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Time to Prepare | $SPY Options Bull & Bear Week 1 March 2025AMEX:SPY Last week's AMEX:SPY $595 Put 3/10 ran for 66% from $480 up to $1,420. The last two weeks, the market has suffered a controlled pullback. So far it has been cautious selling rather than outright panic. While fear has entered the market, it has yet to reach capitulation, where there would be significantly more potential downside. The key level to watch long-term is the 200SMA on the daily chart, currently at $568.45. This level, which hasn't been tested in 16 months, could signal a Stage 4 selloff, a more aggressive and potentially prolonged downward trend. Here are this week's AMEX:SPY Options: (15-30 minute candle closes for confirmation and stop-loss) 📜 $580 PUT 3/17 Entry: Breakdown and failed retest of $584.50 Target 🎯 : $580, $574, $571 📜 $590 CALL 3/17 Confirmed breakout over $584.50 Target 🎯 : $590, $591.50, $594
AMEX:SPY
by PennyBois
SPY at Critical Support! Reversal Incoming or More Downside? 📊 Technical Analysis (TA): Trend & Structure: SPY is in a clear downtrend, with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals confirming bearish dominance. A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a potential reversal, but confirmation is needed. Key Resistance: ~598-610 (supply zone) Support Zone: ~575-580 (current demand area) Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: MACD: Showing signs of flattening, indicating potential momentum shift. Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, increasing the likelihood of a short-term relief rally. Volume Spike: Large volume at support, suggesting potential accumulation. 🔹 GEX & Options Flow: Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧 610-615: Strong resistance area where gamma positioning is high. 620: Major call wall, indicating an upper limit if a strong rally occurs. Put Walls (Support) 🛑 575: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a break below this level could accelerate selling pressure. 570-560: Next major support levels if 575 fails. IV Rank & Skew: IVR 44.4, indicating mid-range implied volatility. Puts are heavily favored at 112.2%, showing strong downside hedging. Implied move ±0.33%, suggesting possible large swings. 📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions: Bullish Reversal Scenario: If SPY holds 580-585, we could see a bounce toward 598-610. Ideal trade: April 590C or 600C, targeting a relief rally. Bearish Breakdown Scenario: If SPY loses 575, downside targets extend to 570-560. Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 580P or 570P, targeting 560. ⚠️ Key Warning: If SPY does not reclaim 590 quickly, expect continued selling pressure. 🔥 Conclusion: SPY at a Make-or-Break Level – Watch 575! SPY is testing a key support zone with early reversal signals forming, but strong put positioning still favors downside risk. The next sessions will determine if bulls defend this zone or if we see another leg lower. Watch 575-580 closely before making a move! 🚀📉 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
QQQ at a Pivotal Zone! Bounce or More Downside?📊 Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * QQQ is in a clear downtrend, confirmed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals. * A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a potential short-term reversal, but confirmation is needed. * Key Resistance: ~520-530 (supply zone) * Support Zone: ~490-495 (current demand area) 2. Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: * MACD: Beginning to flatten, indicating potential momentum shift. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, increasing the probability of a short-term relief rally. * Volume Spike: Heavy volume at support, suggesting potential accumulation. 🔹 GEX & Options Flow: 1. Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧 * 530-535: Strong resistance, likely to reject price if tested. * 540: 2nd Call Wall, major gamma resistance. 2. Put Walls (Support) 🛑 * 490: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a breakdown could trigger heavy selling pressure. * 475-460: Next major support levels if 490 fails. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 46.1, indicating mid-range implied volatility. * Puts dominate at 61.4%, signaling bearish sentiment. * Implied move ±0.39%, suggesting a volatile session ahead. 📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Reversal Scenario: * If QQQ holds 490-495, we could see a bounce toward 510-520. * Ideal trade: April 500C or 510C, targeting a relief rally. * Bearish Breakdown Scenario: * If QQQ loses 490, downside targets extend to 475-460. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 490P or 480P, targeting 470-460. ⚠️ Key Warning: If QQQ does not reclaim 500 quickly, expect continued selling pressure. 🔥 Conclusion: QQQ at a Decision Point – Relief Rally or Breakdown? The Nasdaq ETF is testing a key support level, with early reversal signals forming but heavy put positioning remaining. The next sessions will determine whether buyers defend this zone or we see a deeper correction. Watch 490-495 closely for price action confirmation! 🚀📉 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
