildly lower down 80 points.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out. But if the economy cools while inflation remains elevated, then it is difficult to cut rates to stimulate growth...we will see how things play out soon I suspect.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
** If you like the free content then follow my profile to get more daily ideas and learning material **
** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. **
Overview On All My Entries This Week,Hope You Will Learn From ItThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 24/05Major indexes go into risk off mode as traders get nervous over the US debt ceiling deadlock. Economic news also weighed on share markets as numbers came out in line or, in some cases, stronger than expected which translates into 'sticky inflation' and further potential interest rates rises. US bond yields edged lower after pressuring higher for the past few weeks but remain in a uptrend.
Expecting weaker open in Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to start down 37 points while the Hang Seng expected to open down 130 and the Nikkei to open down 170.
I expect that there is major concerns over the US economic slowdown brewing, and how the US is going to fund its debt with GDP easing. Longer term trends are for interest rates to level out. But if the economy cools while inflation remains elevated, then it is difficult to cut rates to stimulate growth...we will see how things play out soon I suspect.
KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Review of KEY DAILY LEVELS on major Indexes and CommoditiesMajor indexes continue to show resilience to inflation and rate rises as many have pushed up into new all time highs. Traders have been faced with many ups and downs making investing difficult and share positions constantly flow from gains to losses and back again.
We always need to focus and review the bigger picture timeframes to build into our overall trading plan or simply to gain a clearer perspective. So, as we wait for more news on the US debt ceiling, it is a good time to review our Daily charts to build that picture.
In the video below I will review my take on the key technical levels on major Indexes along with my major commodities.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
BRIEFING Week #21 : Let's do our Regular Update !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 22/05Major indexes in the US were weaker as Debt ceiling concern weighs on bulls. European markets ended the week in the green while Asian markets were mixed. Traders will be closely watching news for some sort of agreement on the US debt ceiling once Congress finishes playing politics. For now, I expect a tentative Asian market open and for major risk to remain on the sidelines.
Expecting tentative open on Asian markets with the ASX200 and Hang Seng expected to open flat while the Nikkei to open slightly lower.
Debt ceiling talks and coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I expect that the debt ceiling will be raised once again as if they do not, volatility will spike hard and investors will drive Indexes lower.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
USOILSPOT | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailBy the end of the previous week, the Oil prices appear to have stabilized in a trading range between 74.00 and 67.00 per barrel. Sluggish data coming in from the Chinese economic docket (the world's number one importer of crude oil) is not helping matters at all; with a 1.4% decline in imports and an 8.5% drop in export growth. The economy seems to be struggling and there are insinuations that demand for oil might also slip in the world’s largest importer of the commodity thereby prompting traders to slow down. In this video, we used the current technical setup identified on the 4H timeframe to identify potential trading opportunities ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 17/05Major indexes in the US and Europe come under fire on concerns for a global economic slowdown and the US debt ceiling fiasco. Traders went risk off as retail sales pointed to a slowdown in consumer spending while uncertainty over interest rates also weighed on sentiment. I expect that the same theme will weigh on the share markets today and into the coming European and US sessions.
Expecting a weaker open on Asian markets with the ASX200 expected to open down 37 points while Hang Seng set to open down 30 points and the Nikkei to open slightly higher.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 16/05European and US markets edge higher to end with minor gains after a solid Asian session to start the week. US bulls are remaining on the sidelines for now as the Government once again argue over raising the debt ceiling. Economic data came out weaker than expected in the US again pointing to a slowing economy which I feel will be longer term negative for the share market but good for the end to the rate rising cycle. All in all, the market is not very enthusiastic as US earnings come to an end.
Expecting a strong open for the Asian session with the ASX to open flat, Hang Seng to open up 250 points and the Nikkei to open up 200 points.
Coming economic data will remain the major focus as traders look to anticipate the end to interest rate rises. I feel that any end will only mean major economies are slowing which I do not expect will be good for the share market...for now, expect more chop.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Natural Gas & Energy UpdateNatural Gas is on watch for a technical Breakout
We got a bullish daily close on Natural gas today.
Its the first time Nat gas has had 2 daily closes above the 50 day moving average since it started the nasty downtrend.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Pattern Explained🛢
WTI Crude Oil has recently reached a key horizontal resistance.
Testing that, the price formed a head and shoulders pattern.
Its neckline was broken yesterday.
The price is currently retesting that.
I believe that selling volumes are currently accumulating.
Probabilities are high that we will see a bearish move soon.
Goals will be: 69.87 / 68.11
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 12/05Markets came under pressure again on concern of an economic slowdown. Europe was hit lower with the DAX and FTSE100 looking weak. US data out weighed on the US open to pressure key indexes lower although tech and the Nasdaq remain relatively strong. US data out was mixed with unemployment claims higher and PPI showing strength. The uncertainty sent USD higher and commodities lower with Copper taking a hit.
