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Bearish drop?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 109.59 1st Support: 107.46 1st Resistance: 111.96 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
1
Dow Jones Industrial Average -Elliott Wave Count -01/17/25 The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) since it’s 12/04/24 all – time high has a very clear Elliott wave pattern. From 12/04/24 to 12/20/24 there is a clear five wave Impulse pattern. Followed by an Elliott wave – Expanding Flat correction. Primary target for a top is at the Fibonacci .618 retracement of the 12/04/24 to 01/13/25 decline. Right near this target is another Fibonacci price relationship. Minor wave “C” will be 1.618 the size of Minor wave “A” only 3 – Dow points from the .618 retracement level. The Expanding Flat formation could peak sometime on 01/21/25.
TVC:DJIShort
by markrivest
#202503 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral. Last week I noted that my bearish bias was probably not good since us markets were bullish enough and dax could not move below 20100. The big gap up on Tuesday was the first clue to refrain from shorts and on Wednesday bears gave up and we melted higher until Friday’s close. The upside is now probably very limited but it’s too early for most bears. My max target above is around 21200 and until bears print either a very huge down day or we had 2-4 days sideways to down movement with a retest of 20900/21000, I would not look for swing shorts. current market cycle: Bull trend (wedge or channel, difference does not matter) until we get below 20300 again. key levels: 20500 - 21200 bull case: Bulls are in full control since Wednesday and they will likely get 21000 and maybe a bit above it. Their problem is that they are buying high with multiple upper trend lines which could still be resistance. That argument is somewhat weak in the face of a strong trend and that is what we had last week. You never know how far they go but it’s climactic behavior and structuring longs above 20900 is tough. Longs only on strong momentum. Invalidation is below 20500. bear case: Bears gave up on Wednesday and they will probably wait for 21k and a reaction there. Never try to be the first bear. Let the big institutions show you where there is no more bid and then let the profit taking begin. V-reversals are so rare that you should almost never worry about them. Bears first target is the gap close 20675 and then the second body gap to 20574. Invalidation is above 21200. short term: Neutral. We have a clean channel/bull wedge up and we are very close to the upper trend line. Could go a bit higher before potentially reversing. 21200 is my max target. medium-long term from 2024-01-18: Market will likely hit 21000 and then it’s about patience to time the shorts right. current swing trade: Last swing short was not good but part of the game. I am waiting for bears to come around again. chart update: Marked potential targets for both sides.
XETR:DAX
by priceactiontds
Is ASX 200 waiting for a catalyst?Looking at the technical picture of the MARKETSCOM:AUS200 Cash index, we can see that the price remains on an uptrend, while balancing above a medium-term tentative upside support line taken from the lowest point of August 2024. Despite seeing a relatively strong correction lower throughout the whole of December, the index remains resilient to downside pressure. That said, in the short-run, at the time of writing, MARKETSCOM:AUS200 is struggling to break above a key resistance area, around the 8370 barrier. In order to shift our attention to some higher areas, a break above that key resistance area would be needed. That’s when we may see some more bulls entering the field. If such a move occurs, we might start aiming for the current highest zone, near the 8522 hurdle. For the downside scenario, we will take a more conservative approach and wait for a break below the previously mentioned upside line. Additionally, a drop below the current lowest point of January, at around 8131 area may invite more bears into the market, potentially opening the door for a move towards the 200-day EMA and the psychological 8000 mark. If that hurdle is unable to withstand the pressure from the sellers, further declines might be possible. RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:AUS200
by Marketscom
2
Moustafa! Be ready for a huge bearish wave will hit US 30 soon!Hi ** The rising channel in yellow lines were broken from the down side ** Due to the above, more likely the daily uptrend line from 30.12.2023 will be broken too. ** At the middle currently, you would find a huge consolidation area (marked in yellow) which acts as a big rectangle, and due to all above, that rectangle will be also broken from the down side and will send the index to the exclusive TP on the chart! ** The fib retracements levels are so important on the daily frame and should be taken in consideration! Good luck all! Note: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:US30Short
by moustafa_marei
5