IWM Approaching Key Support! Reversal Incoming or Further Down?📊 Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * IWM remains in a strong downtrend, marked by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) signals. * A recent Change of Character (ChoCH) attempt suggests a possible reversal, but confirmation is needed. * Key Resistance: ~215-218 (supply zone) * Support Zone: ~205-208 (current demand area) 2. Indicators Suggesting a Possible Reversal: * MACD: Starting to flatten, showing potential for a bullish divergence. * Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, indicating a potential bounce. * Volume Spike: Increased volume at support suggests possible accumulation. 🔹 GEX & Options Flow: 1. Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧 * 218-222: Strong resistance where gamma resistance intensifies. * 230: Major call wall, unlikely to be tested unless a strong bounce occurs. 2. Put Walls (Support) 🛑 * 205: Highest negative NETGEX, meaning a breakdown could accelerate downside pressure. * 200-195: Next major support levels if 205 fails. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 45.2, indicating mid-range implied volatility. * Puts account for 34.4%, showing strong downside interest. * Implied move ±0.32%, suggesting potential large swings. 📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Reversal Scenario: * If IWM holds 205-208, we could see a bounce toward 215-218. * Ideal trade: April 210C or 215C, targeting a reversal move. * Bearish Breakdown Scenario: * If IWM loses 205, downside targets extend to 195-200. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 205P or 200P, targeting 190-195. ⚠️ Key Warning: If IWM fails to reclaim 210 quickly, bearish momentum could extend further. 🔥 Conclusion: IWM at a Decision Zone – Bounce or Breakdown? Russell 2000 is testing a key support area, with early reversal signals forming but heavy put positioning remains. The next few sessions will decide if we get a bounce or another leg lower. Watch price action near 205-208 closely before making a move. 🚀📉 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:IWM
by BullBearInsights
SPY Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030325Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 580/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:SPY
by fibonacci6180
QQQ Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030325Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 498/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by fibonacci6180
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 4, 2025 🔮🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📈 Implementation of U.S. Tariffs 📈: Effective today, the United States has imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China. These measures aim to address trade imbalances and protect domestic industries. ​ 🇺🇸🏛️ Presidential Address to Congress 🏛️: President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his first address to Congress since his re-election, where he is expected to discuss the newly implemented tariffs and their anticipated impact on the U.S. economy. ​ investopedia.com 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, March 4: 🏛️ Treasury Auctions 🏛️: 8-Week Bill Auction (6:00 AM ET): The U.S. Department of the Treasury will auction 8-week bills, providing insights into short-term government borrowing costs.​ 17-Week Bill Auction (10:00 AM ET): A 17-week bill auction will also take place, offering additional perspective on investor demand for U.S. debt instruments.​ 4-Week Bill Auction (10:00 AM ET): The Treasury will auction 4-week bills, contributing to the understanding of immediate-term borrowing conditions.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
To catch a knife... QQQOk, I'm a little bummed I didn't make an idea sooner because my dowsing (as in with a pendulum) nailed the high on both SPY & QQQ. It is documented online, however, so I'm not making this up after the fact fyi. I had mentioned at the time (around 2/23) 11 days to hit the lower target in SPY (I'll do an idea for it as well). Wednesday is the deadline, though I don't put a ton of faith in these things, dates typically are things to watch in my work and can be reversals. On 2/26 I worked on what to expect for the first week in March. The message was it goes down, but there's a "scene of the crime" trade, spike down and low on... Wednesday the 5th! When I ask what does this look like, I get "v-bottom". My dowsing now keeps repeating there will be a small move up to sell into if we get a significant move away from the 503-04 area. I did my best to get levels, but obviously this is some woo woo kinda stuff, so it can be miraculous at times, and others a complete cluster. Definitely watch Wed. & the 468 area. Ideally, the time and price align for higher odds I'm correct. If we bounce, I'll try to find an upside target. There is also a lower target around 432, but I didn't dig into that much.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by JenRz
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update for 3-3-25 : Absolutely PerfectThis quick little update is for everyone who follows my research. Today was absolutely PERFECT in terms of my expectations and how the SPY moved so far today. A nearly perfect downward price trend targeting the 588 level. Now, we'll see if we get a base and a squeeze higher before the end of trading today. I'm so impressed with my ability to pinpoint these type of opportunities for everyone. Remember, trading is about taking the opportunity to position your assets for gains. Get some. And please share your success stories if you have them. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
16
Spy $615 What? is it happening this is a short thesis road bk to $615 last time we were so close we hit $613 now my assessment is seeing Road back to $615 I do anticipate it open Monday around $598-$601 Max target we do have very strong support around 588ish which I don't think we see unless markets grab liquidity to wipe out calls and trap shorts Which is very common these Days.. I will Keep updating this is my personal thesis i think the correction is over and we are heading back to $615 Come Monday Morning Ill post and see what my bot foresees as well as my Price forecast to give an extra confidence boost on the thesis... as Always traders good luck and safe trades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades