Oil
The Powell pop - SPY OIL WHEAT GOLD DXY BTCUnexpected rally on Spy to 413 looks possible for next week. All the usual markets are covered. Wheat is still good but it's been a tough trade. Oil probably to 92 but it's possible one more low to 78-79 could happen first. Gold and metals I think continue the rally as DXY pulls back more. BTC same. Good luck!
Update on the usual supects - SPX 500 OIL Wheat Gold DXY BTCI forgot bonds, will update if I need to- they still are sucking as of now. SP500 looks like it wants to rally, a hold over 3930 hourly chart would be a long. If we have one more down it will likely be the bottom for a few weeks. Oil could drop to 80 before a bounce. Wheat has a breakout and people are starting to pay attention to it. Gold looks ok and may be in the process of making a Wykoff topping structure. DXY likely pullback here now that all the cheerleaders are on the field. BTC rally to 22500 and if more, 28-29k. Good luck!
Another Test of Awesome Oscillator - This time on 5 min chartLet's see if the divergence between awesome oscillator and price chart works on 5minutes charts and counter-trend.
Fall trading has begun - SPX 500 USOIL BONDS WHEAT BTC DXY GOLDALl in the video, still bullish on the stock market, but a small sell off first would be appropriate to trap shorts. OIl looks like 92 target should come sooner rather than later. Bonds still under the channel. Wheat still looks great. Gold looks promising and the US dollar likely pulls back to help it. BTC hard to tell but I would think higher after a small sell off.
🎯 EURUSD, BITCOIN, OIL and more. Quick weekly outlook. 🎯👋 Disclaimer: All ideas here are for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Your trades are yours only, and your complete responsibility. I'm not particularly bullish or bearish on any given instrument, and I don't have a "fixed" bias. I'm just following the strategy I learned from my teachers and that's all. We can have completely different views on the market and still both make profits. Everything here should be treated as a simulation.
👉I believe a trader doesn't need to predict anything, so the "right or wrong" mentality is a fundamental flaw of any beginner. A trader should find a system he's willing to work with long-term, hindsight test, backtest and then execute live. He's right only when he executes the system, and he's wrong only when he's taking random setups.
Thank you for being here, I hope I'll be able to help you become better at trading.
That Friday Bounce - SPY, OIL, BONDS, Wheat, SILVER, USD, BTC OK a nice bounce into the daily MA cluster. I do think we get choppy over the next few weeks, so expect a lot of up and down and take profits when you get them. SPX may pullback early next week only to rally into the end of the week. Oil similar choppy movies to 92 and maybe 95 later in September. Wheat tested it's channel and so far has pulled away nicely. Gold and SIlver look promising and the US Dollar may pullback hard helping the metals in general. BTC looks choppy and probably makes one more leg down into Labor day. Good luck and enjoy some time off.
Entering the ER months - SPY USOIL WEAT BONDS GOLD DXY BTCSeptember 1 and that fall reversal may be in the air.
Looking for a reversal from the falling wedge, but believe me it could easily end up as a false breakout. I'm sure many eyes are on it at this point. If we do rally from here, is it a minor rally? If so, we may set up another, larger, head and shoulders pattern. OIL is at support, Bonds are sucking and probably go into the 120's even if they bounce. Wheat futures / ETF at support as well. Gold needs to hold 1675 level but the Dollar is very strong long term. The USD may pull back here though. BTC is holding up well.
Tomorrow at 8:30 is Jobless claims and then ism at 10am, you can watch for economic news on this nice economic calendar
us.econoday.com
Why Crude Oil is Trending Higher Again, Breaking Above US$100In this tutorial, I will explain both its fundamental and technical reasons for crude oil likely to break above and stay above US$100.
I am having two portfolios at all times, one for long-term investing and the other for short-term trading.
For the long-term I am mindful the current global inflationary pressure is real and it may last many months or even years ahead.
Therefore, my current investment mandate:
• U.S. stock markets – To trade them
• Commodities – To buy them
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
For your reference:
NYMEX Crude Oil
$0.01 = US$10
Example:
From $94.00 to $100.00
(10000-9400) x US$10 = US$6,000
Oil forming a new uptrend? Hi, and thanks for stopping past for Monday's video update. Today's focus is USOUSD (oil). We are looking at oil on its current daily chart and asking if we are seeing the start of a new uptrend.
We all saw last Friday's fireworks and the effect they had on the USD and risk markets. Oil acted no differently at the start moving 1.98% lower, but this was short-lived, and buyers came back into the market, cutting losses and closing at a very small gain.
This was a good sign to us as we had been watching the last leg higher from $870.50 - $95.75, which broke out of the downtrend. The previous two days of trade last week continue to paint a bullish picture for oil as we have now seen a retracement and a new HL. Today's price action so far has continued to catch our attention, as it looks like buyers are trying to get a new move going.
From here, we would like to see a break of Friday's high and a new move back to test resistance at $95.80 - $96. A break of those resistance points could start suggesting that we have a new short-term uptrend underway.
If we see a new move lower that closes below last Friday’s low, this would be a worry that seller numbers are still very high. A new move below $90 would most likely cancel out bullish momentum in the short term.
We would like to hear from you. Don’t agree or have something else to add? Please feel free to comment.
Good trading.
The post - Powell autopsy SPX500, BTC, USOIL, WEAT, Bonds, USD OK, the last video for the week after the markets got murdered today. Unfortunately I was being optimistic and got caught in a loss - it happens. Other trades are looking good - OIL, BONDS, WEAT especially. BTC looks like it's ready to drop, Gold may too. Both being pressured by the US Dollar. The Dollar rally will continue to make headlines. OK have a great weekend all and see you next week!
USOil | New perspective for the weekI am of the opinion that natural gas shortages this winter might be driving gas prices higher in the last quarter of this year. The current structure reveals that price action is back to retest the bullish trendline identified on the weekly time - an area which shares a confluence with the $85 key level. In this video, I have explained what my expectations for the new week are.
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Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
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Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The Jackson hole play - SPX500 USOIL TLT Weat GOLD BTCJackson hole this week may be interpreted as dovish - a sell down today may set up a C leg tomorrow for Powell's speech. Breaking below 4100 and we've got a better short signal on the market. Oil continues it's struggle with 95, no decision yet. Bonds need to reverse soon. Weat looking good but no breakout confirmed just yet. GOld, looking better and could get up to 1850. BTC getting close to 22k resistance again. Good luck
Crude Oil is once again probing its 200-day maCrude Oil is probing key resistance - a close above which is likely to suggest another leg higher.
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OIL8.23.22 This is a review of oil, specifically how you could have made significant trades in both directions with $3,000 ranges for more. The support and resistance were easy to identify, but there were nuances that you could see if you knew how to look at the chart that could have helped you make fewer mistakes and better trade decisions. Honestly, I don't know how you can make a lot of money in markets with relatively risk unless you focus when support and resistance areas. On the other hand, it is not quite as easy to trade the support or resistance because of the battles between buyers and sellers at those lines. I believe if you don't really think in terms at support or resistance, your risk will actually be that you will trade wrong direction. You can't live without focusing on those lines.... And once you do that, you have to learn how to manage your trade decisions. I go to those scenarios has the buyer and the seller looking at support and resistance in a two-day., with long and short trades. If you can learn this in one market, even the market you may not trade, you can use the analysis one markets that you will trade.