Weekly GEX Insights: 01/13 SPX dropTotal Correction? What Can an Options Trader Do in This Situation? How Far Might We Fall This Week? We’ll tackle these questions in this week’s options newsletter! It looks like the new president hasn’t even been sworn in yet, but the market is already reacting with fear to every statement he makes. Last week’s economic data didn’t help ease those concerns either. SPX Weekly Analysis Friday’s red candle set a bearish tone heading into this week. Everyone is predicting and pricing in a potential market apocalypse, and I keep getting the same question: “Greg, how far can we fall?” My answer remains the same: we can fall indefinitely—nobody can know for certain ahead of time. What we can do, however, is analyze our charts and use the our weekly GEX profile to identify the key levels, so we can better understand the market’s dynamics. Examining expirations through Friday, every NETGEX profile is negative , so we can expect volatile movements this week. We’re currently trading below the HVL level, which means that market makers are likely to move in tandem with retail traders. This typically results in bigger swings. We already saw this heightened volatility last week—just look at the size of the candles, and you can tell how quickly sentiment can shift. Below 5965 (the HVL level), we are in a high volatility zone what lies underneath? 1st Support Range: 5780–5800 5800: Currently the strongest PUT support level on the downside. A correction may pause here due to profit-taking. Right beneath this level is the previous gap-fill zone. Remember, these areas function as ranges rather than single lines, as I’ve highlighted down to 5780. This could easily be a take-profit target for traders playing gap fills—an approach that’s quite popular. 2nd Support Range: 5700–5650 (Very Strong) Starting at 5700: We encounter another robust PUT support zone. This area is reinforced by previous lows, previous highs, and the 4/8 grid boundary from our indicator. Even if nowhere else, many expect at least a local rebound to occur within these levels. Putting it all together, it’s clear that the weekly trading range is shaping up to be roughly between 5680 and 5965, expecting big & volatile moves. Remember, CPI and PPI data are coming out on Tuesday and Wednesday, which could trigger additional volatility. When looking at SPX, SPY, or /ES futures, my opinion is that the rapidly spiking implied volatility (IV) during a market drop, along with a PUT pricing skew, can present favorable opportunities for options traders. The distance to the strongest lower support zone is around 100–150 points, so you could: Trade directionally for the short term—hoping to be either right or wrong quickly, or Try to profit from the market situation in a more strategic way (which is what I typically do). Personally, I prefer the second approach: I’ll open short-term (a few days) credit put ratio spreads for a small credit, which gives me a wide breakeven range and a big “tent” on the downside.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Inauguration Week: Will the Rally Endure?The FX market is bracing for a potentially volatile week, with the US presidential inauguration coinciding with crucial economic data releases. This confluence of events could trigger significant uncertainty and trading opportunities. Dollar's Strength and Potential Vulnerability The US dollar has been on an impressive rally, fueled by expectations of policy shifts, monetary policy divergence, and strong economic data. However, this upward momentum could be vulnerable to a correction, particularly if upcoming economic data disappoints or if the inauguration triggers unexpected market reactions. Technically, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing resistance around the 110 level. A break above this level could signal further upside potential, while a failure to break through could lead to consolidation or a minor correction back towards 108.00. BoJ Rate Decision in Focus This week also features key central bank meeting. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, potentially impacting the Japanese yen. USD/JPY is currently hovering around the 157 level. A hawkish BoJ could trigger a sharp appreciation of the yen, sending USD/JPY tumbling back towards the 152-150 zone. Conversely, a dovish stance could reignite the dollar's dominance against the yen, potentially pushing USD/JPY towards the recent high of 162.00. Eurozone PMI Data and the Euro's Outlook The Eurozone will release its latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data. Weaker-than-expected PMI figures could further weigh on the euro, which has already faced pressure from the dollar's strength. EUR/USD is on a gradual descent, with a strong possibility of reaching parity (1.0000) within the first quarter of 2025. The pair recently bounced off the 1.0200 level, which now acts as a critical support. A decisive break below this level would significantly increase the likelihood of the pair reaching parity. Other Key Currencies: ● British Pound: The pound remains vulnerable amid concerns about the UK economy. GBP/USD has broken below key support levels and is currently testing the 1.21 area. A break below this level could signal further downside potential. ● Australian Dollar: The Australian dollar is sensitive to developments in the Chinese economy. AUD/USD is trading near a key resistance level at 0.6200. A failure to break above this level could lead to further declines. ● Canadian Dollar: Canadian inflation data will be released this week, potentially influencing the Bank of Canada's monetary policy decisions. USD/CAD is currently testing a resistance zone around 1.4450. A break above this level could open the door for further gains. *This is a market analysis, not trading advice. Trade responsibly and do your own research.
TVC:DXY
by E8Markets
1
Moustafa! Dax towards 19420 as TP1 07.01.25* We are in front of a golden chance to short it from its peak!! * Broke the uptrend line on the daily frame * It will return back to the huge rising wedge which it broke through before and caused that huge bullish wave * If it will go to TP2 it means that it will fill the daily gap which was not filled since long time ago! ***Note My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Short
by moustafa_marei
1
NASDAQ Reversal: Bullish Patterns AlignThe NASDAQ, after enduring bearish pressure, is beginning to exhibit signs of bullish momentum at a significant daily support level. A combination of technical signals, including a bullish divergence, the completion of an ABCD pattern, and the formation of a bullish inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, points toward a potential reversal. A confirmed breakout above the neckline could validate further bullish momentum, presenting an attractive buy opportunity at 21,056. A strategically placed stop loss at 20,521 allows for adequate room to account for market fluctuations.
FXOPEN:NDQMLong
by AnalytixEdgeByQasim
DXY (INDEX) analysis This chart shows the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key observations: 1. **Support Zone**: The shaded grey area around 108.800–109.000 is acting as a strong support zone, with multiple rejections visible. 2. **Rounded Retest**: There seems to be a rounded retest pattern forming, suggesting bullish momentum might build if the price sustains above this level. 3. **Structure**: Break of structure (BOS) and change of character (ChoCh) markers indicate recent shifts in momentum. The latest BOS suggests the potential for bullish continuation. 4. **Key Resistance**: Immediate resistance is visible near 109.400–109.600. A breakout above this could lead to further upside. 5. **Strategy**: Watching for bullish confirmation above the support zone or at breakout levels could be prudent. Alternatively, failure to hold this zone may lead to bearish pressure.
TVC:DXYLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DAX Daily Short Setup: Targeting 19,700The DAX approached its previous high but failed to break through, signaling potential exhaustion at these levels. In response, I have initiated a short position, targeting a retracement to the 19,700 price zone. Fundamental Insights: 1. Economic Uncertainty: Disappointing inflation data from China has sparked concerns about demand for German goods, which weighed heavily on DAX futures during the Asian session. 2. Sector Weakness: The auto sector, including Porsche, BMW, and Volkswagen, saw significant declines due to lingering tariff threats and softening demand. 3. US Jobs Report Impact: Friday’s US Jobs Report could further dictate market sentiment. A weaker report may boost expectations for rate cuts, providing temporary support to the DAX. Conversely, stronger data may reinforce bearish momentum. 4. German Economic Indicators: While November’s industrial production showed a 1.5% rise, weak factory orders suggest limited optimism. Imports fell 3.3%, signaling declining demand, further justifying a cautious short bias. Technical Outlook: • The DAX remains above its 50-day and 200-day EMAs, indicating bullish momentum. However, failure to sustain above 20,523 strengthens the likelihood of a retracement. • The RSI near 59 suggests room for further downside before approaching oversold conditions. As always, maintain disciplined risk management. Let’s see how this setup unfolds! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by AR33_
4
Moustafa! US 30 towards 43320* Broke the downtrend line on the 1h and 4h time frames * It is absolutely ok still to go bullish as long it is above the purple uptrend line and under the yellow uptrend line which was broken before. Note: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:US30Long
by moustafa_marei
5
SENSEX S/R for 21/1/25Support and Resistance Levels: Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline. Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down. Breakouts: Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold. Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying. MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) : Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum. Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum. Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set. Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward. Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BSE:SENSEX
by zenthosh
NIFTY 50 in Rangebound Movement, Poised to Break Resistance..!The NIFTY 50 index is currently navigating a rangebound market, attempting to break through a short-term resistance level at 23360 rs. So far, it has tested a significant support level of 23100 rs on two separate occasions, indicating a critical point for potential market stability or decline. Investors should exercise caution, as disappointing quarterly results could weigh heavily on market sentiment and increase volatility. Keeping a close eye on these developments is essential for making informed decisions.
NSE:NIFTY
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
Nasdaq US100: Positioned for a Breakout to New Highs!After a deep retrace on the daily timeframe, I’ve initiated a long position on the Nasdaq US100. The plan is to ride this wave back to its Higher High, capitalizing on the recovery momentum. Technical Insight: • Key Structure: The market has shown strong respect for the current retracement levels, providing a solid base for a bounce. • Trendline Support: Price action aligns well with the trendline channel, indicating potential for upward continuation. • Fib Levels: The pullback reached a critical zone, signaling that buyers may step in to push the price higher. Let’s see how this plays out! Always remember to trade with proper risk management and pay yourself along the way! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by AR33_