Expecting a mixed open for Asia with the ASX200 to open slightly weaker while the Nikkei and Hang Seng set to open up.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailDriven by worries about demand linked to recession risks and the strain in the US banking sector, the oil prices experienced a dramatic decline in the previous week (6.5% drop). However, Oil prices received a boost after Friday’s robust US jobs report which eased concerns over the prospect of a downturn in the economy as strong jobs growth is often a plus for oil, whose consumption depends on peoples’ mobility and economic vibrancy. The US economic docket will be closely watched in the coming week as the US Department of Labor Statistics is set to release April inflation data on Wednesday with economists expecting the core consumer price index, which excludes volatile food and fuel prices, to increase by 5.5% on a year-over-year basis, after a 5.6% increase a month earlier. A weaker-than-expected reading could increase the expectations for a rate cut which in turn may cause a price correction upward in the coming weeks for the oil commodity but a beyond-expectation data would support the case for interest rate hikes in the future. In this video, we dissected the market structure from a technical standpoint to sniff out trading opportunities ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 11/05Markets came under pressure in European and US trade although there remains some bulls happy to provide support to big tech and the Nasdaq. US inflationary CPI data came out relatively inline with expectations which, to me, highlight the continued 'sticky inflation' concerns. The US futures initially reacted higher to trap some buyers into the US open but then the indexes moved lower and give back the opening gains. I expect that the market will remain tentative as the USD holds major support, and Copper and Oil show concern for global demand.
Expecting a relatively flat open for the ASX200 and Hang Seng while the Nikkei is set to open slightly weaker off major resistance.
If inflation is truly remaining 'sticky', coming economic data will be the major focus and I expect this will translate to choppy markets or further pressure from sellers looking to lock in some gains.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
USOIL Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 9/05European and US markets were relatively tame as traders focus now turns to the CPI data release ahead of the US open Wednesday. The USD found support to move up while Copper and Oil also moved higher on expectations for a lift in demand. Gold edged higher although is showing signs of selling pressure.
Expecting a flat open for Asian markets as the Nikkei, ASX200 and Hang Seng were largely rangebound in overnight trading.
With stronger economic data comes stickier/resilient inflation so bulls may be getting ahead of themselves as the US Fed will have to think about another rate rise if the CPI continues to show strength.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 8/05Stronger than expected employment data in the US sent bulls into a frenzy and pushed share markets higher into the weekend as recession fears eased. On the flip side, a resilient economy will flow over into inflation and mean that inflation will stay higher for longer and put further upside pressure on interest rates. US Bond yields spiked as to did the USD while Gold nosedived off highs. Copper and Oil found some love from higher expected demand.
Expecting a strong open for Asian markets with the ASX200 to open up 70 points, the Hang Seng to open up 130 pts while the Nikkei may open relatively flat thanks to Fridays US market rally.
With stronger economic data comes stickier/resilient inflation so bulls may be getting ahead of themselves as the US Fed will have to think about another rate rise if economic data continues to show strength.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe previous month witnessed a 4% drop in oil prices despite the OPEC+ member's decision to cut a further 1.7 million barrels from its daily output, adding to an earlier pledge from November to take off 2.0 million barrels per day. The implementation of this pledged cut is supposed to begin next month - May 2023 and this could result in some interesting market influx as the month starts in the coming week. In this video, I shared with you my thought process from a technical standpoint as we plan to take a decisive position ahead of the market opening.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 5/05US indexes again came under pressure after European Indexes went lower for the session. Concerns over US regional banks and contagion into the banking sector weighed heavily on the US open. The ECB raised rates by 25 basis points as expected to follow in the footsteps of the US Fed Reserve and the RBA. Traders may be more contained today ahead of the key US employment data just prior to the US open.
Expecting a weaker open for Asian markets with the ASX200 to open down 25/30 points, the Hang Seng to open relatively flat while the Nikkei will still have to wait to play catchup as the underlying index is closed until Monday.
With Global banks still raising interest rates and economies potentially slowing down, I expect bulls will have life more difficult in the near term. Focus will be on economic data to see how the US economy is fairing.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper
Key Levels and US Market Review for the Asian session open 4/05US indexes came under fire after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates 0.25%. Expect that Europe will play catchup and see weakness on the open. The Fed have now moved to a data dependant stance and could possibly pause in June if economic data comes in weaker...this is not so good for bulls as it would point to a weakening US economy.
Gold punched up into new all time highs after the US close while Oil and US bond yields dumped.
Expecting a weaker open for Asian markets with the ASX200 to open down 25/30 points, Nikkei will have to wait to play catchup as the underlying index is closed, and the Hang Seng to open up 25/30 points.
With the FOMC statement changed slightly, traders will be focused on economic data and a slowing US economy...so expect to hear the word 'recession' a lot more.
Some KEY ACTIONABLE LEVELS into the Asian market session. Review of the European and US sessions and what that will mean to the price action in the near term along with key levels to watch.
Markets covered :-
DOW
Nasdaq
DAX
FTSE
ASX200
Hang Seng
USD Index
Gold
Oil
Copper